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Author: Subject: Anyone optimistic about next year business wise in Baja.
arrowhead
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[*] posted on 12-2-2009 at 08:34 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Timo1
Oh yea
Hit us hard here too
Real estate prices and sales are back ...now with bidding on houses going on
Housing starts are WAY up
Unemployment is falling
Back to normal just about.....except the forestry industry


Canada didn't get hit as hard as the US because it didn't have the real estate bubble to the same extent as the US. Canadian banks enjoy a competitive environment that does not exist in the US. For all intents and purposes, there are only 5 Canadian banks. They hold 95% of the bank assets in Canada. So, competition is more gentlemanly (read fixed). Right now, a 30-year fixed rate mortgage in the US is priced around 4.75%. Canada doesn't have 30-year mortgages, they go out 25-years but will only fix the interest rate out to 10 years. A 10-year fixed rate mortgage in Canada now is around 6.95%. So, the same priced house in Canada has 50% higher mortgage payments than the same house in the US. Stability has its costs.

The forestry sector is in the tank because Canada sells most of its lumber to the US, which is used for construction. Construction in the US is almost non-existent.




No soy por ni contra apatía.
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Timo1
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[*] posted on 12-2-2009 at 08:49 PM


Thats real interesting....no idea where you get that from...Our fixed is at 4.17%
But you're the one that knows whats going on here I guess
by the way...our real estate is thru the roof on prices
Bubble???.....more like hot air balloon
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toneart
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[*] posted on 12-2-2009 at 08:52 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Bajahowodd
I'm with loco on that. Thought crossed my mind, but I figured that we all make mistakes. Hit the wrong key, Etc. That said, I consider Tony and rico to be amigos. They are welcome to U2U if they really don't understand.


Howie,
Here again is another terse, abstract post by you today. What is your reference here? I never questioned David's posting in the wrong place, if this is what you are talking about. K-Rico did. What is the U2U reference that I am supposed to not understand? The only thing(s) I don't understand are your posts today. Very strange. You are usually quite articulate. When you say something, please spell it all out. If you are questioning any of my logic in my posts, that is OK. I like the exchange. But you are kinda mumbling under your breath and I don't get it.

I don't know K-Rico, but I strive to be amigos with everyone here unless they unleash personal attacks. (I don't consider yours a personal attack by the way). OK amigo:?::D

Oops, it wasn't K-rico who questioned David's misplaced post. It was Monoloco. That really confuses me now. I have no idea what Bahowodd is talking about.

[Edited on 12-3-2009 by toneart]




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surebought
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[*] posted on 12-3-2009 at 08:01 AM


Thanks everyone for your thoughts about my question. I am new on bajanomads and I am finding it somewhat difficult to navigate. Thus the catagory of Hunting and Fishing. I will correct that error. You all expressed your thoughts with clarity and real knowledge of the situation in Baja. We are continuing with the Farmacia Medicine Man in Ensenada, by the way. We survived the Liquor Store two doors down which I understand is closing this week. And you won't get much argument from me about the motives of Big Pharma. But that's a story for another post.



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Stick around while the clown who is sick, does the trick of disaster. Neil Young from Mr Soul.
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BajaGeoff
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[*] posted on 12-3-2009 at 11:33 AM


From what we have seen in our business over the last few months, things are turning around for the better. Our sales last month were almost on par with 2007 levels, which is incredible. It is not just us either...Hugh Kramer from Discover Baja indicated they had seen the same upswing recently too.

We still have a long way to go, but are optimistic for 2010. With all the factors contributing to make 2009 as rough as it was (drug crime, swine flu, bad economy, new passport requirement) I think 2010 will be a great year. Even if there are more economic bubbles bursting, Baja will continue to be a great value for travelers.

Just my optimistic two cents!




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Bajahowodd
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[*] posted on 12-3-2009 at 12:18 PM
My Bad, Tony


Quote:
Originally posted by toneart
Quote:
Originally posted by Bajahowodd
I'm with loco on that. Thought crossed my mind, but I figured that we all make mistakes. Hit the wrong key, Etc. That said, I consider Tony and rico to be amigos. They are welcome to U2U if they really don't understand.


Howie,
Here again is another terse, abstract post by you today. What is your reference here? I never questioned David's posting in the wrong place, if this is what you are talking about. K-Rico did. What is the U2U reference that I am supposed to not understand? The only thing(s) I don't understand are your posts today. Very strange. You are usually quite articulate. When you say something, please spell it all out. If you are questioning any of my logic in my posts, that is OK. I like the exchange. But you are kinda mumbling under your breath and I don't get it.

I don't know K-Rico, but I strive to be amigos with everyone here unless they unleash personal attacks. (I don't consider yours a personal attack by the way). OK amigo:?::D

Oops, it wasn't K-rico who questioned David's misplaced post. It was Monoloco. That really confuses me now. I have no idea what Bahowodd is talking about.

[Edited on 12-3-2009 by toneart]



Just coming to the realization that I can't multi-task as I once did. For the last few minutes before I left here yesterday, I was engaged in a discussion with someone and had only one eye on these posts. I'm sticking to that story.:P
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wessongroup
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[*] posted on 12-4-2009 at 06:49 AM


Don't see a lot of "growth" for Northern Baja.. as it is more dependent on border cross traffic, and with the "jobs" situation in the United States.. it's going to be a while, a long while for things to pick up.

The other singular important issue for growth is the lack of water. Drip can only go so far, and recycling of waster water too.

It's hard for any real industry to develop without water and power.

Can't really see where the jobs are going to come from in the States.. unemployment is 40% in many of the Agricultural growing areas in California, NO WATER and the average for the States if you believe the "stats" is 10.2%, with many just giving up.. there is no work for many, many people, or work that would pay the "living style" most Americans have come to expect".

Lack of jobs in the U.S. is only one issue facing Baja North in the coming year(s)

The only positive thing I know about Baja North, these people are used to not having... so not having is not a biG woof to most of them ... they still get by

I see them coming down to the flats in front of where I'm staying at low tide to get "lobster, shell fish and the rest.

The people here are a tough lot, they have to be.... used to be that way in the United States 70 years ago.. either you "cut it" or you were on the street looking for a place to sleep...

One other thing, please tell me your Bank that is giving you 4.16% on a 30 year fixed loan PLEASE

[Edited on 12-4-2009 by wessongroup]




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[*] posted on 12-4-2009 at 06:56 AM


one thing's for sure. the waves keep coming!!!

if the cartel scare keeps up maybe DK's maps won't be such a big deal for a few more years..... 'cuz where we go there ain't nothing but what you bring.




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[*] posted on 12-4-2009 at 07:00 AM


"'cuz where we go there ain't nothing but what you bring"

That and another poster who said please "don't pave the roads" are the two big ones that helps keep things right.. just about any place




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[*] posted on 12-4-2009 at 07:06 AM


I know some of the management staff at some of the Los Cabos resorts. They ALL tell me that reservations for the next 4 months are WAY UP for the same period at this time last year. Here's to keeping your fingers crossed!
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