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Author: Subject: Tis the season - Dual Hurricanes: Andres & Blanca
shari
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 06:23 AM


overcast, 70, calm, slight misting at times with a few drops of rain here in Asuncion. Sure would like a report from Mag Bay or Constiticion...san ignacio? Wonder if they have power?



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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 06:25 AM


Steady howling wind and rain finally quit at 6:30 this morning.

Still blowing and drizzling a little here in Lopez Mateos.

Power did not go out and still have internet.

Life is good. Just a lot of muddy streets.
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Bob and Susan
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 06:27 AM


here on the bay in mulege...
the rain started at 3am
the wind at midnite

it was like a firehose on the doors

lots of water

SAT internet in and out with the heavy water downpour

wind about 25mph

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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 06:42 AM


Our storm came in during the darkness with strong winds and rain. Not heavy rain but came down steadily until this morning. We are still in dark clouds and the Sierra Laguna is not visible. The ocean was very angry yesterday afternoon with beautiful views out at clouds over the Pacific. My yard is dirty with palm debris but no damage. Good luck Loreto and Mulege. Going out for a morning walk. Tio
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:00 AM


Kudos to the weatherman. This time the predictions held true, start to finish (I guess it's not over yet but still right on line). Took the buoys, airplanes, the works but it was a good job and everybody down this way got info they could use and count on.

I'll post again about damage in Los Cabos when it hits the news. No real damage here in East Cape that I know about -- we kept our services throughout.

Anyone need 350 large, hard, green mangos? I think I'll pick some of them up but the ones that do mature properly will all do it at the same time and within a day or two and I just can't eat that many smoothies in two days.
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shari
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:07 AM


what a relief for those of you who just got rain but not much damage...I sure would like some mangos! Let's hope Mulege can report the same after today.

thanks so much for posting here to let us know what's up...so I will take the laundry in but not water the garden perhaps.




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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:11 AM


TROPICAL STORM BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A
600 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

...WEAKENING BLANCA MAKES LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...

SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
The center of Tropical Storm Blanca has made landfall near Puerto
Cortes Mexico in Baja California Sur. This is the earliest
landfall of a tropical cyclone on record in the Baja California
peninsula.

At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 111.8 West. Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the
forecast track the center of Blanca will move near or over portions
of the southern and central Baja California peninsula today through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Blanca is
expected to weaken to a tropical depression by tonight. Blanca will
likely dissipate near or over central or northern portions of the
Baja California peninsula on Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac




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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:15 AM


Just looked at the Mulege webcam,, it is still on at 8am MDT
looks like the rio is running west of town but no word from anyone yet in town from the bridge out...
At this point the rio does not look to be overbearing.... but if it is high tide the estuary will be overflowing..




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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:18 AM


What Ross said.....BUT if it's raining like that in the Mountains....???? Watch out...takes a while for the water to come down.....



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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:19 AM


Any boats in Caleta San Juanico have the center of the disturbance virtually right over them.

Loreto getting a lot, too, it would seem. No one from there reporting in. :?:

I guess we can assume that power is down in Loreto. Anybody???
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:21 AM


Quote: Originally posted by CJ  
Here in loreto we have wind gusting to probably around 40 mph. And light rain. Started sometime around four o'clock. So far so good :cool:




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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:22 AM


From latest satellite shots, it looks like Blanca has made a strong turn to the east ...........not sure, but it sure deviated from the forecasted track if Im not mistaken
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:23 AM


Quote: Originally posted by mtnpop  
Just looked at the Mulege webcam,, it is still on at 8am MDT
looks like the rio is running west of town but no word from anyone yet in town from the bridge out...
At this point the rio does not look to be overbearing.... but if it is high tide the estuary will be overflowing..


High tide will probably be in the late afternoon, if our tides over here are any indication. It should be passed Mulege by then.

Looks like we in Sonora will have taken the baton from you, by then.
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:24 AM


Quote: Originally posted by BajaNomad  
Quote: Originally posted by CJ  
Here in loreto we have wind gusting to probably around 40 mph. And light rain. Started sometime around four o'clock. So far so good :cool:


That was 2-3 hours ago.
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:36 AM


Like tio said, it came and it went and left little to no damage. It blew pretty good most of the night. I lost some palm leaves on a roof and some branches on a few trees but nothing else. All is good!
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 07:44 AM


8:40 am. in Loreto...the rain has stopped for now. Lots of clouds can barely see Isla Coronado, can't see Carmen from the front porch. The wind is about the same 35 mph or so. No damage. We really haven't gotten that much rain; but my roof leaks in the usual places....prolly be sunny before the day is over....
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 08:01 AM


Looks like it may be headed out into the gulf

Could pick up some steam (literally) and bring heavier than anticipated rains to the north
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 08:11 AM
Mulege at 8AM PDT


Saul says there have been no flood warnings issued by the local authorities (at this time). Power and phones working.

Mulege cam shows water on the old ballfield, but not as bad as Odile.

Will call him later today for an update.
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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 08:16 AM


TROPICAL STORM BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
900 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

...WEAKENING BLANCA OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 112.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM NE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the southern Baja California peninsula south of La Paz
and south of Santa Fe.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Loreto
* Santa Fe to Punta Abreojos

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Loreto to Mulege

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 112.0 West. Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the
forecast track the center of Blanca will move near or over portions
of the southern and central Baja California peninsula today through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next day
or so, and Blanca is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by
Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. An unofficial weather station at Loreto, on the
east coast of Baja California Sur, recently reported a wind gust to
46 mph (74 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the warning area today. Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area today.

RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and
the southern half of the state of Baja California, with isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches over Baja California Sur. There was an
unofficial rainfall total of 5.18 inches reported at Loreto.
These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall associated with Blanca will begin to affect the
southwestern United States today.

SURF: Swells generated by Blanca near the coast of the Baja
California peninsula are expected to begin to diminish later today,
For additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
900 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Blanca made
landfall near Puerto Cortes on Isla Santa Margarita around 1200
UTC with an estimated landfall intensity of 40 kt. Since that time,
some weakening has likely occurred and the current intensity is
reduced to 35 kt. Blanca should continue to weaken over the next
day or so as it interacts with the terrain of the Baja California
peninsula and continues to be influenced by strong shear. The
system should become a tropical depression by this evening, and
degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday. The official intensity
forecast is close to the intensity model consensus.

The motion estimate remains at 345/13 kt. This general motion,
between a low- to mid-level high to the east of Blanca and a
mid-level low to the west
, is likely to continue until the cyclone
dissipates. The official track forecast is similar to the previous
one, and remains close to the dynamical model consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/1500Z 25.1N 112.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
12H 09/0000Z 26.7N 112.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/1200Z 28.5N 113.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac




When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel

We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez

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[*] posted on 6-8-2015 at 08:16 AM


9:15 am. In loreto, no visibility, hard rain.....winds the same. TV lost the signal....OMG no Fox News what to do?
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