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BillP
Nomad
Posts: 420
Registered: 1-28-2010
Location: Lake Havasu City, AZ
Member Is Offline
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Ruh-roh, it's a Cat3 now, the BA/LB folks better batten down the hatches.
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1654
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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Looks Like Mag Bay is really going to get it.
Hopefully it will change diretions before tomorrow night:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP16/refresh/EP1612W5...
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bryanmckenzie
Senior Nomad
Posts: 561
Registered: 9-23-2009
Location: 400 Km from Mexico Beach, Florida
Member Is Offline
Mood: Hot & humid --- not hot & dry.
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Dennis, way kewl website find. Thanks!
| Quote: | Originally posted by DENNIS
| Quote: | Originally posted by rts551
It appears there is currently two cells. Paul is moving up the coast. The other cell is over the tip of Baja creating the rain currently going on
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Exactly. Lookee here:
https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/products/pacific
Remember to turn on the clouds....click on the radio button next to CLOUDS in the box. |
“Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness.”
-Mark Twain
Samuel Langhorne Clemens (November 30, 1835 – April 21, 1910)
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bryanmckenzie
Senior Nomad
Posts: 561
Registered: 9-23-2009
Location: 400 Km from Mexico Beach, Florida
Member Is Offline
Mood: Hot & humid --- not hot & dry.
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15 Oct 2012
Google Earth KMZ (dynamic link) file may be downloaded here (also Atlantic basin) ... http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi
Checkmark box will be UNchecked. Checkmark it once, it turns off again. Checkmark it a 2nd time and it stays on.
I like to monitor:
* Orange "traffic cone"-looking placemarks are worldwide ocean buoys (Google it --- and YES, these are your USA taxpayer dollars at work; for the
citizens of all countries).
* White is real-time visible cloud cover.
* Green is real-time rain/precipitation.
1400 pixel image here
[Edited on 2012-10-16 by bryanmckenzie]
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bryanmckenzie
Dennis, way kewl website find. Thanks!
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Por nada, Bryan.
WOW........it shows Paul blowin' at 120 mph. That's breezy, for sure.
Folks in Mag Bay had better get their laundry off the line.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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we also feel that way about our laundry over here, denny....cause it's gonna get a bit damp, methinks
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13039
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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me...I'm still in serious denial.
so how are things down south kids?
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DavidT
Nomad
Posts: 494
Registered: 4-9-2005
Member Is Offline
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You could just rename all the churches down there. Call 'em "Pat Robertson Cathedral", then have Pat tell god to move that hurricane.
Hey it worked in '85 for hurricane Gloria.
David
Not one shred of evidence supports the notion that life is serious.
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Shimmer
Junior Nomad
Posts: 69
Registered: 11-29-2005
Location: Todos Santo BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: In the Question
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In the dark of the night....
In Todos Santos it rained almost all day, lightened up from 4-6 ish... getting steady again into the night. Looks and feels like it going to drop
some rain tonight as Paul's leading edges get close.
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by mulegemichael
we also feel that way about our laundry over here, denny....cause it's gonna get a bit damp, methinks |
Well....you know the old saying, Mike....."Keep your laundry dry." 
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6741
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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[Edited on 10-16-2012 by Russ]
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64595
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Vizcaino desert will get a good drink!
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BornFisher
Super Nomad
Posts: 2106
Registered: 1-11-2005
Location: K-38 Santa Martha/Encinitas
Member Is Offline
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Does anyone have a rain gauge? What is a light rain to me, is a downpour to my wife. I`d just like some real figures, not someone`s description. Dang,
a rain gauge cost about $5.
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1654
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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6 am in Lopez Mateos:
Poured steady all night. No let up.
Gusting to 14 with the average wind at 9 according to the little Acu rite weather moniter we have.
Long day ahead in Mag Bay area, I think.
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Shimmer
Junior Nomad
Posts: 69
Registered: 11-29-2005
Location: Todos Santo BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: In the Question
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Todos Santos... 5:42am light rain. No wind. Surf is pounding in the distance. Rain increasing as I type. Going to be a wet desert day. Be safe.
[Edited on 10-16-2012 by Shimmer]
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SFandH
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6987
Registered: 8-5-2011
Member Is Offline
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From wunderground
Statement as of 5:00 am PDT on October 16, 2012
this is special advisory to update the track forecast for
Paul...which is moving faster and to the right of the previous
forecast. This means that landfall is likely to occur within the
warning area as early as this afternoon. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm
force winds will likely reach the coast within the next few hours.
Forecast positions and Max winds
init 16/1200z 22.9n 112.3w 95 kt 110 mph
12h 16/1800z 25.8n 111.8w 85 kt 100 mph...inland
24h 17/0600z 27.0n 113.0w 70 kt 80 mph...inland
36h 17/1800z 27.5n 114.0w 55 kt 65 mph...inland
48h 18/0600z 28.6n 115.1w 35 kt 40 mph...over water
72h 19/0600z 31.0n 120.5w 20 kt 25 mph...Post-trop/remnt low
96h 20/0600z...dissipated
This forecast has it coming ashore this afternoon with 100 mph winds south of Scorpian Bay. Comondu is going to get whacked.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201216.disc.html
Just delayed my departure for Mulege from tomorrow until Thursday, maybe Friday.
[Edited on 10-16-2012 by SFandH]
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8809
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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rain started at 630am here on the bay in mulege...
no wind...still dark
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bill erhardt
Super Nomad
Posts: 1370
Registered: 4-2-2005
Location: Loreto, BCS
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by SFandH
This forecast has it coming ashore this afternoon with 100 mph winds south of Scorpian Bay. Comondu is going to get whacked.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201216.disc.html
Just delayed my departure for Mulege from tomorrow until Thursday, maybe Friday.
[Edited on 10-16-2012 by SFandH] |
More likely landfall at Mag Bay around San Carlos.
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SFandH
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6987
Registered: 8-5-2011
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bill erhardt
| Quote: | Originally posted by SFandH
This forecast has it coming ashore this afternoon with 100 mph winds south of Scorpian Bay. Comondu is going to get whacked.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201216.disc.html
Just delayed my departure for Mulege from tomorrow until Thursday, maybe Friday.
[Edited on 10-16-2012 by SFandH] |
More likely landfall at Mag Bay around San Carlos. |
That could be right. I was looking at the 25.8n 111.8w position and going directly west of that, south southwest is better.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13039
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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so sorry for our southern amigos especially around Mag Bay, Scorpion Bay etc...please drink you coffee and prepare for Paul.
No wind, no rain...nor winter storm...can stop me baby....I digress.
Juan is so right when he says ya just cant trust a hurricaine...they do what they want! He's gonna get a last fish in before the storm...he hopes
be safe amigos
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