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Author: Subject: Hurricane Seasons Predictions for Baja
wiltonh
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[*] posted on 5-16-2007 at 07:28 PM
Hurricane Seasons Predictions for Baja


http://www.bajainsider.com/weather/hurricanes/2007/2007-hurr...

Interesting read.

Wilton
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 5-16-2007 at 07:29 PM


before i read it i'll "predict" "just like last year, or LAME".



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bajaguy
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[*] posted on 5-16-2007 at 08:01 PM


hmmmmm, wonder if New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin has any words of wisdom this year???
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amir
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 12:17 AM


Thank you Wilton for the post with the link. I checked it out and subscribed to the bimonthly storm warning email. I was just looking for a way to be notified so I can be better prepared this year. Thouthful and timely - thanks again...

--Amir




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amir
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 12:21 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by bajaguy
wonder if New Orleans

New Orleans? Is that a city? Where?!

--Amir




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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 06:44 AM


I have only one thing to say about that article. The "hurricane hysterics generated about John" were not hysterical to those who lived through it.
I read somewhere that there was a move to only tell people when a hurricane was getting close enough to call, so people wouldnt get all nervous. I, for one, want to know all I can about a hurricane that is headed my way. Those guys dont know anything for sure until it hits and then is too late. I want to be able to get hysterical if I think it is necessary. I use their terminology because I thought it was hysterical. The news people will sensationalize a bump in the road if they think it will sell airtime. Just the facts, maam, in my weather report, please!

When we first moved down here, we had no phone and no tv(still only have local tv). We relied on VHF transmissions from the port captain in San Lucas for our hurricane information, which of course was in Spanish, so we prepared everytime one was coming this way.....now we have all the information available to everyone and, guess what, will still prepare for a hurricane exactly the same way...batton down the hatches and hold on to your shorts. If it misses a sigh of relief, if it comes our way we know that we did everything we could to prepare and the rest is in the hands of the hurricane gods.




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MrBillM
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 09:30 AM
ACCURATE Storm Predictions ?


Why don't we just make up our own ? They are just as likely to be accurate as any professional predictions. Even those as close to a week prior to a storm's passage have been woefully incorrect in the past.
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rhintransit
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 09:37 AM


okay, am terminally dumb. have searched and searched for a place to 'post new topic' and yes, I've gone to search and help site...everything says to go to a forum and click on the post new topic link or the thing that represents it. and I cannot find it. but I know when I posted before some moderator came back and said I was posting on the wrong forum (and graciously moved it).

so my apologies to everyone on this link, it was just the first one I came to.

would someone/moderator/poster/friend or peeed off foe, please tell me exactly where to took, or the exact webaddress or some way to get to it? I know I have see it before but for some reason I am very challenged
lately. U2U would work or here...thank you.
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Skeet/Loreto
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 09:43 AM


Weather Predication has reached a very High Point.
I was in Loreto when "Lisa" hit La Paz then went across to the Pacific.
We only had Radios for Warning Information.
Now that I live in "Toronado Alley" if is unbeleivable how they operate and give Warnings. The local Doppler Radar System gives many people advance Notice when to take cover. They help save Lives.


Learn about a Barometer, Humidity, Wind etc.. You can get to cover a lot Faster when a Hurricane is coming. Learn Spanish!!

Skeet/Loreto
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Mexitron
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 10:00 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by MrBillM
Why don't we just make up our own ? They are just as likely to be accurate as any professional predictions. Even those as close to a week prior to a storm's passage have been woefully incorrect in the past.


Hmm, interestingly enough, the Eastern Pacific predictions were 97% accurate last year, according to the article. It was the Atlantic forecast that missed by a mile....
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tripledigitken
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 10:03 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by bajaguy
hmmmmm, wonder if New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin has any words of wisdom this year???



Too busy working on making New Orleans a " xxxxxxxxx xxxx"!

[Edited on 5-17-2007 by Hose A]
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shari
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 12:38 PM


Our most accurate weather guru is a guy named Don out of Oxnard, calif. who does the most incredible weather reporting I've ever encountered. He is ex-military and has tons of sources...puts em all together and with his innate knowledge, comes up with amazingly accurate forecasts...he transmits on the SSB on the Amigo Net. Southbound Net and I think the Baja Maritime Net as well. He seems to know where the bad boys are going and has been correct most of the time when the internet weather has failed us. We have a cheap little portable SSB radio we listen to him on and we depend on his forcasting. He has given us lots of warning to prepare, put plywood over the windows etc.



for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
http://www.bahiaasuncion.com/
https://www.whalemagictours.com/
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Cypress
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 01:35 PM


Good thing that all these weather "Gurus" pay isn't based on the accuracy of their predictions.:rolleyes:
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LaRibereņa
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[*] posted on 5-17-2007 at 01:53 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by woody in ob
before i read it i'll "predict" "just like last year, or LAME".


Lame? Tell that to the folks on the East Cape. John's eye came right over us, spawning tornados that caused enormous damage here. As far as we are concerned, it was a BIG hurricane season.
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