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Author: Subject: IVO - storm reports, rain & road updates
DavidE
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 05:14 PM


MORE CUT & PASTE BLAH BLAH...

Tropical Depression Nine-E strengthened into Tropical Storm Ivo on Friday morning to the south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.

Some slight strengthening is expected into the weekend as Ivo (EE-voh) heads north-northwestward between an area of high pressure over the central United States and a dip in the jet stream along the West Coast. This will keep the center of Ivo on a track to the west of Mexico's Baja peninsula. However, given the large size of the storm, tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for parts of the central and southern Baja peninsula, including Cabo San Lucas.

Eventually, Ivo will track over cooler water and into a more stable air mass less supportive of maintaining deep thunderstorms. This will cause the storm to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday.

That said, Ivo will have an impact on the southwestern United States.

The large-scale weather pattern will help draw Ivo's moisture northward into the Desert Southwest and enhance rainfall across the region late in the weekend into early next week.

Depending on the intensity and duration of the rainfall in any one location, we could see flooding in parts of western Arizona, southeast California, southern Nevada and southern Utah.

Las Vegas, Yuma, Ariz., Blythe, Calif. and St. George, Utah are a few of the cities that will need to be alert for this flooding potential, particularly from Saturday night into Monday.




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BajaBlanca
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 05:22 PM


my neighbor just told me that all the ranchers in the mountains near San Ignacio are reporting rain rain rain. I bet they are happy.




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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 05:27 PM


Lots of red just off Cabo now. If Ivo doesn`t change course, Cabo is going to get pounded!!

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/east-pacific/2013/trop...
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 05:29 PM


Just heard on the LA news that Cabo is under storm watch and it looks big!



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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 05:36 PM






thank you Nomads from south...we just pulled our panga out and all the coop fishing boats are resting safely onshore too.




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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 06:05 PM


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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 06:20 PM


Just back from our ride and just in the knicka! Super dark clouds in the mountains.
Erosion at the beach, no river in the arroyo(yet), pangeros pulling their boats, one boat in the marina with a shredded Bimini top(who would leave one up in a storm?), lotsa new potholes, what else...no mucho
From the sat pix I have looked at, for us, I would say that tonight will be dicey!
Hold on, I'm coming said Ivo......And Sam & Dave.

Edit to add
By dicey, I mean too much rain. We live outside on our porch so when it rains everything has to come into our small house.
I am not afraid for my safety.

[Edited on 8-24-2013 by bajajudy]




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Mexitron
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 06:26 PM


Have some amigos camping at P. Blanca....wonder if the rains will make it that far.....be a b-tch to drive the 70 miles out with muddy roads. News at ten.
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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 09:29 PM


no rain here.
furniture still on the porch
mañana




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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 09:30 PM


The Nightly News out of Mexico City just did a public service announcement of Tropical Storm Ivo.

The wind has picked up tonight, still consistently from the east, you can hear it howling up on the roof. Its still hot, but its a dry heat-- very odd for Mulege even at times preceeding storms.

We shall see if it stays out west or runs up the peninsula mountains like last year. That's what brings Mulege all the flooding.




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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 09:33 PM


Intellicast - from earlier...

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/





[Edited on 8-24-2013 by BajaNomad]

intellicast8pm.jpg - 49kB




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[*] posted on 8-23-2013 at 09:38 PM


NOAA - earlier....

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 112.0W
ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP4+shtml/240231....

noaa8pm.jpg - 49kB




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BajaNomad
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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 02:20 AM


AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST. IVO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVO
WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY TONIGHT.

IVO IS A LARGE CYCLONE...AND THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM FROM THE CENTER.

2amET-noaa.jpg - 48kB




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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 05:46 AM
Loreto


6:30AM, last night's drizzle starting to crank it up.

Waayy up.

[Edited on 8-24-2013 by tehag]




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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 05:51 AM


Todos Santos: Spattering of sprinkles this morning (right now). Fully overcast - no wind to speak of.
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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 05:51 AM


Sprinkles here in Mulege...6:51



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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 06:00 AM


Steady rain and no wind in Lopez at 6:30 79 degrees and 79% humidity.

And haven't lost power once in the rains since yesterday. . . surprise. surprise.

Probably today if the winds arrive.

[Edited on 8-24-2013 by Mula]
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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 06:09 AM


La Ribera, here in East Cape caught 1.25 inches of rain last night at our house. We were awakened each time a storm rain band passed over and gave us short but loud torrential downpours on our tin roof.

It's far from over but so far all our dirt streets show some damage but no big washouts that I can see in the early bright. If we see the propane trucks from SJ driving around selling gas, we'll know the road is open through the arroyos enough for at least truck traffic. We've been cut off before -- 13 days is the longest I can remember. We were eating spaghetti with spaghetti.
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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 06:30 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by Mexitron
Have some amigos camping at P. Blanca....wonder if the rains will make it that far.....be a b-tch to drive the 70 miles out with muddy roads. News at ten.


Mexitron, it's really sketchy trying to outrun a storm out there, "where the streets have no names!"



[Edited on 8-24-2013 by BajaNomad]




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[*] posted on 8-24-2013 at 07:07 AM


We have 1-2 mph of wind and had .04" of rain overnight. I am hoping that we get a little more rain, but I'm seeing patches of blue sky here.



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