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tehag
Super Nomad
Posts: 1248
Registered: 1-8-2005
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TS Patricia
More rain coming, at least. This one is to watch for trouble. It's over some pretty warm water still and could spin up quickly into a real storm.
Certainty is the child of ignorance, knowledge is the mother of doubt. Question everything!
http://bcsbirds.com |
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pangamadness
Nomad
Posts: 378
Registered: 9-22-2003
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Mood: Under H20
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I think your assessment is pretty good. I could be in for some trouble, driving down soon.
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landyacht318
Nomad
Posts: 247
Registered: 7-28-2007
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The 11 pm models of forecast intensity have nearly doubled compared to the 8 pm forecast.
Shows the uncertainty of new tropical systems.
Hope this one is only a swell maker.
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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clouds this mornibg here on the bay
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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In La Paz light rain on & off all night.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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I don't like being in the States when bad things are brewing!
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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HaciendaCerritos
Junior Nomad
Posts: 61
Registered: 5-17-2009
Location: Todos Santos, Cerritos Beach
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Mood: Happy
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Overcast, breezy and light sprinkles coming and going here at Los Cerritos.
May be time to tie that darned pool palapa again!
I love the cool weather, it sure beats the heat we've had.
--Kathy
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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It has been raining for two days here in San Jose del Cabo and is pouring right now. Good straight down rain with very little wind...NICE
So far the road has held but if this keeps up all day, we over here on the La Playa side of the arroyo will probably be cut off from town.
75 and rain and dark with the promise of more rain to come
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BFS
Senior Nomad
Posts: 520
Registered: 9-28-2006
Location: Todos Santos
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No Wind Judy?
Hmmmm i guess i better get over to the bocana NOW
Sheesh I was just there yesterday, but I guess back to back trips is not necessarily a bad thing.
Aq
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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This guy is usually spot-on:
Posted by: JeffMasters, 6:58 AM MDT on October 12, 2009
In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Patricia is gathering strength, and should bring at least tropical storm force winds to Mexico's Baja Peninsula
Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Latest satellite loops of Patricia show that the storm has developed an impressive burst of heavy thunderstorms
with very cold cloud tops. Patricia is in an environment of low wind shear (5 - 10 knots) and warm sea surface temperatures (29°C), and these
conditions are expected to change little over the next 48 hours. This may give Patricia enough time to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane, as
predicted by the latest 2am EDT runs of the GFDL and HWRF models. While most of the computer models indicate that Patricia will turn to the west out
to sea Wednesday as the storm makes its closest approach to Baja, the HWRF model predicts the storm will grow large and strong enough to be influenced
by a trough of low pressure to the north, and track into the Gulf of California and make landfall in mainland Mexico.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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i'm with that guy! up the gulf...
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HaciendaCerritos
Junior Nomad
Posts: 61
Registered: 5-17-2009
Location: Todos Santos, Cerritos Beach
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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It's pouring now here at Los Cerritos. Very wet and mucky. Light breeze.
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DianaT
Select Nomad
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by vandenberg
This guy is usually spot-on:
Posted by: JeffMasters, 6:58 AM MDT on October 12, 2009
In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Patricia is gathering strength, and should bring at least tropical storm force winds to Mexico's Baja Peninsula
Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Latest satellite loops of Patricia show that the storm has developed an impressive burst of heavy thunderstorms
with very cold cloud tops. Patricia is in an environment of low wind shear (5 - 10 knots) and warm sea surface temperatures (29°C), and these
conditions are expected to change little over the next 48 hours. This may give Patricia enough time to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane, as
predicted by the latest 2am EDT runs of the GFDL and HWRF models. While most of the computer models indicate that Patricia will turn to the west out
to sea Wednesday as the storm makes its closest approach to Baja, the HWRF model predicts the storm will grow large and strong enough to be influenced
by a trough of low pressure to the north, and track into the Gulf of California and make landfall in mainland Mexico. |
I do hope he is wrong this time!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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AQ
rough and confused seas this morning.
While I was typing "very little wind", a gust snapped a palm frond off one of our Washingtonias
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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he'll be happy to read this when he gets back!!!!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
AQ
rough and confused seas this morning.
While I was typing "very little wind", a gust snapped a palm frond off one of our Washingtonias |
WEIRD
I posted this just after the other. I wonder why the delay
sorry...aq
Woody
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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accepted!
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BajaWarrior
Super Nomad
Posts: 2307
Registered: 9-27-2006
Location: Mission Bay, San Diego. Playa Hermosa, San Felipe.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Anxious to get south
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Hopefully it will move west sooner than later...
[Edited on 10-13-2009 by BajaWarrior]
Haven't had a bad trip yet....
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Thusfar this storm has not heeded the left turn sign.
Especially noticable on the www.eebmike.com site
[Edited on 10-13-2009 by vandenberg]
![patricia [].gif - 47kB](https://forums.bajanomad.com/files.php?pid=456585&aid=24724 "patricia [].gif - 47kB")
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HaciendaCerritos
Junior Nomad
Posts: 61
Registered: 5-17-2009
Location: Todos Santos, Cerritos Beach
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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I agree Vandenberg. I've been keeping an eye on this storm for obvious reasons and it sure looks like it is edging towards the SOC on eebmikes page.
Not much happening here at Los Cerritos. No rain right now, little wind. I guess we'll know more in the am.
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