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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
Member Is Offline
Mood: undecided
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What's the word from Mulege?
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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Sunday Morning...
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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Bruce it looks like ALOT of water!!!
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Juan del Rio
Senior Nomad
Posts: 560
Registered: 6-8-2004
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Current Conditions In San Juanico
At 8:20, winds have picked up strong coming in from the South. Air is 73 degrees. This wind has started within the last hour. On generator. No rain
yet this morning. Some drizzles last night which was nice as it cool it down. View is looking due south.
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Juan del Rio
Senior Nomad
Posts: 560
Registered: 6-8-2004
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View Looking Towards Loreto
Looks like it's coming our way...
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
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Mood: Full Time Residents
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Hold on Jaun....
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Juan del Rio
Senior Nomad
Posts: 560
Registered: 6-8-2004
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San Juanico, Sunday Morning at 8:35 am
View looking Southwest...you can feel it coming.
[
[Edited on 9-3-2006 by Juan del Rio]
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
Member Is Offline
Mood: Skeptical
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Mulege River
I just received a message from relayed from U.S. from wife of a fellow resident of The Orchard. She got a phone call from husband saying he and dogs
are safe on higher ground but he doesn't think the house is still there.
Bruce...Bob & Susan....anyone? Can you confirm state of houses along the river and flood conditions. I don't want to cause false alarm but am
obviously quite concerned for life & property.
I am not there. Am still in No. California.
Tony
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
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Mood: Full Time Residents
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we were going this weekend but didn't...
now we'll have to go next week after the water slows.
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Keri
Super Nomad
Posts: 1393
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: La Mision, Baja Norte
Member Is Offline
Mood: muy contento
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Bruce.trying to check on Tanya and Herman
Did the river rise/ Marty wiped them out last time. I know you are on higher land , safer I hope. Let us know about Mulege when you can,I hope
everyone there is safe.,k
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Norm
Junior Nomad
Posts: 82
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: AUBURN CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: GOOD!!!!!
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can any one tell us how our house came out of this bag dog John ??
we have a house next door to the storage yard, you can see the roof from the road to the airport -- that is if we still have one ???
any info will be a big help !! thanks NORM & SUE
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Bajalero
Nomad
Posts: 316
Registered: 11-24-2003
Location: todos santos/ rcho san diego
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Just my own WAG , but this storm looks like it will keep feeding off the gulf and continue more northward than what the agencies are predicting .
I'll wager flooding will eventially be a problem as far as San Felipe as well as the rest of northern Baja.
Never met a meteorologist worth a damn anyway
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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TROPICAL STORM JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 03 2006
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SOUTH OF LORETO AND ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF
PUNTA ABREOJOS.
AT 8 AM PDT... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
LORETO AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND AROUND THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOHN.
MOISTURE FROM JOHN IS SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 20 MILES... 30 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO AND
ABOUT 165 MILES...270 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO.
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK JOHN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MEXICAN NAVY WEATHER STATION AT SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH...63 KM/HR WITH GUSTS
TO 55 MPH... 88 KM/HR. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS JOHN CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND. JOHN COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA. THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 6
INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. MOISTURE FROM JOHN COULD HELP PRODUCE 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND WESTERN
TEXAS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...27.1 N...112.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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Marty 2003 sent debris up to the top of these palm trees...
This picture is taken a week later just under the mulege bridge.
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
Member Is Offline
Mood: Skeptical
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Meterologists
When I used to teach, I would tell my students that I wish I had a job like the weatherman. They are wrong most of the time and still get get paid
and get to keep their jobs.
It is better to stick your head out of the window and report what you see. I guess If you are eyeball to eyball with a fish, it's time to close the
window.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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Through 6:30am:
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
Member Is Offline
Mood: Skeptical
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From the last post by BajaNews it would appear that the storm is blowing eastward. Could it now be influenced by TS Kristy? That is NOT the projected
track the National Hurricane Center is showing.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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Looks like the storm is dissipating (sp?) towards the east, but the eye of the storm is what you see on the tracking, and what will continue in a NW
direction... as a weakened storm.
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wornout
Senior Nomad
Posts: 595
Registered: 10-24-2004
Location: San Felipe, Baja California
Member Is Offline
Mood: No Bad Days
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On page 10 of this thread a poster named 'Pacifica' listed many notes from the Los Barriles area. Number 5 was info from a Person named Karen. This
email below is from Karen's neighbor, and came in the form of an email I received this morning..what a small world. The email was sent this morning
at 6:40 am:
""Well, we got hit full on. They said John was a category 2, but if it was, I never want a 3 or 4 or more. This one was bad.
We had some damage....the shade we put over the bedroom and the shade we put all over the deck for the apartment are torn apart. Other than that, we
just had about 2 inches of water everywhere in the house. Our windows were boarded up, but the rain still got in.
Karen's home is a disaster.....broken windows, leaky roof, ....she and Grace are staying here in our apartment for now. She has an upstairs
apartment.....the 2 older windows broke, and her queen mattress was sucked out of the window.....no idea where it is. Her furniture all tossed around.
Also her A/C in the apt. was sucked out and thrown about 50 feet onto the top of her carport. The mattress was out the North West window, the A/C
out the North East window.
Power lines - some with transformers - and phone poles are down everywhere.....although the phones are still working....miracle. Many people's car
windows broke. Palapas are down, garage doors are broken - not ours this time - many windows broken all over, houses sandblasted - paint gone -,
satellite dishes ripped and tossed, trailers pushed, turned and one we saw had the roof torn off and was knocked upside down. Roof tiles missing,
boards and shutters ripped off windows. Some structures completely flattened.
Saw one block wall on the ground, many chain link fences are now at a 90 degree angle, the pipes they run the wires through on top of the electric
monuments are bent 90 degrees.
Town is a mess.....there is a lot of damage.....more than the hurricanes three years ago. The huge signs are down : Pemex, Pacifico, etc., road
signs are either down or very badly twisted. I know I have forgotten some of the damage.....but I need to sign off. We are running on a
generator.....we have lots of gas, but not knowing when we will get power again, we are trying to conserve a bit.
Yes, many people, including Karen, have some kind of hurricane insurance....but remembering from the last storm 3 years ago, collecting is another
matter. Not sure how fast any of this can be done. New Orleans is still trying to collect !!!!! ""
This Space Available, E-Mail Me If Interested.
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MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
Member Is Offline
Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day
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Weatherman (woman).
I agree (and have said for years) that it has to be the best job in the world because there is no penalty for consistently being wrong. Having
watched these Hurricane Track forecasts closely for 25 years, I believe that the early forecasts have been wrong over 90 % of the time. The only
thing that makes us pay (worried) attention is the fact that they were dead on the money for Nora.
Right now, it looks like the only effect on the San Felipe area will be (possibly) heavy rain for which I'm thankful since I can't travel for awhile
because of my back surgery. Knowing how important my Baja home is to me, I feel badly for anyone who suffers because of this.
Thinking back on previous weather predictions, I always remember sitting on my sailboat in San Diego Bay in the a.m. on Christmas day in a downpour
listening to NOAA weather on the radio predicting a 70 % chance of rain in the afternoon. They could have looked out their window and been more
accurate.
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