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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
Member Is Offline
Mood: undecided
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Good luck on this storm. Odile is heading for Baja, could be a bad one. Been lucky down on the bayou, nothing has threatened the LA/MS/AL coast this
hurricane season. Been hurricane-free ever since Katrina.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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Bajaboy
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4375
Registered: 10-9-2003
Location: Bahia Asuncion, BCS, Mexico
Member Is Offline
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Doh!
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
Posts: 2323
Registered: 10-17-2013
Member Is Offline
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As of September 10, 2014; 5:34 PM ET
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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Gets worse...NHC is saying that the other big mess to the west of Odile, now has a 90% chance of development, and will likely turn East and be
absorbed by Odile on Friday...lots more water...
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64848
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Cool maps amigos!
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Holy snappin laundry...things are gonna get....uuuuuuuugly. Maybe I'll just spin away up here in Ensenada!
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
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.
..... http://passageweather.com/ is still sticking with the curves west scenario....I'm still hoping,,spinning(clockwise) and praying!
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torch
Nomad
Posts: 295
Registered: 1-27-2010
Location: O.C. Calif. and BCN
Member Is Offline
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oh boy, I vote for it to turn more west. abreojos here we come.
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BajaParrothead
Nomad
Posts: 460
Registered: 12-4-2012
Location: Portola, CA / Los Barriles
Member Is Offline
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From the Baja Insider tonight:
TS Odile is forecast to continue to develop in the very warm waters of the southern coast of Mexico through Saturday morning, moving at a very slow
pace. Then on Saturday the system is forecast to kick it into high gear and cross the open waters between the mainland and the Baja peninsula. The
entire time the system will remain over waters that are more than sufficient to allow the storm to continue to gather strength. The good news is the
rapid forward movement often restricts the overall intensity development. Current forecasts call for Odile to arrive at the tip of the peninsula at
the high end of a Category 2 Hurricane intensity.
Folks with interests in the southern most portions of Baja California Sur should remain informed through the first of next week as to the progress of
this system.
Because Tropical Storm Odile is barely moving there are yet a number of factors that could dramatically affect the path of the storm and where and how
much it will impact our peninsula.
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Zola
Nomad
Posts: 122
Registered: 9-7-2014
Location: San Juanico, Point Loma
Member Is Offline
Mood: Enthusiastic
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The latest National Hurricane Center discussion indicates that Odile's most likely path will be well west of Baja and headed northwest. It projects
that its maximum winds will be 105 mph at this time, and that parts of southern Baja might be exposed to winds of 34 knots or higher.
The NHS also said that Odile might combine with or subsume anther tropical depression to the west that is forming right now. I am not sure what the
effect would be.
This one might pass by harmlessly out at sea, but everyone should keep a close on eye on Odile's progress. Here is a site that shows Odile's
projected path. The cone does not show the entire area that might be affected by the storm, but only where the storm is expected to go and what will
be its intensity at each stage. http://eebmike.com/
[Edited on 9-11-2014 by Zola]
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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At least for Mulege, it aint about the hurricane path, its about the water. If memory serves, when the last 2 floods occurred the actual storms were
off the west coast. 16 inches of rain in the mountains? Big problem....Good luck, all....stay safe..
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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this one looks nasty....
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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SFandH
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7084
Registered: 8-5-2011
Member Is Offline
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Bullseye
Hurricane Jimena - 2009
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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If memory serves me right (I wish) Jimena made landfall around Mag Bay from the west, so it's still a crapshoot. The smaller storm 95 E might be a
big player in how much wet comes with. It's all a matter of steerage now; Baja coco-palms, HANG ON TO YOUR NUTS.
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6451
Registered: 9-19-2009
Member Is Offline
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What if hurricane Grace runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the
Canadian cold front and hurricane Grace. You could be a meteorologist all your life, and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic
proportions. It would be the perfect storm.
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
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Quote: | Originally posted by willardguy
What if hurricane Grace runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the
Canadian cold front and hurricane Grace. You could be a meteorologist all your life, and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic
proportions. It would be the perfect storm. |
....perhaps the earthquake belts will all start shakin-loose at the same time!
--the HORROR of it all!!!
.
[Edited on 9-11-2014 by micah202]
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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It may show Odile going on a westerly tack, but GFDL still shows it coming up the sea. And they have for the last several years by far been the most
accurate.
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: it is what it is
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Look out for the one that is forming up just southeast of Cabo. Remember Juliette last summer? It has an eye in it.
[Edited on 9-11-2014 by Katiejay99]
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
Posts: 2323
Registered: 10-17-2013
Member Is Offline
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