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John Harper
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Quote: Originally posted by Don Pisto  | | Quote: Originally posted by John Harper | Found a heat index calculator, courtesy of NWS:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/heatindex.shtml
So, 102* in Carlsbad with 69% humidity (NWS) yields heat index of 150*
I heard it hit 102* in Avalon today as well. Hmmm.
102* in all these places? I smell a conspiracy! Is the government now in control of our state's ambient temperature? Is Newsome involved? If they
control indoor thermostats, who knows what they really control?
Do JZ and DK know about this?
John
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something is definitely hinky here...this from wikipedia "102 (one hundred [and] two) is the natural number following 101 and preceding
103."......what do they take us for? |
OMG, you solved it!!!! The New World Order!!!!
John
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SFandH
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Anyway, Goat hurricane predictions, I'm betting on the CEMN track.
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mtgoat666
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I don’t bet on tracks. I trust scientists to interpret computer outputs. Here is latest prediction:
[Edited on 9-8-2022 by BajaNomad]
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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RFClark
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Early Rainfall Forecast
If this is anyway near accurate driving to anywhere in Baja will be a problem for months!
On the bright side we can have a pool party Saturday at Goat’s place in SD even if he doesn’t have a pool! LA looks to get rain too!
[Edited on 9-5-2022 by RFClark]
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mtgoat666
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| Quote: Originally posted by RFClark | If this is anyway near accurate driving to anywhere in Baja will be a problem for months!
On the bright side we can have a pool party Saturday at Goat’s place in SD even if he doesn’t have a pool! LA looks to get rain too!
[Edited on 9-5-2022 by RFClark] |
Clarkie,
It’s gonna be a big a$$ storm!
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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mtgoat666
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[Edited on 9-5-2022 by mtgoat666]
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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mtgoat666
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[Edited on 9-8-2022 by BajaNomad]
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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mtgoat666
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Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml
[Edited on 9-5-2022 by mtgoat666]
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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monoloco
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Windy is predicting a rain accumulation of up to 1 meter in the central part of the peninsula. I wouldn't be planning any midweek trips.
"The future ain't what it used to be"
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AKgringo
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What' up with the 2s?
At 2:22 local time, it is 102 degrees for the 2nd day in a row (Grass Valley CA)
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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mtgoat666
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Kay Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122022
300 PM MDT Mon Sep 05 2022
...KAY STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE...
...OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 107.3W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Loreto southward to Cabo San Lucas
* Cabo San Lucas northward to Puerto San Andresito
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests north of the watch area in Baja California should closely
monitor the progress of Kay as hurricane or tropical storm watches
could be required tonight or on Tuesday.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kay was
located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 107.3 West. Kay is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the
west-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a northwest to
north-northwest motion by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Kay is expected to remain south and southwest of
southwestern Mexico through tonight, then move to the west of the
southern Baja California peninsula on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is forecast through
midweek.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).
The minimum central pressure very recently reported by the Air
Force Hurricane Hunters is 981 mb (28.97 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Kay can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header
WTPZ42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP2.shtml.
WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts in outer rainbands are
likely near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or
so. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in
the southern Baja California peninsula by early Wednesday.
SURF: Swells generated by Kay will affect portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Large swells are
likely to reach the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula on Tuesday and are expected to spread up the peninsula
and the Gulf of California later this week. These swells will
likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
RAINFALL: Kay is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall,
with isolated storm total amounts of 10 inches, across portions of
the Mexican Riviera and western Mexico through Wednesday night.
These rainfall amounts could lead to flash flooding, including
landslides.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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bajaric
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Anyone want to guess where Kay will make landfall?
Accuweather Sept 5
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gnukid
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My guess
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AKgringo
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My guess is that the eye will stay offshore, but the outer bands are still going to dump rain all over the peninsula!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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SFandH
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| Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo | | My guess is that the eye will stay offshore, but the outer bands are still going to dump rain all over the peninsula! |
I'm guessing massive rainfall over the central mountains, resulting in water gushing through coastal towns on both sides. Gushing!
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Ateo
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I’m hoping this hurricane does something for the sand bar at Scorpion Bay.
This storm is big. I was working in LA today and the car wash owners are watching the rain schedule for later this week.
My avocados and mango trees could use some free watering.
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gnukid
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Maybe the waves down the beach will better where the estero river enters the ocean, what's it called down there San Gregorio?
https://www.instagram.com/p/CiGzJJDjxQT/
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pacificobob
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Eebmike and windy are showing less wind and rain than earlier forcasts
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mtgoat666
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Forecasted hurricane track is indicating the high winds may stay off shore, but the QPF still shows massive amounts of rain for most of baja.
They are forecasting just a wee bit of rain for San Diego.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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StuckSucks
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Hummm ... might have to go out storm chasing this Saturday in the SoCal high desert.
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