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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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Norman Up the SOC?---- dead
Oh Boy!
[Edited on 9-30-2012 by Russ]
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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Norman
You bad boy
Where did you come from?
More rain!?!?!?!?!?
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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Sat. shot
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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satellite data and ship observations indicate that the low
pressure area between the West Coast of Mainland Mexico and Baja
California now has a closed surface circulation. SHIPS observations
of 45 to 50 kt from elevated anemometers suggest that the initial
intensity is around 40 kt...and advisories are being initiated on
Tropical Storm Norman at this time. Norman is situated in an
environment of 15 to 20 kt of southwesterly shear...as microwave
imagery indicates that the surface center is displaced about a
degree to the southwest of the mid-level circulation. This shear is
forecast by the global models to continue until the center moves
inland...so the NHC forecast only shows a little intensification
before landfall. After the center moves inland...quick weakening is
expected...and the cyclone is expected to dissipate by 48 hours.
The initial motion estimate is 360/14...as Norman is situated
between a subtropical ridge centered over the Gulf of Mexico and a
mid-level low to the west. A general northward motion is expected
during the next day or so...and Norman is forecast to make landfall
within 24 hours. After landfall...the weakening cyclone may turn
northwestward before dissipating. The NHC forecast is near the
middle of the guidance envelope through landfall.
Users are reminded not to focus on the exact track of the
center since Norman has a large area of tropical-storm force
winds. In addition...heavy rainfall and flash flooding are also
expected over portions of the Mexican states of sinaloa and far
western Durango.
Forecast positions and Max winds
init 28/1500z 22.8n 108.6w 40 kt 45 mph
12h 29/0000z 24.8n 108.8w 45 kt 50 mph
24h 29/1200z 26.5n 109.2w 30 kt 35 mph...inland
36h 30/0000z 27.5n 109.9w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/remnt low
48h 30/1200z...dissipated
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13049
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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lets hope Norman doesnt turn NW...is it raining in the cape area still?
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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there are some Blue Moon mysto surf spots up along both coasts (and islands!) in the gulf....
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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Jeeeezo....Stormpulse shows Norman [can we call it Norm?] being sucked up into the gulf like a vacuum cleaner.
https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/products/pacific
Be sure to turn on the clouds............
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vjfamily
Junior Nomad
Posts: 63
Registered: 9-13-2004
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Steady rain for the last hour in Buenavista. Very overcast, not much wind.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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duh....i can't remember how to turn on the clouds??
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Not to worry it looks like its going east and causing havoc, floods on the mainland. Then its going to Texas for some much needed rain
[Edited on 9-28-2012 by comitan]
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by mulegemichael
duh....i can't remember how to turn on the clouds?? |
Click on the little radio Button next to "CLOUDS" in the box.
I know it ain't easy, Mike, but I have confidence that you can do it. 
.
[Edited on 9-28-2012 by DENNIS]
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BillP
Nomad
Posts: 420
Registered: 1-28-2010
Location: Lake Havasu City, AZ
Member Is Offline
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Click here for some La Paz storm pics. They got a lot of rain!
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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Just when we thought we'd seen the last of Normans' influence over here there are projected paths bringing what's left back across the SOC. We had
some heavy rains this morning and right now it looks like Mulege is getting hammered again.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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desertcpl
Super Nomad
Posts: 2405
Registered: 10-26-2008
Location: yuma,az
Member Is Offline
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my feeling is, it might just keep coming up the gulf and the warmer waters, I think Dennis might be right, the gulf is acting like a vacuum cleaner
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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R.I.P. Tropical Depression Norman
Ferocious wind shear is knocking the liverwurst out what little remains of the tropical wave...
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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It may have had the stuffing knocked out of it but we had some heavy showers this morning that didn't show on the satellite. We've had enough rain for
awhile now. Any more is just clean up work.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3294
Registered: 1-11-2007
Location: Buena Vista BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Tranquilo
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Any new east cape weather reports? Heading south from San Diego tomorrow morning, hope the road is still there....
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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The remnants of Norman are turning towards Mulege. Heavy rains here in Nopolo, no wind.
This storm made an about face. I know we need rain, but this is a little excessive. 
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Marie-Rose
Senior Nomad
Posts: 894
Registered: 10-2-2003
Location: Victoria, B.C. and Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: Worried...
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Huge washouts in El Triumfo. 
I have no idea of how to share pics posted on my Facebook... sorry!
Remember, when in Mexico, yes may be no and no may be
maybe!
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Mulegena
Super Nomad
Posts: 2412
Registered: 11-7-2006
Member Is Offline
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Business As Usual
A BIG spashdown at 6 this morning got me scrambling to close windows-- sunny with partial clouds to the north now, 9:30 a.m.
"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." ~ Aristotle
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