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monoloco
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6667
Registered: 7-13-2009
Location: Pescadero BCS
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Here's the latest:http://www.eebmike.com/
It looks like we could get smacked again.
"The future ain't what it used to be"
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Bill Collector
Nomad
Posts: 374
Registered: 1-13-2004
Location: Buena Vista, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Winds and rain started around 2 am. My neighbors 26' boat came ashore, winds were really strong.
Looks like there's more rain coming
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Bill Collector
Winds and rain started around 2 am. My neighbors 26' boat came ashore, winds were really strong.
Looks like there's more rain coming |
Probably so:
http://www.cyclocane.com/hurricane-forecast/
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Boots on the ground
I think that Tom at BajaInsider does a terrific job of forecasting and warning
check it out
be sure to check out all the tabs
http://www.bajainsider.com/weather/baja-weather108d.htm#.Uid...
[Edited on 9-4-2013 by bajajudy]
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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yeah....yeah...this just isn't making feel too comfy....it's not even formed and it looks formed...or big...or imposing..or whatever term you want to
use to descibe looming...or big..or imposing..oh...sorry..we hate storms here.
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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monoloco
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6667
Registered: 7-13-2009
Location: Pescadero BCS
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Batten down the hatches, looks like we could get spanked by Friday:
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED
ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS SLOWLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE THE
LOW MOVES OVER COOLER WATER AND INTERACTS WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS WOULD LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND
INTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE LOW.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY FRIDAY.
"The future ain't what it used to be"
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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Went red..........
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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we just dried up too...
it's going to be a really green desert for a few months
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13043
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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....looks like a bit of rain on the inside which would be awful for Loreto area
[Edited on 9-5-2013 by shari]
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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This doesnt look like it will get very organized to me. It will be lucky to reach TS status. But that doesnt mean it wont dump a bunch of
rain...........somewhere.
Probably not Montana, though.
Ah, the first week in September. Seems like most of the bad storms affecting Baja and Sonora come this week.
[Edited on 9-5-2013 by Hook]
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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I wouldn't be taking this lightly quite yet:
http://www.cyclocane.com/hurricane-forecast/
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Paula
Super Nomad
Posts: 2219
Registered: 1-5-2006
Location: Loreto
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Hook
This doesnt look like it will get very organized to me. It will be lucky to reach TS status. But that doesnt mean it wont dump a bunch of
rain...........somewhere.
Probably not Montana, though.
Ah, the first week in September. Seems like most of the bad storms affecting Baja and Sonora come this week.
[Edited on 9-5-2013 by Hook] |
Funny you should mention rain in Montana, as we are having some incredible thunder and lightning and pouring rain right now in Kalispell.
The storm that is forming now looks pretty serious. Lets hope it turns west and out to sea, because we sure don't need so much rain in Baja right
now.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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we're south and east of missoula right now and it thundered and lightninged and rained last nite...HOWEVER hooked probably 15 cutts in a 100 yd
stretch of rock creek his morning..so screw the rain.
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Lorena-Tropical Storm Watch issued for BCS!
A Tropical Storm Watch has been posted for Baja California Sur from Agua Blanca on the Pacific side to Buenavista on the Sea of Cortez. A Tropical
Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible, generally in the next 48hrs.
The system in question is Tropical Depression 12E
, which is expected to become Tropical Storm Lorena later today. At 12PM the system is about 355 miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas and is forecast to
move to the northwest over the next 72hrs. Then Tropical Storm Lorena will pass just to the southweast of the tip of the Baja peninsula through the
weekend and into the first of the week.
Tropical Depression 12E, is not expected at this time to develop into a hurricane, but since this is the peak of the Baja Hurricane Season we suggest
you keep a close eye on our weather pages as this system develops. At this time the forecasts indicate that just the tip of the peninsula will see any
significant effects from the passing of then Tropical Storm Lorena, but fall storms can have a tenancy to curve to the northeast when nearing Baja.
Copied and pasted from an email notification from BajaInsider
[Edited on 9-5-2013 by bajajudy]
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Mulegena
Super Nomad
Posts: 2412
Registered: 11-7-2006
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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the southern most portions of Baja California Sur.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been posted for Baja California Sur from Agua Blanca on the Pacific side to Buenavista on the Sea of Cortez. A Tropical
Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible, generally in the next 48hrs.
"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." ~ Aristotle
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Bill Collector
Nomad
Posts: 374
Registered: 1-13-2004
Location: Buena Vista, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Thanks for posting that- we are in Buena Vista
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Marinero
Nomad
Posts: 419
Registered: 11-4-2003
Location: Los Barriles, BCS
Member Is Offline
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I guess that means Los Barriles is in the clear?
Si estás buscando la person que cambiará su vida, échale una mirada en el espejo.
Fish logo from www.usafishing.com, used w/permission.
But Oz never did give nothing to the Tin Man
That he didn't, didn't already have..... |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST. LORENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...LORENA WILL BE NEARING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110
KM...NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP2+shtml/052045....
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Bill Collector
Nomad
Posts: 374
Registered: 1-13-2004
Location: Buena Vista, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Buena Vista/Los Barriles. Don't think we are in the clear. Have had thunder for about a 1/2 hr, getting darker towards the South heading our way
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Totally agree with you about BajaInsider - here's another cut and paste from about an hour ago from that website.
Thursday, September 5, 2013 3:35 PM MDTTropical Storm Lorena has evolved from Tropical Depression 12E and the path now indicates a Baja California Sur
landfall late Friday or early Saturday near Cabo San Lucas. Tropical Storm Lorena is currently about 335 miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas.
Tropical Storm Lorena is located near 19.2N 106.6W and is moving 325° at 10kts. Central barometric pressure is estimate at 1003Mb and winds are 35kts
with gusts to 45kts, making Lorena just barely a tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend out 60 miles, only in the northeast quadrant. This
remains a small disorganized system, but there is still plenty of warm, open water between Baja and Lorena.
Forecasts call for Lorena to continue to strengthen slightly through late Friday and begin to diminish over the cooler waters of the Pacific beginning
Saturday. This is just about the point in time forecasters believe Lorena will make landfall somewhere on the tip of the peninsula.
Tropical Storm watches currently in effect for the southern most portions of the peninsula may be converted to warnings later this evening and the
watch area is likely to be expanded.
Should the forecasts hold, much of the southern portion of Baja California Sur could see close to tropical storm force conditions between late Friday
and into Sunday.
Folks within the current watch areas should begin preparations for tropical storm force condition during daylight hours today, as the weather may
deteriorate rapidly tomorrow morning.
As can be seen in the flared cloud tops on the Visible Light Satellite image right, upper wind currents are still inhibiting the development of
Lorena. The system will continue to track over waters capable of supporting further development through late Friday. Disturbed upper level flows
around the Baja peninsula will suppress development as the storm nears the peninsula late Friday.
Should either or both of these deterrents abate before the storm reaches Baja additional development could occur. Systems like this year's Tropical
Storm Juliette or 1989's Category 3 Kiko intensified very quickly over the same waters in less than 36hrs. Those with interests in the path of the
storm should follow its development closely.
For visitors to the region and their friends back home, this is no reason for panic. Much of Baja California Sur's annual rainfall comes from our
tropical systems. This is forecast to make landfall as a tropical storm. Our local systems and facilities are designed to handle much more, although
not always gracefully.
Find a safe and comfortable place to witness one of our summer wonders. If you refrain from doing something stupid it can be an impressive weather
experience. Life in Baja Sur usually returns to near normal within a day or so of a tropical storm.
The ports of Los Cabo and La Paz are likely to close in advance of the system for safety reasons, which will affect tours and fishing trips – it is
not the tour operator's fault.
This is the height of the Baja Hurricane Season. Those with interests in the southern portions of Baja California Sur should follow the development of
this system closely.
The next update to this page will be posted following the 06PM release from the National Hurricane Center
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