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| Bruce R Leech 
 
Elite Nomad
        
 
 
Posts: 6796
 
Registered: 9-20-2004
 Location: Ensenada formerly Mulege
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  A lot cooler than Mulege
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 is there any one on line from La Paz or south that can give a currant report?
 
 
 
 
 Bruce R Leech 
Ensenada
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| Bajabus 
 
Senior Nomad
     
 
 
 
Posts: 892
 
Registered: 8-30-2002
 Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  My friends..it's good.
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| 
 been trying to raise pino in vinorama and some others down in that area without luck......still no word from lou who is also close to
vinorama.....same with cabo pulmo........as soon as I hear something I will post.   Lou at least was sending us regular e-mails every hour or so
yesterday.
 
 
 
 
 "Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing." 
Dwight David Eisenhower | 
|  | 
| Bruce R Leech 
 
Elite Nomad
        
 
 
Posts: 6796
 
Registered: 9-20-2004
 Location: Ensenada formerly Mulege
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  A lot cooler than Mulege
 |  | 
| 
 I'm sure the power is off but some may have backup power and no telephone service. or there dishes may be gone.
 
 
 
 
 Bruce R Leech 
Ensenada
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| bill erhardt 
 
Super Nomad
      
 
 
 
Posts: 1376
 
Registered: 4-2-2005
 Location: Loreto, BCS
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 7:00 a.m. in Loreto and telephone and electic service still intact.  Intermittent heavy rains throughout the night.  At daybreak there are gusty 15 -
20 knot winds from the NNE and thick layered clouds to the west.  Except in heavy rains the outline of Carmen can be seen to the east.  I have not
been up to the arroyo south of town, but I imagine that it will be awhile until those of us in Colonia Zaragosa make it in to el centro.
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| Bajabus 
 
Senior Nomad
     
 
 
 
Posts: 892
 
Registered: 8-30-2002
 Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  My friends..it's good.
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| 
 Hopefully we will hear something soon from that area.  Most of our customers in that area have double redundant power systems....I suspect the dishes
may be out of whack and hope it's not worse than that.
 
 
 
 
 "Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing." 
Dwight David Eisenhower | 
|  | 
| Bruce R Leech 
 
Elite Nomad
        
 
 
Posts: 6796
 
Registered: 9-20-2004
 Location: Ensenada formerly Mulege
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  A lot cooler than Mulege
 |  | 
| 
 
 | Quote: |  | Originally posted by bill erhardt 7:00 a.m. in Loreto and telephone and electic service still intact.  Intermittent heavy rains throughout the night.  At daybreak there are gusty 15 -
20 knot winds from the NNE and thick layered clouds to the west.  Except in heavy rains the outline of Carmen can be seen to the east.  I have not
been up to the arroyo south of town, but I imagine that it will be awhile until those of us in Colonia Zaragosa make it in to el centro.
 | 
 
 thanks Bill you are the furthest south person I have been able to reach.
 
 the weather here is about the same as yours but a little less breeze
 
 
 
 
 Bruce R Leech 
Ensenada
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| bill erhardt 
 
Super Nomad
      
 
 
 
Posts: 1376
 
Registered: 4-2-2005
 Location: Loreto, BCS
 
Member Is Offline
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| John 
 
 This is looking south into an oncoming John around 7:30 this morning from the panga playa in Colonia Zaragosa (Loreto).  My boats are under cover
about 10 feet higher than these pangas and I am worried.  I hope that the pangueros know something I dont.
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| Bajabus 
 
Senior Nomad
     
 
 
 
Posts: 892
 
Registered: 8-30-2002
 Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  My friends..it's good.
 |  | 
| 
 nice photos..thanks...check out how loaded with silt the water is from land runoff.
 
 Been trying to ping some of our customers modems in the area without luck.
 
 
 
 
 "Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing." 
Dwight David Eisenhower | 
|  | 
| bill erhardt 
 
Super Nomad
      
 
 
 
Posts: 1376
 
Registered: 4-2-2005
 Location: Loreto, BCS
 
Member Is Offline
 |  | 
| A glimpse of Carmen between squalls 
 
 I guess they will have to reschedule that dorado tournament.
 | 
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| Bruce R Leech 
 
Elite Nomad
        
 
 
Posts: 6796
 
Registered: 9-20-2004
 Location: Ensenada formerly Mulege
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  A lot cooler than Mulege
 |  | 
| 
 It doesn't look good for La Paz and points south.
 
 
 
 
 Bruce R Leech 
Ensenada
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| msawin 
 
Nomad
    
 
 
 
Posts: 373
 
Registered: 8-29-2003
 Location: Grass Valley,Ca / Tripui
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 Bill,
 thanks for the photo. Been watching the for the latest postings from you guys [gals :"Pam"]....
 
 ~A friend of mine had left Nor.Cal this morning headed to Tripui, I warned him of the flood problems on the hiway.
 
 Please keep us up-dated on the latest....Thanks Marty
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| BajaNews 
 
Super Moderator
         
 
 
 
Posts: 1439
 
Registered: 12-11-2005
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 HURRICANE JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
 500 AM PDT SAT SEP 02 2006
 
 ...JOHN WEAKENS BUT STILL A HURRICANE...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
 PENINSULA FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
 PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST.  PREPARATIONS TO
 PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST
 OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
 BAUTISTA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE
 BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA
 EUGENIA...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO
 GUAYMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
 WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
 CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF JOHN.
 
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
 INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
 BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
 NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST OR ABOUT 10
 MILES...15 KM... NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.
 
 JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
 AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF JOHN SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER
 THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY.
 
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...160
 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL
 AREA NEAR THE CENTER.  JOHN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
 SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS JOHN
 INTERACTS WITH LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
 HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
 THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
 MILES...140 KM.
 
 THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
 COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
 LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
 EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
 THE HURRICANE.
 
 RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
 TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
 SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM
 LA CRUZ TO GUAYMAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
 FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
 REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...110.5 W.  MOVEMENT
 TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85
 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.
 
 THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
 800 AM PDT.
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| Bob and jane 
 
Nomad
    
 
 
 
Posts: 272
 
Registered: 3-25-2004
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 Bill, and Pam                                                                                                                         The updates, and
fotos are much appreciated. What is with the pangas still on the beach? As Pam says, are good friends in Loreto do wait till the last minuto. Keep us
posted. ---  it looks like it will be a long day.
 thanks, Bob
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| Bajabus 
 
Senior Nomad
     
 
 
 
Posts: 892
 
Registered: 8-30-2002
 Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  My friends..it's good.
 |  | 
| 
 Just got this from Lou but it's time stamped 11:30PM Local from last night:
 
 HURICAN JUAN- 9-1-06 11:30PM
 
 DEAREST AMIGOS- HOPING ALL HAVE COME THRU THIS W/O MAJOR PROBLEMS. OUR PRAYERS ARE W/ THOSE IN THE LA VINO RAMA  , BOCA DE TULE, LOS FRAILES, CABO
PULMO AND LA PAZ AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES THRU.
 
 WE EXPERIENCED  56 MPH WINDS AT 7 PM AND HAVE REC,D 3.91 INCHES RAIN. WINDS ARE STILL 25-40 MPH RANGE.
 
 PLS LET US KNOW YOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ETC SO I CAN PASS THEM ON.
 
 JUST LOOKED OUT SIDE AROUND THE YARD , A SCENE I,VE SEEN A FEW TIMES BEFORE VERY MESSY, BUT WE ARE THKFUL THAT EL SENOR SPARED US ANY PERSONAL INJURY
AND DAMAGE  [ THIS AM WE WILL DRIVING AROUND TO ASSESS DAMAGE AND REPORT BACK WHAT WE,VE SEEN.
 
 MUCHISSIMO GRACIAS FOR ALL THOSE WHO GIVEN THEIR INPUT INTO THIS STORM. I THINK WE,VE LEARNED A FEW THINGS. IT WAS VERY FRUSTRATING YESTERDAY WAITING
FOR THE STORM TO HIT MUCH EARLIER THAN IT DID.
 
 QUE DIOS LOS BENDIGA-CUIDATE MUCHO-LOU -=-
 
 And this is from Rick in Elias calles:
 
 well last night it got a little worse,i would say that i probably have not seen 50 mile a hour winds,it looks like we got around 1.5 inches of rain,,,
the ocean is brown and choppy, after i get the tv going later we will take a ride,,but it dosen't look like a water is coming down the arroyo which i
can see from my bedroom,,,, i would say your place is perfect,, but will get there when we get out,,, so for now it all looks good,, will get back
 
 [Edited on 2-9-2006 by Bajabus]
 
 
 
 
 "Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing." 
Dwight David Eisenhower | 
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| vgabndo 
 
Ultra Nomad
       
 
 
 
Posts: 3461
 
Registered: 12-8-2003
 Location:   Mt. Shasta, CA
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  Checking-off my bucket list.
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| 
 "Funny" how hurricanes were low on my list of concerns when I fell in love with and decided to put the bulk of my extra money into a little chunk of a
date orchard in an ARROYO. We've survived three so far in 13 years.  This one could go either way.  Kind of tough to worry about all that work from
1300 miles away.
 
 We are sending our very best and strongest "vibes" to the wonderful people of San Nicolas.  They have far more to lose than we ever will.
 
 Good luck to all the Nomads down there. I'll be checking back as soon as I get back from my inspection today.  Fingers crossed.  (That'll help a lot!)
 
 
 
 
 Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
 "The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
 Bill Kauth
 
 Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
 
 PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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| tehag 
 
Super Nomad
      
 
 
 
Posts: 1248
 
Registered: 1-8-2005
 
Member Is Offline
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| Loreto 8:30AM 
 
 Loreto 8:30AM
 
 
 
 Rain off and on since 3 or so AM, heavy at times. Lots of water in the streets. The arroyo north on Davis St is running hard, assume the same for the
south ones. No real wind yet. John is still well south, but still an H.
 
 Kudos to CFE; power went out twice, once for maybe an hour and once for 5 minutes. Used to take them the better part of a week.
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| wornout 
 
Senior Nomad
     
 
 
 
Posts: 595
 
Registered: 10-24-2004
 Location: San Felipe, Baja California
 
Member Is Offline
Mood:  No Bad Days
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| 
 This was from a friend in Los Barriles at 9:48 pm last night, they are the second row of homes from the waters edge:
 
 We are on the generator, phone lines still up.  We are being pounded......very badly....catagory 2.....right on us.  We have water everywhere in the
house. Karen stayed at her place....it is coming apart.....roof leaking badly, windows broken...sliding glass door broken.....everything is wet at her
house....Her new apt. is ruined...all the windows broke.  They are scared but have a safe place. Will get over as soon as we can in the morning.
 
 Will try to write more Saturday when we can see the damage.
 
 
 
 
 This Space Available, E-Mail Me If Interested. | 
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| bill erhardt 
 
Super Nomad
      
 
 
 
Posts: 1376
 
Registered: 4-2-2005
 Location: Loreto, BCS
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 Based on coordinates posted by the National Hurricane center at 0000, 0200, 0500 and 0800 this morning local time, each of which they claim accurate
within 20 miles, John has turned west and is now moving inland on a course of 315 degrees, or NW.  If this course remains unchanged John will continue
across the peninsula and emerge into the Pacific about 40 miles north of Cabo San Lazaro.  This would be nice for Loreto, but not so nice for Puerto
Lopez Mateo.
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| ayeman 
 
Newbie
 
 
 
 
Posts: 10
 
Registered: 9-1-2003
 Location: kelowna, b.c.
 
Member Is Offline
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| 
 is there any further word from the east cape/los barriles area this am ? power and phones are probably down.
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| BajaNews 
 
Super Moderator
         
 
 
 
Posts: 1439
 
Registered: 12-11-2005
 
Member Is Offline
 |  | 
| 
 HURRICANE JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER  21
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
 800 AM PDT SAT SEP 02 2006
 
 ...JOHN LASHING BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
 PENINSULA FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
 PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST
 OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
 BAUTISTA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE
 BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA
 EUGENIA...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO
 GUAYMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
 WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
 CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF JOHN.
 
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
 INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
 BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
 NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...
 60 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175
 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LORETO MEXICO.
 
 JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  ON THIS
 TRACK THE CENTER OF JOHN SHOULD BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE EAST
 COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY.
 
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL
 AREA NEAR THE CENTER. JOHN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
 SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE
 INTERACTS WITH LAND.
 
 JOHN IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
 OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
 STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
 
 THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
 COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
 LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
 EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
 THE HURRICANE.
 
 RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
 TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
 BAJA PENINSULA.  THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO GUAYMAS
 COULD SEE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10
 INCHES.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
 AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
 REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...24.5 N...110.8 W.  MOVEMENT
 TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
 MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.
 
 AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
 CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
 PM PDT.
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