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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3294
Registered: 1-11-2007
Location: Buena Vista BCS
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Hurricane coming next week?
Interesting forcast for the Cabo area around the 10th...
http://magicseaweed.com/msw-surf-charts2.php?region=19&r...
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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Russ
Elite Nomad
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I've never seen anything like that before. Way Cool! Hope the forecast is really wrong cuz I need to go north in a week. May have to leave early.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
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Location: Buena Vista BCS
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I'm headed back to Buena Vista around then, guess I'd better take the gas powered blender. .......dt
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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Bajatripper
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I hope it proves to be right, we can use the rain (as I'm always saying these days). It has been hot and muggy these last few days. Although there's
been a pleasant breeze in the early afternoon, not so at night, dead still.
There most certainly is but one side to every story: the TRUTH. Variations of it are nothing but lies.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
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yeah D, looks like the same track Hilary was suppossed to take, curving towards Cabo in a week. who knows? the models only really get a grip about 90
hours out. from that point until zero hour is 90%.
fingers crossed.
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Eli
Super Nomad
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I fly into Los Cabos on the 8th. It will be interesting to see who is in town when I arrive. I would love to see rain without wind, if that is
possible.
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Bajatripper
Ultra Nomad
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Eli
I fly into Los Cabos on the 8th. It will be interesting to see who is in town when I arrive. I would love to see rain without wind, if that is
possible. |
I read somewhere that La Paz is in the driest part of the Cape Region, and driving through it this year really puts that in perspective. While much of
the Cape Region is covered in green, our hills continue to have that post-nuclear holocaust look.
In short, I'd take my rain with sh*t about now.
Welcome home, Eli. It'll be good to have you back.
[Edited on 10-4-2011 by Bajatripper]
There most certainly is but one side to every story: the TRUTH. Variations of it are nothing but lies.
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rob
Senior Nomad
Posts: 509
Registered: 10-19-2004
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
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Hurricane chart
Here is the forecast - code named "Igor" (unofficially) - either Magic Seaweed will turn out to be prognosticadores extraordinarias or smokers of own
product as none of the other weather sites have picked up on this (yet).
Talking of strange forecasts - my favorite surf forecast website posted a very strange wave energy reading for Hilary at Punta Marquez last week - I
worked out that would have produced a beach break of about 194ft high . . .. sorry Woody!
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Ateo
Elite Nomad
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Registered: 7-18-2011
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From Surfline:TROPICS: A disturbance off southern Mexico doesn't look like it's going to develop a whole bunch, but we'll continue to monitor it.
Nothing else is brewing now, although long range charts indicate that we may see something develop in a few days. For all tropical storm activity be
sure to check out Hurricanetrak.
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Bob H
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Predicting where a hurricane will develop and travel to this early is as good as predicting an earthquake tomorrow anywhere.
The SAME boiling water that softens the potato hardens the egg. It's about what you are made of NOT the circumstance.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
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another site i follow shows igor blowing up in 100 hours (with a mini storm to the southwest of it) and running into cabo. kinda goofy that a second
storm forms so close, but hey, it's mexico!
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Osprey
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Location: Baja Ca. Sur
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Water temps in the SOC are 90 to 94º from way south of Cabo north to Santa Rosalita, shore to shore. That's what we normally refer to as a Welcome Mat
but Eastern Pacific Highs off the west coast of Baja have kept all the hopefuls so far south, east or powerless.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
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The water here is nowhere near 90....I would guess much closer to 80.
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Bill Collector
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Water temp today 89.5 in front of Punta Colorado..
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woody with a view
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Judy
i check out this site regularly:
http://www.terrafin.com/sstview/showFreeChart.php?ct=free&am...
it would be nice to know how their temps corolate (sp?) to the real world.....
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
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Location: Buena Vista BCS
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Don't expect DK to help you with your spelling woody, he's been taking a beating lately.. ..
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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landyacht318
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Here is another weather model showing something building in the tropics.
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?gfs_pcpn_slp+///6
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
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D, i don't count on DK for much except a leg for me to pee on, occassionaly (spell this!)
Yachtster, it kinda validates my version of reality with the smaller storm forming...
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torch
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man o man, I'm fishing the east cape that week. I hope the forcast is wrong or i'll have one hell of a week long hangover.
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042340
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 4 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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