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Curt63
Super Nomad
Posts: 1171
Registered: 3-28-2009
Location: San Diego, Ca.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Fish tacos and Tecate
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My thoughts and prayers are with the beautiful land and wonderful people of Baja California.
My heart aches to think these people who have so little to lose could faces losses.
Please be careful and get away from danger while you can. The stuff can be replaced.
Don't be a hero....Run Forrest, Run!
I know the people of Baja will face this challenge bravely and overcome as they always do.
They always amaze me
No worries
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
Member Is Offline
Mood: undecided
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About the storm surge? For some reason or another the storm surges along Baja, east coast and west coast, don't do as much damage as those along the
northern shores of the Gulf of Mexico. Alabama, Florida, Lousiana, Mississippi, and Texas get major flooding etc. Must be due to the topography?
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Oso
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2637
Registered: 8-29-2003
Location: on da border
Member Is Offline
Mood: wait and see
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Latest projection I saw on Mexican TV shows it crossing mid peninsula and then heading straight up the middle of the SOC. Looks like it's coming to
Yuma this weekend. Parts of Sonora are on alert. Hope it's petered out by the time it gets here but warm water often revitalizes. We can always use
the rain but...
Unrelated I'm sure but it was overcast with a few showers this morning. Just enough to screw up opening day of dove season. Sux. First time I've
skunked out in years. Now it's too hot to go back out for the afternoon hunt.
All my childhood I wanted to be older. Now I\'m older and this chitn sucks.
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
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I just got a call from the CFE, they wanted to make a reservation for tonight, honestly . Lady said the national sub director is here. I told her no, we are not open, and reminded her the reason why he was here.
Would love to know whos the a**ho*e who opens tonight and endangers the safety of his employees.
Incredible.
[Edited on 9-1-2009 by JESSE]
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Bajahowodd
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9274
Registered: 12-15-2008
Location: Disneyland Adjacent and anywhere in Baja
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Ni siquiera para lllevar?
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
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Wind picking up in La Paz, power is starting to flicker a bit.
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DianaT
Select Nomad
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Skipjack Joe
I think you'll be OK, Diane. It looks to me as though you'll have winds of 70mph or less. Your place should handle that fine. We had a storm like that
in Half Moon Bay one winter and although the windows shook real bad, none of them broke. Boarding them up, or even taping them, may be a good idea.
The roof is good as I recall.
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Thanks Igor. Wish we were there, but a close friend has boarded up our windows and moved a few things inside.
We do think our place will be OK and as you know, we are up high enough from the ocean it should not be a problem.
We are far more worried about the safety of our friends---our place, of course, is open to them if need be.
Diane
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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As of 2pm Pacific Time - projected track of different models:
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Skipjack Joe
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8084
Registered: 7-12-2004
Location: Bahia Asuncion
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Curt63
Don't be a hero....Run Forrest, Run!
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Mama always said: Life is like a box of chocolates - you don't know what you'll get, a category 1 or a category 4.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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Infrared animation....
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009
...JIMENA WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER
TO BAJA CALIFORNIA...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND
NORTH OF MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 2 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT
210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...JIMENA WILL BE
NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...
205 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...JIMENA COULD BE
NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.9N 111.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009
EARLIER DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATED THAT JIMENA WAS COMPLETING ITS EYEWALL REPLACEMENT
CYCLE...WITH THE INNER EYE DISSIPATING AND THE NEW EYE ABOUT
25-30 N MI ACROSS. THE AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGEST AN INTENSITY NEAR
115 KT AT THAT TIME. SINCE THEN...THE CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE CENTER
HAVE WARMED AND THE EYE HAS NOT CLEARED OUT. BASED ON THIS...IT IS
ESTIMATED THAT JIMENA HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE MORE...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 110 KT.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 330/10. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN A
GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS BETWEEN A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH ALL THE TRACK GUIDANCE
REMAINING IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST BECOMES
LESS CONFIDENT FROM 72 HR ON DUE TO A LARGE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE.
THE GFDL AND GFDN STILL CALL FOR JIMENA TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THE
REST OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE EITHER STALLS THE CYCLONE OVER
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA OR TURNS IT WESTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC.
THIS APPEARS TO BE DUE TO HIGHER PRESSURES DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE
CYCLONE...AND THE SYSTEM SHEARING APART AS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS THROUGH THROUGH 72 HR...AND THEN IS SLOWER THAN THE
PREVIOUS TRACK THEREAFTER. THE NEW TRACK IS JUST RIGHT OF THE
CENTER OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE THROUGH 72 HR...AND CLOSE TO THE
MODEL CONSENSUS THEREAFTER. THE NEW TRACK CALLS FOR LANDFALL ON
THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ABOUT 36 HR.
IT NOW APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT THERE WILL BE NOTABLE INTENSIFICATION
AT THE END OF THE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE...AS JIMENA IS STARTING
TO MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A FASTER WEAKENING
SHOULD OCCUR AFTER LANDFALL...AND AN EVEN FASTER WEAKENING SHOULD
OCCUR WITH THE ONSET OF STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IN ABOUT 72
HR. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THAN THAT OF
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND THERE IS A CHANCE THAT JIMENA COULD
WEAKEN MORE THAN FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL.
INTERESTS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED THAT STRONG
WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER BY SEVERAL HOURS...SO
PREPARATIONS NEED TO BE COMPLETED VERY SOON. REMEMBER NOT TO FOCUS
ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE DANGEROUS IMPACTS EXTEND SOME
DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK OF JIMENA IS ALMOST
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SMALL DEVIATIONS
LEFT OR RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN LARGE ERRORS IN BOTH THE
LOCATION AND TIMING OF LANDFALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/2100Z 21.9N 111.2W 110 KT
12HR VT 02/0600Z 23.3N 112.0W 105 KT
24HR VT 02/1800Z 25.2N 112.7W 95 KT
36HR VT 03/0600Z 26.5N 113.1W 85 KT
48HR VT 03/1800Z 27.6N 113.4W 55 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 04/1800Z 28.5N 113.5W 35 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 05/1800Z 29.5N 113.5W 25 KT...OVER WATER
120HR VT 06/1800Z 30.5N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
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fdt
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4059
Registered: 9-7-2003
Location: Tijuana, Baja California
Member Is Offline
Mood: Yeah, what if it all goes right
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Live web cam from telmex in La Paz here http://www.telmex.com/mx/corporativo/vialidad/index.html?sec...
¿Qué desea monitorear?
Interior de la republica
¿De qué zona ?
Baja California Sur
Cámaras
Ocampo y Altamirano
A well informed Baja California traveler is a smart Baja California traveler!
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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From the NOAA site - as of 2pm (PDT) 9/1:
(edit to add time zone info)
[Edited on 9-1-2009 by BajaNews]
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
Member Is Offline
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Extremely heavy rain in La Paz.
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HaciendaCerritos
Junior Nomad
Posts: 61
Registered: 5-17-2009
Location: Todos Santos, Cerritos Beach
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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The wind has arrived! It's been steady now for about 20 minutes - I'm not very good at estimating mph of wind, but it hasn't knocked any of our palm
trees over yet so that's good. The Pool Palapa is holding it's own being tied down on 10 points to the railing around the deck.
Water is creeping up - hasn't gotten to the Beach club yet and isn't affecting any of the dunes that I can tell. Rain is intermittent.
The waves are AWESOME!!
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
Member Is Offline
Mood: undecided
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If you're in harms way , you better be listening. When the storm hits, all you can do is hang on and wish you had left. It'll be too late.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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Hurricane chaser Brian Osburn records video along the beach as Hurricane Jimena starts hitting Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2009.
(AP Photo/Guillermo Arias)
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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Tourists move their jet skis out of the marina as Hurricane Jimena approaches in Cabo San Lucas in Mexico's Baja California, Monday, Aug. 31, 2009.
(AP Photo/Guillermo Arias)
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13043
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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maybe brian the hurricaine chaser should go up to san ignacio lagoon or abreojos.
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