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Author: Subject: Homicides by Location
bajaguy
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:04 PM
Homicides by Location


I'm sure this will generate comments

http://www.semaforo.mx/content/tasa-de-homicidios-por-ciudad...
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SFandH
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:14 PM


Interesting, sort of.

I have a question, Mulege is listed as 6.8 homicides per 100 thousand inhabitants. The sign on the highway says Mulege has a population of 3000 people.

Where does 6.8 come from?
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:18 PM


Very interesting statistics. It appears that Tijuana and La Paz are really skewing the results for Baja California.
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:20 PM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Interesting, sort of.

I have a question, Mulege is listed as 6.8 homicides per 100 thousand inhabitants. The sign on the highway says Mulege has a population of 3000 people.

Where does 6.8 come from?


I think the sign says "3006.8"

Really, I think it says "3,111" but the digits are withering away.
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SFandH
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:26 PM


Quote: Originally posted by BigBearRider  
Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Interesting, sort of.

I have a question, Mulege is listed as 6.8 homicides per 100 thousand inhabitants. The sign on the highway says Mulege has a population of 3000 people.

Where does 6.8 come from?


I think the sign says "3006.8"

Really, I think it says "3,111" but the digits are withering away.


ok, so how did they get 6.8 homicides per 100,000 people?

Wall Street accountants?
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Tioloco
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:26 PM


It is a stat. Take it with a grain of salt.
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:27 PM


Quote: Originally posted by Tioloco  
It is a stat. Take it with a grain of salt.


naw, i wanna know
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:32 PM


I think "Mulege" refers not to the town, but the municipality (it makes sense in light of the other municipalities listed). It includes about 60,000 people, according to Wikipedia.

[Edited on 2-11-2016 by BigBearRider]
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:34 PM


Ok, maybe there have been 7 people killed in the last 33+ years.
3,000 people x 33 years = Close to the stat.
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bajaguy
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 06:49 PM


Common Core new math

Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Interesting, sort of.

I have a question, Mulege is listed as 6.8 homicides per 100 thousand inhabitants. The sign on the highway says Mulege has a population of 3000 people.

Where does 6.8 come from?
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 08:07 PM


Wait a minute. Guns are not permitted in Mexico. All these people must have been killed with machetes or rocks.
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 08:43 PM


You're so cute. I wish I had a camera.
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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 09:36 PM


Good one Terry!



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[*] posted on 2-10-2016 at 09:42 PM


Drop a turd, see if it smells. Nomania is alive and well in cyber-Mexico.



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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 07:35 AM


Interesting stuff Terry. Brought to mind the US state dept.s travel advisories for Mexico and specifically Baja. Chicago boasted 3000 homicides last year. Perhaps they should issue a travel advisory.

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bajaguy
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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 08:23 AM


Actually firearm ownership is legal in Mexico, just have to follow the regulations:

http://www.davekopel.org/Espanol/Mexican-Gun-Laws.htm


Quote: Originally posted by bajacamper  
Wait a minute. Guns are not permitted in Mexico. All these people must have been killed with machetes or rocks.
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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 09:17 AM


Now you started something!



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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 10:17 AM


Quote: Originally posted by Tioloco  
Ok, maybe there have been 7 people killed in the last 33+ years.
3,000 people x 33 years = Close to the stat.

Or maybe there were .2 homicides last year.




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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 11:13 AM


I know gringoes down here with guns. All legal.



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[*] posted on 2-11-2016 at 11:29 AM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Quote: Originally posted by BigBearRider  
Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Interesting, sort of.

I have a question, Mulege is listed as 6.8 homicides per 100 thousand inhabitants. The sign on the highway says Mulege has a population of 3000 people.

Where does 6.8 come from?


I think the sign says "3006.8"

Really, I think it says "3,111" but the digits are withering away.


ok, so how did they get 6.8 homicides per 100,000 people?

Wall Street accountants?


It really doesn't take a Wall Street Accountant but you should know how to calculate the formula which is pretty easy once you get the hang of it.

Number of Crimes / Population) x 100,000 = Crime Rate Per 100,000

However, everybody should know the FBI cautions against rankings for many reasons.

I caution against using these crime rates for small cities, like Rosarito, that has a very small population, and a pretty high population of illegals not bothering to get the proper paperwork to live there permanently, and the city has a large transient population that comes and goes, and is not counted on official census type reports.

A small city like Rosarito, had on average about 25 deaths per year for many years, and in 2013, they had 30 deaths, and 42 deaths in 2014, and in 2015 I think the homicide rate was 60.

Well a sudden bad weekend in tiny Rosarito, could really skew the statistics, and make it appear Rosarito, is a war zone, with dead bodies left and right, when actually Rosarito, is the same sleepy beach town it always has been with some riff raff that all cities seem to attract.

I have seen warnings from people who use statistics on small samples, getting skewed results, although their math is correct.

Just the other day, I saw somebody try use the recent spike in homicides in Rosarito, 10 homicides in the month of January, 2016 to engage in fear mongering against the city of Rosarito.

They used the 10 homicides in January, and early February to extrapolate the other 11 months of the years, and they came up with an estimated total homicide rate for Rosarito, of more than 100 a year! Others in this group, started saying things like, " this would put Rosarito" on par as one of the most dangerous cities in the world, rivalling cites in Venezuela, and Brazil! ( both countries have cities that top the most dangerous cities in the world list)

Of course it's hogwash, and fear mongering at it's worst.

Here is why the FBI warns against these type of rankings:

https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/...


[Edited on 2-11-2016 by JoeJustJoe]
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