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Osprey
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3694
Registered: 5-23-2004
Location: Baja Ca. Sur
Member Is Offline
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Several years back a major hurricane formed on the Mexican coast, went northwest as usual. There was another about the same size following right on
it's heel and NOAA and others said the second would not have the energy of the first because #1s motion would cool the track. They were wrong. It got
a lot stronger than storm #1 and did some major damage to Todo Santos and that part of the peninsula.
I lost a palapa in #2s winds so I can attest to that theory not being written in steel. All I get from my Mexican neighbors and pals when I give them
storm predictions from the internet is, A Poco.
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6700
Registered: 9-5-2003
Member Is Offline
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The coop is my major source and they don't get too worried until it gets close.
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BornFisher
Super Nomad
Posts: 2119
Registered: 1-11-2005
Location: K-38 Santa Martha/Encinitas
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by DavidE
8/26/13 Desde Bahía Asunción
My rain gauge measured 7-9/16" rainfall since Friday. |
How much rain? I`m a bit confused here!
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bajadogs
Super Nomad
Posts: 1076
Registered: 8-28-2006
Member Is Offline
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I believe that's about seven and a half inches.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 65276
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron
Friends made it back from Seven Sisters area but got dumped on---I'm sure we'll see some pics. |
Great to hear they got out... We know how difficult getting a rescue team in there will be since it is forbidden to post maps, or photos of any roads
that go in that direction! The Area 51 of Baja (it doesn't exist on Nomad maps but EVERYONE knows about it)!!! 
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bajaguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9247
Registered: 9-16-2003
Location: Carson City, NV/Ensenada - Baja Country Club
Member Is Offline
Mood: must be 5 O'clock somewhere in Baja
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They need a SPOT!!!
| Quote: | Originally posted by David K
| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron
Friends made it back from Seven Sisters area but got dumped on---I'm sure we'll see some pics. |
Great to hear they got out... We know how difficult getting a rescue team in there will be since it is forbidden to post maps, or photos of any roads
that go in that direction! The Area 51 of Baja (it doesn't exist on Nomad maps but EVERYONE knows about it)!!! |
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monoloco
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6667
Registered: 7-13-2009
Location: Pescadero BCS
Member Is Offline
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It's a nice cool 82º with 8-10 mph NW wind off the ocean here in Pescadero.
"The future ain't what it used to be"
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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Cut N Paste Discussion+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N115W. SW-W FLOW COVERS THE WATERS
TO THE W OF THE ANTICYCLONE AHEAD OF A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING 30N140W. DRY AND STABLE AIR IS PRESENT W OF A LINE
FROM THE NORTHERN/SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BORDER THROUGH
20N120W TO 15N140W. AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 108W N OF
14N INTO NW MEXICO. MAINLY EASTERLY/ZONAL WINDS ALOFT DOMINATE
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...THE 1008 MB POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW
IVO IS NEAR 27N116W. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS ACCOMPANIED BY 8 TO 9 FT SEAS ARE IN AN AREA
BETWEEN 60 NM AND 240 NM IN THE W AND NW QUADRANTS OF THE LOW.
THESE WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH/SUBSIDE DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE REMNANT CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO SPIN DOWN.
WEAK AND BROAD 1018 MB HIGH PRES IS NEAR 32N128W WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING SE-S TO NEAR 22N117W. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND
4 TO 7 FT SEAS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NW WATERS...WITH SEAS
FORECAST TO SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 6 FT TONIGHT.
WEAK 1012 MB LOW PRES IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
14N123W. A RECENT ASCAT PASS WENT RIGHT OVER THE LOW AND
INDICATED ONLY MODERATE WINDS. ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS ARE LOCATED NEAR THE LOW. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER 1012 MB LOW IS
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N134W. MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS...LOCALLY STRONG...AND SEAS TO 8 FT ARE OCCURRING WITHIN
120 NM OF THE LOW CENTER. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO RETROGRADE TO
THE E DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ASSOCIATED WINDS AND
SEAS SHIFTING E WITH ITS PROGRESSION.
THE TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANYING THE LOW DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES WILL INTERACT WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH WED
HELPING TO ENHANCE SOUTHERLY MONSOONAL FLOW S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SEAS ARE ALREADY 8 TO 9 FT FROM ROUGHLY 07N TO 12
BETWEEN 102W AND 107W AND WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
FRESH TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W BY WED
AFTERNOON.
$$
LEWITSKY
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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Hi Osprey,
Could you possibly recall the year of those events? Wouldn't mind reading a NOAA analysis, tracks, timing, associated with that. The "Fujiwhara
Effect" is extremely rare so a close call is of interest to me.
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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| Quote: | Originally posted by David K
| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron
Friends made it back from Seven Sisters area but got dumped on---I'm sure we'll see some pics. |
Great to hear they got out... We know how difficult getting a rescue team in there will be since it is forbidden to post maps, or photos of any roads
that go in that direction! The Area 51 of Baja (it doesn't exist on Nomad maps but EVERYONE knows about it)!!! |
Seven Sisters? Who said anything about the Seven Sisters?
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron[/i
Seven Sisters? Who said anything about the Seven Sisters?
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They're as elusive as the muslim martyrs virgins. 
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Udo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6364
Registered: 4-26-2008
Location: Black Hills, SD/Ensenada/San Felipe
Member Is Offline
Mood: TEQUILA!
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You should have covered up your windows and doors like we did, two weeks ago.
I think everyone in town is too busy helping themselves and immediate neighbors.
Hopefully your windows and doors are OK.
You can probably call Jaime, the town carpenter, to make and install some window and door plywood... 011521-615 155 8890.
He is about 6 houses south of you.
| Quote: | Originally posted by BajaLuna
Udo, we r still at home in WA right now, but will be leaving here on Sept 7th to head down to BA for 2 weeks.
If you need us to do anything, let me know.
And if anyone needs anything brought down, let us know, we should be in San Diego on Sept. 8th and 9th.
a little worried about our house in BA, hope all is ok!
stay safe, everyone! |
Udo
Youth is wasted on the young!
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Osprey
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3694
Registered: 5-23-2004
Location: Baja Ca. Sur
Member Is Offline
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David E, I'll run thru the last dozen or so year's tracks with some sites and see if I can find it. shouldn't be that tough if I can see the tracks
cause they were in the very regular train the engine spawns and moves.
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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Pretty unusual event. My interest is 101% nerd. Steering currents, coriolis effect that year, sea surface temps, jet stream tracks. Still attempting
to learn this stuff. I like my dart board to be as big as possible 
Thanks!
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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DianaT
Select Nomad
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
Member Is Offline
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If you remember, when you looked at our house, we already had all the boards made and marked by Jamie with the screws along side on a shelf in the
bodega --- boards for all the windows and the sliding glass door. Along with that, we had wood put around the windows to make putting the boards
up easier. BajaLuna has an inventory as to what was left at the house, and Jamie's phone number, so all that was needed was a phone call. She knows
that Jamie has put them up when we have requested that he do so and we paid him our next trip down. One does need to watch the weather when they are
gone, especially this time of year.
| Quote: | Originally posted by Udo
You should have covered up your windows and doors like we did, two weeks ago.
I think everyone in town is too busy helping themselves and immediate neighbors.
Hopefully your windows and doors are OK.
You can probably call Jaime, the town carpenter, to make and install some window and door plywood... 011521-615 155 8890.
He is about 6 houses south of you.
| Quote: | Originally posted by BajaLuna
Udo, we r still at home in WA right now, but will be leaving here on Sept 7th to head down to BA for 2 weeks.
If you need us to do anything, let me know.
And if anyone needs anything brought down, let us know, we should be in San Diego on Sept. 8th and 9th.
a little worried about our house in BA, hope all is ok!
stay safe, everyone! |
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6451
Registered: 9-19-2009
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by rts551
ignore all those models. The AJAPTM knows better. I know another Amateur who thought that IVO was dead on arrival as well. I am watching the
experts myself. |
hey, give the AJAPTM a break! ten pages ago he predicted a large bubble of hot air out in
asuncion. boy was he right!
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DianaT
Select Nomad
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by rts551
The coop is my major source and they don't get too worried until it gets close. |
Hey, how can you trust their information. Have you forgotten that there are many crooks and not so honorable people working for the co-op in
Abreojos?
[Edited on 8-27-2013 by DianaT]
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6700
Registered: 9-5-2003
Member Is Offline
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no the co-op is ok...its the Nomad coop that I worry about.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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| Quote: | Originally posted by David K
Great to hear they got out... We know how difficult getting a rescue team in there will be since it is forbidden to post maps, or photos of any roads
that go in that direction! The Area 51 of Baja (it doesn't exist on Nomad maps but EVERYONE knows about it)!!! |
sweet mother of god!!! i think he gets it!
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Marc
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2802
Registered: 5-15-2010
Location: San Francisco & Palm Springs
Member Is Offline
Mood: Waiting
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So, it's goodbye Mulege...again???
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