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willyAirstream
Super Nomad
Posts: 1786
Registered: 1-1-2010
Member Is Offline
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Rain and wind just stopped. River has not risen and rumors from Bomberos and others is that the mountains didn't get much rain. People along the river
by my place are packed and ready to vacate, full trailers everywhere. CFE is prepared, must be 20 guys at Mulege Hotel. Pinquenos is open, Manuel
Cuesta is open, Alba closed, clinic closed, most stores closed and long line for gas. It could be over. Hook, the last one took about an hour to go
from river bank to Sauls. There are no made made obstacles, except for the huge dirt dam by La Prisimo, sp. I took pics of the river, but it is not
worth posting them, it looks normal.
Calm and a hint of sun here now.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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TROPICAL STORM BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A
1200 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015
...BLANCA PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 112.7W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSW OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the southern Baja California peninsula south of La Paz
and south of Santa Fe.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Loreto
* Santa Fe to Punta Abreojos
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Loreto to Mulege
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 112.7 West. Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the
forecast track the center of Blanca will move near or over portions
of the central Baja California peninsula today through Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next day
or so, and Blanca is expected to become a tropical depression later
today and degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the warning area today. Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area today.
RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and
the southern half of the state of Baja California, with isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches over Baja California Sur. There was an
unofficial rainfall total of 7.85 inches reported at Loreto. These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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here on the bay in mulege...
no rain...still VERY windy 40mph plus
the bay has waves today
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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Now, Tropical Depression Blanca...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 33
300 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015
...BLANCA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 113.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm
Watches and Warnings.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Blanca
was located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 113.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28
km/h) and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track the center
of Blanca will move near or over portions of the central Baja
California peninsula today through Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next day
or so, and Blanca is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by
early Tuesday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over parts of the central and eastern
Baja California peninsula. Rainfall associated with Blanca will
also begin to affect the southwestern United States this afternoon
through Tuesday.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33
300 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015
Blanca's cloud pattern continues to lose organization, and deep
convection is diminishing. Assuming a continued spin down of the
circulation during the day, the current intensity is set at 30 kt.
This is also consistent with the Dvorak intensity estimate from
UW-CIMSS. Continued weakening should occur due to shear and
interaction with the Baja California peninsula, and Blanca is
expected to become a remnant low in about 12 hours. The official
intensity forecast is near the high end of the guidance.
The initial motion is a little faster, or 340/15 kt. Over the next
day or so, Blanca or its remnants should move north-northwestward to
northward in the flow between a high to its east and a low to its
west. The official track forecast is similar to the dynamical
model consensus.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/2100Z 26.7N 113.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 09/0600Z 28.3N 114.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H 09/1800Z 30.2N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 10/0600Z 32.0N 115.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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We havent gotten diddely over here, except winds to the mid 30s. All the clouds showing up on infrared just dont have high enough tops to create any
rain......at least not yet. Not even trace amounts here. Very disappointing not to get enough to settle the dust.
There could be some storm surge and wave damage to a couple beach side restaurants, though. High tide still 2+ hours away.
http://www.posadacondominiums.com/webcam.php
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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Just checked the Borrego Springs weather...looks like the remnant low from Blanca will drift up to the Coachella/Imperial Valley area by Wednesday and
maybe drum up some thunderstorm activity.
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Whale-ista
Super Nomad
Posts: 2009
Registered: 2-18-2013
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
Mood: Sunny with chance of whales
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Wow... what a slice that drive took. Good to see it is slowing down. Hope the rain is relatively gentle...
I bet a lot of people to the NE will welcome the rain (in moderation).
We will miss it here in San Diego...
\"Probably the airplanes will bring week-enders from Los Angeles before long, and the beautiful poor bedraggled old town will bloom with a
Floridian ugliness.\" (John Steinbeck, 1940, discussing the future of La Paz, BCS, Mexico)
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BajaLiz
Newbie
Posts: 15
Registered: 6-24-2013
Location: Loreto, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Mostly quiet in Loreto with some blue skies showing through.
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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for us on the bay in mulege...the hurricane is over
lots of water but no damage...we dodged a bullet again
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64749
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Blanca over Blanca's 4pm PDT Monday
The eye is very near La Bocana, BCS...
https://www.windyty.com/?27.289,-112.478,7
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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that site is real pretty but this is reality...its wrong
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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http://www.bcsnoticias.mx/lluvia-de-blanca-provoca-que-camio...
[Edited on 6-9-2015 by BajaNomad]
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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do the passengers on that bus beat up the driver, just in case they don't drown?
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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| Quote: |
People salvage some of their belongings after rising seas overnight from Hurricane Blanca, in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Sunday June 7, 2015. The
unpredictable storm strengthened rapidly to a Category 4 storm on Saturday, but the U.S. National Hurricane Center says it has since weakened a
tropical storm on Monday. (Photo: Eduardo Verdugo)
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When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64749
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Wow, we have three different versions of where the center of Blanca is!
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Archie
Nomad
Posts: 163
Registered: 4-23-2012
Member Is Offline
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this is the most recent sat image animation from eebmike, two hours ago.
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Pescador
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3587
Registered: 10-17-2002
Location: Baja California Sur
Member Is Offline
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David, Windily is a great site, but it is based only on prediction, whereas the others are based on satellite. Even there we have had some
differences.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13045
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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well, I'm eating my hat here...we took a butt kicking this afternoon around 1 or so when all of a sudden, it got real hot and BAM a huge wind kicked
up from the NE!!! I was confident with the buoy weathers prediction of 15-25 knots and we werent prepared for the 50 knot a$$ kicking wind we got.
Stuff was flying around and Juan & I took turns trying to hold the window out as it was bowing in badly and I really thought it was going to blow
out...er in...and we would have had a real disaster on our hands.
My little trailer was being blown so bad I thought it was going over the cliff for sure. It lasted a couple hours, then it rained a bit and the swell
got real big and now things have settled down but looks like a bit more rain around.
Lesson learned...dont trust the internet! and put smaller windows in!
So I believe it when the "eye" was over La Bocana...wonder how everyone did there and in Abreojos. How is San Ignacio? Looks like BOLA might get some
wind too.
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