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Author: Subject: HURRICANE WARNING FOR BAJA - ODILE - AFTERMATH
Cypress
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 10:43 AM


Good luck on this storm. Odile is heading for Baja, could be a bad one. Been lucky down on the bayou, nothing has threatened the LA/MS/AL coast this hurricane season. Been hurricane-free ever since Katrina.
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 11:28 AM


http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height



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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 12:50 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by woody with a view
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height


Doh!




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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 04:25 PM


As of September 10, 2014; 5:34 PM ET






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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 05:05 PM


Gets worse...NHC is saying that the other big mess to the west of Odile, now has a 90% chance of development, and will likely turn East and be absorbed by Odile on Friday...lots more water...



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David K
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 05:07 PM


Cool maps amigos!



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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 05:37 PM


Holy snappin laundry...things are gonna get....uuuuuuuugly. Maybe I'll just spin away up here in Ensenada!



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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 05:44 PM


.
..... http://passageweather.com/ is still sticking with the curves west scenario....I'm still hoping,,spinning(clockwise) and praying!
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 06:58 PM


oh boy, I vote for it to turn more west. abreojos here we come.
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 09:29 PM


From the Baja Insider tonight:

TS Odile is forecast to continue to develop in the very warm waters of the southern coast of Mexico through Saturday morning, moving at a very slow pace. Then on Saturday the system is forecast to kick it into high gear and cross the open waters between the mainland and the Baja peninsula. The entire time the system will remain over waters that are more than sufficient to allow the storm to continue to gather strength. The good news is the rapid forward movement often restricts the overall intensity development. Current forecasts call for Odile to arrive at the tip of the peninsula at the high end of a Category 2 Hurricane intensity.

Folks with interests in the southern most portions of Baja California Sur should remain informed through the first of next week as to the progress of this system.

Because Tropical Storm Odile is barely moving there are yet a number of factors that could dramatically affect the path of the storm and where and how much it will impact our peninsula.
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[*] posted on 9-10-2014 at 11:09 PM


The latest National Hurricane Center discussion indicates that Odile's most likely path will be well west of Baja and headed northwest. It projects that its maximum winds will be 105 mph at this time, and that parts of southern Baja might be exposed to winds of 34 knots or higher.

The NHS also said that Odile might combine with or subsume anther tropical depression to the west that is forming right now. I am not sure what the effect would be.

This one might pass by harmlessly out at sea, but everyone should keep a close on eye on Odile's progress. Here is a site that shows Odile's projected path. The cone does not show the entire area that might be affected by the storm, but only where the storm is expected to go and what will be its intensity at each stage. http://eebmike.com/

[Edited on 9-11-2014 by Zola]
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 01:43 AM


At least for Mulege, it aint about the hurricane path, its about the water. If memory serves, when the last 2 floods occurred the actual storms were off the west coast. 16 inches of rain in the mountains? Big problem....Good luck, all....stay safe..



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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 06:20 AM


this one looks nasty....

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height




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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 06:39 AM
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 07:21 AM


If memory serves me right (I wish) Jimena made landfall around Mag Bay from the west, so it's still a crapshoot. The smaller storm 95 E might be a big player in how much wet comes with. It's all a matter of steerage now; Baja coco-palms, HANG ON TO YOUR NUTS.
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 07:39 AM


What if hurricane Grace runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the Canadian cold front and hurricane Grace. You could be a meteorologist all your life, and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be the perfect storm.
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 08:10 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by willardguy
What if hurricane Grace runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the Canadian cold front and hurricane Grace. You could be a meteorologist all your life, and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be the perfect storm.


....perhaps the earthquake belts will all start shakin-loose at the same time!
--the HORROR of it all!!!:o :O:o:wow::o


.:P




[Edited on 9-11-2014 by micah202]
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 08:18 AM


It may show Odile going on a westerly tack, but GFDL still shows it coming up the sea. And they have for the last several years by far been the most accurate.

GFDL on Odile.gif - 28kB




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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 08:44 AM


Look out for the one that is forming up just southeast of Cabo. Remember Juliette last summer? It has an eye in it.

[Edited on 9-11-2014 by Katiejay99]
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[*] posted on 9-11-2014 at 10:05 AM






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