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Bajagypsy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1416
Registered: 8-31-2006
Location: BahÃa Asuncion BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Living the dream
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I'm hoping that everyone in Mulege, is ok, You guys don't deserve another flooding of your homes. My thoughts are with you all.
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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a little rain at 2am but we stayed in bed
marv and russ MUST be tired...up all night
lots of "flickering lights" north of mulege
they lit up the entire area
here on the bay
wind up a little
a little rain but not too bad yet
everything still here
still dark
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Bajagypsy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1416
Registered: 8-31-2006
Location: BahÃa Asuncion BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Living the dream
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000
WTPZ33 KNHC 021140
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
500 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2009
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST OR ABOUT
30 MILES...50 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...
20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS COURSE...THE
CORE OF JIMENA WILL BE NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE WEST COAST OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT JIMENA
IS STILL FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES INLAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS
OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.5N 112.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT.
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ibannie
Junior Nomad
Posts: 59
Registered: 1-9-2009
Location: Soddy Daisy, TN
Member Is Offline
Mood: 
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OH boy, CNN says that no one lives on the coastlines where Jimena is going ashore and that the only places that are going to really be affected are
inland......... well sheesh
Thinking of you all..... stay safe!
\"Life is mostly froth and bubble; Two things stand like stone:
Kindness in another\'s trouble, Courage in your own.\"
http://bajabaggs.blogspot.com |
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2009
THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF JIMENA APPEARED TO BE DETERIORATING
SIGNIFICANTLY SEVERAL HOURS AGO...BUT RECENTLY A NEW CONVECTIVE
BAND HAS DEVELOPED THAT WRAPS AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION. RECENT TRMM PASSES AT 2340 UTC AND 0612 UTC SUGGEST
THAT A MID-LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION WAS SHED OFF TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST BUT THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS LARGELY
SYMMETRIC. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE CONTINUED TO DECREASE...AND AN
AVERAGE OF THE SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE TECHNIQUES YIELDS AN
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 90 KT.
THE 0612 UTC TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS
MOVED A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...AND THE
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 340/11. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOWS THE CENTER OF JIMENA
MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD VERY NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO. ONLY THE
UKMET IS AN OUTLIER BY SHOWING A MORE SUDDEN NORTHWARD TURN INLAND.
BEYOND 24 HOURS OR SO...THE NORTHWARD MOTION OF JIMENA IS EXPECTED
TO BE IMPEDED BY A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. CONSEQUENTLY...THE MODEL ENVELOPE
SHOWS JIMENA SLOWING DOWN CONSIDERABLY BY 36-48 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A
SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT AT DAYS 3 AND 4. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SLOWED DOWN AND SHIFTED SOUTHWEST FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND NOW
INDICATES A SLOW WESTWARD TURN BEYOND 48 HOURS.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS JIMENA MOVES
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD PARALLEL TO THE BAJA COAST...AND THE
THERMOCLINE ALONG THAT PART OF THE COAST IS VERY SHALLOW DUE TO
NORMAL COASTAL UPWELLING. COMBINED WITH POSSIBLE LAND
INTERACTION...THIS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE JIMENA TO CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
STILL SHOWS JIMENA MOVING INLAND AS A HURRICANE. ONCE
INLAND...WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN
CONSIDERABLY...AND JIMENA SHOULD SPIN DOWN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BY 48 HOURS AND A REMNANT LOW BY 72 HOURS. THE NEW FORECAST SHOWS
DISSIPATION BY DAY 5 SINCE MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODEL FIELDS LOSE THE
SURFACE CIRCULATION BY THEN.
INTERESTS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED THAT STRONG
WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER BY SEVERAL HOURS...SO
PREPARATIONS NEED TO BE COMPLETED VERY SOON. REMEMBER NOT TO FOCUS
ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE DANGEROUS IMPACTS EXTEND SOME
DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK OF JIMENA IS ALMOST
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SMALL DEVIATIONS
LEFT OR RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN LARGE ERRORS IN BOTH THE
LOCATION AND TIMING OF LANDFALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 02/0900Z 23.9N 111.9W 90 KT
12HR VT 02/1800Z 25.3N 112.5W 80 KT
24HR VT 03/0600Z 26.6N 113.0W 65 KT...ON THE BAJA COAST
36HR VT 03/1800Z 27.4N 113.5W 45 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 04/0600Z 27.7N 113.9W 30 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 05/0600Z 27.7N 114.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
96HR VT 06/0600Z 27.5N 115.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/Active.aspx?storm...
[Edited on 9-2-2009 by BajaNews]
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k-rico
Super Nomad
Posts: 2079
Registered: 7-10-2008
Location: Playas de Tijuana
Member Is Offline
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Tropical update - weather.com
http://www.weather.com/multimedia/videoplayer.html?clip=6584...
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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The satellite map I'm getting now looks like it is going to cross over, look out Loreto & Mulege. It doesn't seem as strong as the images show.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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here on the bay
no rain
some wind
looks pretty cloudy
clouds moving fast
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GEMcC5150
Junior Nomad
Posts: 56
Registered: 10-4-2007
Location: San Ignacio BCS
Member Is Offline
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It Look like the east coast will miss the main storm but look at San Ignacio
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HaciendaCerritos
Junior Nomad
Posts: 61
Registered: 5-17-2009
Location: Todos Santos, Cerritos Beach
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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For those of you who wondered about the Beach club and their generator and diesel fouling the water: Looks like that area made it above ground.
Our Courtyard came through with just debris.
We still have some angry clouds hanging out in the distance and a good breeze going. I'm proud of the Palapa - Yea, it made it!
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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buenos dias todos...I am so happy for all of you down south who escaped danger and losses....hurray! We currently have wind about 15 knots from the
southeast(I had to get up and take the tent down but managed a pretty good sleep last night in it)...very cool clouds everywhere...some blue sky
peeking through...rained a few drops last night....only problem is that if it goes inland and swings back on us, the wind and rain will come from the
opposite direction....which means all our nicely boarded up windows will be on the wrong side and all our unsecured windows will be exposed...dang.
We are still tying roofs and garages down today just in case.
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rbwrivers
Junior Nomad
Posts: 59
Registered: 1-22-2007
Location: midwest US
Member Is Offline
Mood: dreaming of Baja
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Buenos dias, Shari. I'll be checking in when I can today. Thanks for keeping us posted and for all you've done to help us.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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buenos dias todos...I am so happy the south enders didnt suffer much damage or losses...except some serious anxiety perhaps.
This morning we have 15 knots of wind from the southeast and stunning clouds with blue sky peeking through.
Only problem might be that if Jimena goes in and comes out to sea here...all our nicely boarded windows will be on the wrong side to help stem the
rain and the uncovered windows will be exposed....sheesh.
We'll see what happens but sure am glad she's weakening, wobbling and stalling...she hasnt dropped all her rain yet though and hopefully doesnt stall
over mulege for long.
Kevin is looking forward to kayaking down Rio Benito Juarez at sunset!
have a great day all.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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Cloudy, a nice breeze and....oh no, here comes the sun....sauna time.
We got very little rain, very little wind. BUT we were ready as you always have to be. Now we have to live with our storm boards until Oct.
oldlady, I am with you....right now without but, with that sun peeking through, will be with very soon!
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akbear
Nomad
Posts: 203
Registered: 8-23-2003
Location: Buena Vista BCS
Member Is Offline
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Hola Nomads, Everything Ok here in Buena Vista, just some water run off & ruts.
Any road reports on Hiway 1 north or south ? I live near the hiway here & have not seen a simi truck since yesterday about 4pm. No fuel tankers,
buses or beer trucks.
Hope everyone has a safe time as the storm makes it's way north !
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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hey dennis...my post disappeared so I rewrote it thinking I forgot to post the reply button and then it appeared on another page....then the last one
disappeared and now it's back....oh my words!
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Bajagypsy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1416
Registered: 8-31-2006
Location: BahÃa Asuncion BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Living the dream
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Shari, glad to here all is good there at the moment. I'm also very glad that the south didn't get hammered like predicted.
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