BajaNomad
Not logged in [Login - Register]

Go To Bottom
Printable Version  
 Pages:  1  2
Author: Subject: USD - Peso hits 18.3
JDCanuck
Super Nomad
****




Posts: 1483
Registered: 2-22-2020
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 8-7-2024 at 10:56 AM


Quote: Originally posted by HeyMulegeScott  
The peso is now at 19.3 and spiked at 19.8 briefly. The biggest driver seems to be the carry trade on the yen when the Bank of Japan had a surprise interest rate increase. This also rocked the global markets. The carry trade is basically borrow a cheap interest yen and buy a high interest peso.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-rout-posit...


The Peso has been declining ever since the latest Mexican election. Looks like a lot of planned manufacturing has been put on hold or cancelled in Northern states. Mexicans I spoke with in Baja believe it's due to distrust of the new Gov't. Still, not a bad time to be looking at buying a place there as the USD will suddenly go a whole lot further.




A century later and it's still just as applicable: Desiderata: http://mwkworks.com/desiderata.html
View user's profile
Flatfish
Newbie





Posts: 13
Registered: 3-18-2024
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 8-12-2024 at 04:14 PM


It’s hanging around 18.8 to 19.4 lately…….
View user's profile
bajatrailrider
Super Nomad
****




Posts: 2427
Registered: 1-24-2015
Location: Mexico
Member Is Offline

Mood: Happy

[*] posted on 8-12-2024 at 06:15 PM


I got today 18.20 ex in ensenada my Amazon card give me over 18.70
View user's profile
AKgringo
Elite Nomad
******




Posts: 5989
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
Member Is Offline

Mood: Retireded

[*] posted on 8-13-2024 at 03:47 PM


I still have about 4500 of the "high value" pesos that I got in April at about 16.8 to the dollar! :thumbup:



If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!

"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
View user's profile
lencho
Junior Nomad
*




Posts: 98
Registered: 1-16-2005
Location: Tan lejos de Dios y tan cerca de EU
Member Is Offline

Mood: Somnoliento

[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 07:00 AM


Quote: Originally posted by JDCanuck  
Mexicans I spoke with in Baja believe it's due to distrust of the new Gov't.

My understanding is that the recent rise in exchange rate is due to foreign concerns about the judicial reform move.

FWIW, it it just passed the senate, so it's effectively a done deal.
As I've mentioned before, now is probably not a good time to stock up on pesos. :light:




"I can normally tell how intelligent a man is, by how stupid he thinks I am."

"...they were careful of their demeanor that they not be thought to have opinions on what they heard for like most men skilled at their work they were scornful of any least suggestion of knowing anything not learned at first hand."
            Cormac McCarthy, All the Pretty Horses

"Be kind, be patient, help others." -- Isabel Allende

"My gas stove identifies as electric." Anonymous

View user's profile
BajaGringo
Ultra Nomad
*****


Avatar


Posts: 3922
Registered: 8-24-2006
Location: La Chorera
Member Is Offline

Mood: Let's have a BBQ!

[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 07:32 AM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  

As I've mentioned before, now is probably not a good time to stock up on pesos. :light:


X 2




View user's profile Visit user's homepage
AKgringo
Elite Nomad
******




Posts: 5989
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
Member Is Offline

Mood: Retireded

[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 07:46 AM
19.89 Pesos to the Dollar this morning


I hope it stays right about there.....a five cent peso is an easy conversion without a calculator!



If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!

"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
View user's profile
HeyMulegeScott
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 699
Registered: 8-25-2009
Location: Orygone/Mulege
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 09:43 AM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  
Quote: Originally posted by JDCanuck  
Mexicans I spoke with in Baja believe it's due to distrust of the new Gov't.

My understanding is that the recent rise in exchange rate is due to foreign concerns about the judicial reform move.

FWIW, it it just passed the senate, so it's effectively a done deal.
As I've mentioned before, now is probably not a good time to stock up on pesos. :light:


From what I'm reading the judicial reform concerns and US interest rates are what is driving it now. Seems like a good time time to me to stock up on pesos with these rates but I spread our transfers out as a hedge.
View user's profile
lencho
Junior Nomad
*




Posts: 98
Registered: 1-16-2005
Location: Tan lejos de Dios y tan cerca de EU
Member Is Offline

Mood: Somnoliento

[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 10:15 AM


Quote: Originally posted by HeyMulegeScott  
Seems like a good time time to me to stock up on pesos with these rates....
Now there's an optimist, to be sure. :biggrin:

Hope you're right-- having been through several devaluations, I'm less confident. :cool:




"I can normally tell how intelligent a man is, by how stupid he thinks I am."

"...they were careful of their demeanor that they not be thought to have opinions on what they heard for like most men skilled at their work they were scornful of any least suggestion of knowing anything not learned at first hand."
            Cormac McCarthy, All the Pretty Horses

"Be kind, be patient, help others." -- Isabel Allende

"My gas stove identifies as electric." Anonymous

View user's profile
HeyMulegeScott
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 699
Registered: 8-25-2009
Location: Orygone/Mulege
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 10:25 AM


I'm not planning on keeping any more than we need in the next 12 months or so in our Mexican bank account. The dollar devaluation in the last couple of years has been pretty painful too. Time will tell.
View user's profile
AKgringo
Elite Nomad
******




Posts: 5989
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
Member Is Offline

Mood: Retireded

[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 10:43 AM


I have mentioned this before, but it might be timely to recall my father's experience in the 1980's devaluation.

He had substantial savings in a Mexican institution because of the high interest rates they were offering. He not only lost the income from the savings, he lost most of the principle as well.




If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!

"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
View user's profile
Tioloco
Super Nomad
****




Posts: 2187
Registered: 7-30-2014
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 12:35 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
I have mentioned this before, but it might be timely to recall my father's experience in the 1980's devaluation.

He had substantial savings in a Mexican institution because of the high interest rates they were offering. He not only lost the income from the savings, he lost most of the principle as well.


That is always on my mind with the peso. Seems like it will happen again.
View user's profile
lencho
Junior Nomad
*




Posts: 98
Registered: 1-16-2005
Location: Tan lejos de Dios y tan cerca de EU
Member Is Offline

Mood: Somnoliento

[*] posted on 9-12-2024 at 07:14 AM
MORENA consolidates power


"Judicial reform mortally wounds the opposition
The narrow legislative advantage of the PRI, PAN and MC has been undone in the discussion of the constitutional amendment. Morena now has a qualified majority in Congress and the leadership of the minority has been called into question."

Complete article (in Spanish, use Chrome's translation function).

The continuing dominance of "left-wing" politics in Mexico cannot but affect US-Mexico relations beyond simple exchange rates.
Worth keeping an eye on. :light:




"I can normally tell how intelligent a man is, by how stupid he thinks I am."

"...they were careful of their demeanor that they not be thought to have opinions on what they heard for like most men skilled at their work they were scornful of any least suggestion of knowing anything not learned at first hand."
            Cormac McCarthy, All the Pretty Horses

"Be kind, be patient, help others." -- Isabel Allende

"My gas stove identifies as electric." Anonymous

View user's profile
HeyMulegeScott
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 699
Registered: 8-25-2009
Location: Orygone/Mulege
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 9-12-2024 at 01:04 PM


This was a bleak article that came out in June after the election -

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2024/06/fa...
View user's profile
 Pages:  1  2

  Go To Top

 






All Content Copyright 1997- Q87 International; All Rights Reserved.
Powered by XMB; XMB Forum Software © 2001-2014 The XMB Group






"If it were lush and rich, one could understand the pull, but it is fierce and hostile and sullen. The stone mountains pile up to the sky and there is little fresh water. But we know we must go back if we live, and we don't know why." - Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez

 

"People don't care how much you know, until they know how much you care." - Theodore Roosevelt

 

"You can easily judge the character of others by how they treat those who they think can do nothing for them or to them." - Malcolm Forbes

 

"Let others lead small lives, but not you. Let others argue over small things, but not you. Let others cry over small hurts, but not you. Let others leave their future in someone else's hands, but not you." - Jim Rohn

 

"The best way to get the right answer on the internet is not to ask a question; it's to post the wrong answer." - Cunningham's Law







Thank you to Baja Bound Mexico Insurance Services for your long-term support of the BajaNomad.com Forums site.







Emergency Baja Contacts Include:

Desert Hawks; El Rosario-based ambulance transport; Emergency #: (616) 103-0262