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Author: Subject: Jimena
DENNIS
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:17 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by shari
Had Juan known it was a news network, he should have told them how great the fishing would be next week!!!




Juan Cronkite reporting........."And that's the way it is, September 2, 2009."
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:20 AM


the latest model run from wx underground shows the thing hitting a wall over the vizcaino and then going every direction..... let's hope it doesn't stall and dump rain. i think the models are not very sure right now. usually, a couple/three are close to each other.....



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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:27 AM


A couple of years ago we spent the night about 5 miles north of Vizcaino because the Colorado river rerouted itself to the vado that crosses the highway. Looked to be about 8 to 10 feet deep. It had been raining in the mountains to the east for several days. Had a nice little party that night and were able to cross the next morning in only 3 feet of water.



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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:32 AM


we have a motorhome under a palapa in the rancho el coyote area (bahia concepcion). does anybody know how this area is doing?
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:44 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by austriaco
we have a motorhome under a palapa in the rancho el coyote area (bahia concepcion). does anybody know how this area is doing?

Bob and Susan are most close to Coyote.

Related-- have heard from Facebook friends in Mulege 9 a.m. today it is raining, town has electricity, river is not flooding, they are still in their home.

Good Luck Everyone.
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Bob and Susan
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:46 AM


rain and wind
but not too bad

there are 6-7 BIG yachts parked over there too




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:47 AM


thank You Mulegena, sounds not too bad.
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BajaNews
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:55 AM





[Edited on 9-2-2009 by BajaNews]




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 09:58 AM


.

ep200913_model.gif - 27kB




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:03 AM


This is the "visible" image - the one above (yellow/red) showing water vapor...





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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:07 AM


From 8am PDT - next intermediate advisory will be at 11am PDT, with a full advisory at 2pm PDT...

-----------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT
30 MILES... 45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO AND
ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO.

JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS COURSE...THE
CORE OF JIMENA WILL BE NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE WEST COAST OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS...THE CENTER OF JIMENA HAS MOVED NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF
MEXICO NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT JIMENA
IS STILL FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM.




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:07 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by MitchMan

Got a bunch of stuff in the freezer.

In the future, put an ice cube in a ziplock bag. That way you'll be able to tell if things thawed out and then froze again.




I think the world is run by C- students.
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:19 AM


HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
800 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2009

SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST THE UPPER-LEVEL CENTER OF
JIMENA IS OVER LAND. HOWEVER...EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTED
THE VORTEX WAS TILTED WITH HEIGHT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AND THERE
ARE NO RECENT MICROWAVE DATA TO PINPOINT THE SURFACE CENTER. THE
BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT THE SURFACE CENTER HAS PASSED NEAR OR OVER
CABO SAN LAZARO DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE SATELLITE
PRESENTATION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE...AND BASED ON THIS
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 85 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 345/11. ALL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A
CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECELERATION DURING THE
NEXT 24-36 HR. AFTER THAT TIME...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS JIMENA
TURNING WESTWARD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF THE CYCLONE AND
INCREASING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHEAR IT APART. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A LITTLE MORE WESTERLY MOTION THAN THE
PREVIOUS TRACK...WITH JIMENA OR ITS REMNANTS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER
THE PACIFIC WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BEFORE DISSIPATING. THE
GFDN...NOGAPS...AND LBAR MODELS ARE OUTLIERS IN SHOWING AN EASTWARD
TURN...A POSSIBILITY THAT IS NOT CONSIDERED LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

JIMENA SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...THE
COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND
INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST
IS WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IN ABOUT 48 HR...AND TO A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 72 HR.
EVEN IF THE CENTER EMERGES OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...THE FORECAST SHEAR SHOULD PREVENT ANY
RE-INTENSIFICATION.

INTERESTS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED THAT STRONG
WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER BY SEVERAL HOURS...SO
PREPARATIONS NEED TO BE COMPLETED VERY SOON
. REMEMBER NOT TO FOCUS
ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE DANGEROUS IMPACTS EXTEND SOME
DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK OF JIMENA IS ALMOST
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SMALL DEVIATIONS
LEFT OR RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN LARGE ERRORS IN BOTH THE
LOCATION AND TIMING OF LANDFALL.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1500Z 25.2N 112.2W 85 KT
12HR VT 03/0000Z 26.4N 112.7W 75 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 03/1200Z 27.4N 113.3W 50 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 04/0000Z 27.8N 113.8W 35 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 04/1200Z 27.8N 114.5W 30 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 05/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 06/1200Z 27.5N 116.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:21 AM


Según el pronóstico del Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Jimena estaría dejando el territorio estatal el viernes a las doce del mediodía, ingresando al mar de Cortés como tormenta tropical; no obstante, sigue la emergencia para todo el estado, particularmente para el municipio de Mulegé en donde ya se han instalado albergues para atender a la población de las comunidades de Guerrero Negro, Vizcaíno, Bahía Asunción, La Bocana, Punta Abreojos.
A shelter in Mulege??
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:25 AM


the municipio de Mulegé encompasses Guerrero Negro to just north of loreto

there is a shelter in the town of mulege
at the school near the post office for those who need it




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:27 AM


it's really windy and rainy right now!!! 11:25am

buckets of water comming down




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:32 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by BMG
Quote:
Originally posted by MitchMan

Got a bunch of stuff in the freezer.

In the future, put an ice cube in a ziplock bag. That way you'll be able to tell if things thawed out and then froze again.


We do that and also, the people who watch our place while we are gone have keys to everything. When our electricity went out before, we had them go in and take all the food from the freezer---they shared it with neighbors.

If our electricity goes out in this storm, they will do the same thing, or even if the electricity does not go out, but they and friends have trouble obtaining food, our freezer supply will go to good use.

[Edited on 9-2-2009 by jdtrotter]




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:32 AM


Quote:
Quote:
Originally posted by BMG

In the future, put an ice cube in a ziplock bag. That way you'll be able to tell if things thawed out and then froze again.


Very elegant tip, BMG!




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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 10:45 AM


Been to a few of those post-hurricane BBQ's. Better to cook it than toss it. And a good time was had by all.:biggrin:
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[*] posted on 9-2-2009 at 11:10 AM
sh**


not to feak everyone out but mulege is getting hammered right now lots of wind and rain. the river is still where its supposed to be for the time being

[Edited on 9-2-2009 by mulege marv]




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