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tehag
Super Nomad
Posts: 1248
Registered: 1-8-2005
Member Is Offline
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otis
Lots of cloud in Loreto. Some fairly heavy rain Sat AM south a little from town. Light rain in town. Some lightning in the hills and over Carmen Is.
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Eli
Super Nomad
Posts: 1471
Registered: 8-26-2003
Location: L.B. Baja Sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: Some times Observing, sometimes Oblivious.
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Thanks Ya'all for keeping those of us out of the loop abreast as to how Otis is moving along. Comitan's comment about come what may leaves me
wondering if Southern Baja is off the hook yet. Hope so, just a few more weeks and the season is over.
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Tucker
Senior Nomad
Posts: 664
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: El Centenario, BCS
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Looks to me like ol' Otis is going to sit right there and screw himself into the ocean floor. There couldn't be much heat left in that water.
\"I think it would be a good idea.\"
-- Mahatma Gandhi, when asked what he thought of Western civilization
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6700
Registered: 9-5-2003
Member Is Offline
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Tucker
or.... do a dump on land!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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My weather hasnt changed in almost 12 hours.
Dark clouds, a little wind(<10)
Always looking like rain.....much cooler!!!!!!!!!!!
Ok!
You guys up the peninsula keep letting us know whats happening with you.
I think that I have it right now.
[Edited on 10-2-2005 by bajajudy]
[Edited on 10-2-2005 by bajajudy]
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6700
Registered: 9-5-2003
Member Is Offline
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Judy
Weird weather but looks like the outer bands could still give you some more.... especailly since it seems to want to stay south... Keep up the posts.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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It looks as if Otis is going to give any rain here in La Paz, its going to have to turn east and thats not in the prediction.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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bajalera
Super Nomad
Posts: 1875
Registered: 10-15-2003
Location: Santa Maria CA
Member Is Offline
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Wherever Otis may go, local people are paying more attention than usual--probably because of Katrina and TV. For the past two days, half the world has
been buying groceries and water at Sorianas and CCC.
\"Very few things happen at the right time, and the rest never happen at all. The conscientious historian will correct these defects.\" -
Mark Twain
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Bedman
Senior Nomad
Posts: 523
Registered: 9-4-2002
Location: Orange County, CA.
Member Is Offline
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This Article from AOL ..........
Updated: 10:54 PM EDT
Hurricane Otis Sparks Flooding in Western Mexico
Two New Storms Form in Atlantic and Could Become Stan, Tammy
CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico (Oct. 1) - Hurricane Otis's outer bands lashed the coast of western Mexico on Saturday as the storm crawled toward the Baja
California peninsula, forcing hundreds of families to evacuate their homes and flooding roads in this resort city.
Guillermo Arias, AP
Tourists sit in a marina as Hurricane Otis gets closer to Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.
The Category 1 hurricane weakened but still had winds up to 85 mph as it headed northward off the coast of Baja. Forecasters expected Otis to skirt
past Cabo San Lucas, and move ashore along a sparsely populated stretch of desert far north of here as early as Sunday evening, according to the U.S.
National Hurricane Center.
Narciso Agundez, governor of Baja California Sur state, ordered emergency personnel to the community of Comondu, as well as tourist-friendly Lorteo
and Mulege, closer to where the center of Otis was likely to hit land. He asked soldiers to help evacuate the islands of Magdalena and Margarita, off
the coast of Comondu.
Periods of strong winds and heavy rains were mixed with mostly sunny skies over Cabo San Lucas, giving way to light cloud cover at night. Clam
prevailed with the knowledge that Otis stayed out to sea until it was past this area.
Mayor Luis Armando Diaz led voluntary evacuations from the city's poor outskirts, where many homes are little more than wood and metal shacks.
About 700 families had evacuated to shelters in Cabo San Lucas and that more than 200 families evacuated in San Jose del Cabo, a nearby tourist
destination to the northeast. There were also small-scale evacuations in Miraflores and Santiago, slightly further north.
But many of those in shelters were expected to return to their homes soon, as the widespread flooding they were bracing for never came.
Mexico declared a state of emergency to help cope with heavy rains in five communities, including Cabo San Lucas.
A hurricane warning was in effect for much of the peninsula's Pacific Coast, from Agua Blanca north to Puerto San Andresito and officials issued a
tropical storm watch further northward.
Extended forecasts showed the storm weakening as it moved across the sparsely populated Baja California peninsula, then bringing rains to parts of
western Texas and southern Arizona by early next week.
Otis was the 15th Pacific storm of the season. Unlike powerful Atlantic storms such as Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, Pacific hurricanes tend to do less
damage because they make landfall less frequently.
NOAA
Like their Atlantic counterparts, Pacific storms are given names that correspond to the alphabet.
Also Saturday, the season's 20th tropical depression was drifting toward Mexico in the western Caribbean, prompting the government to issue tropical
storm warnings for the Yucatan Peninsula.
The depression was located about 125 miles east-southeast of Tulum, Mexico Saturday, and about 110 miles southeast of Cozumel, the National Hurricane
Center in Miami said. The system had sustained winds of 30 mph, and was moving to the west-northwest near 6 mph.
The storm could become a named tropical storm, with winds above 39 mph, before it makes its expected landfall on the eastern Yucatan as late as
Sunday.
Rainfall accumulations from 5 to 10 inches over the Yucatan and northern Belize were expected, forecasters said.
A tropical storm warning was issued in the Yucatan from Punta Gruesa north to Cabo Catoche, while a tropical storm watch was issued from Cabo Catoche
west to Campeche. A warning means that storm conditions were expected within 24 hours, while a watch means they are expected within 36 hours.
Meanwhile, tropical depression 19 remained no threat to land as it organized far out in the Atlantic.
The depression was about 665 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands Saturday and was moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained
winds were near 35 mph, and the depression could become a tropical storm later Saturday or Sunday.
Either depression would be named Tropical Storm Stan if it strengthens into the 18th named system of the season. The 19th named storm of the season
would be named Tammy.
This is the fourth-busiest Atlantic hurricane season since record-keeping started in 1851. The record for tropical storms in one year is 21, set in
1933. The hurricane season ends Nov. 30.
10-01-05 22:33 EDT
BEDMAN
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
Member Is Offline
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Less of a threat
Looks like it's falling apart.
Hurricane Otis Intermediate Advisory Number 16a
Statement as of 11:00 PM PDT on October 01, 2005
...Otis weakening...northward drift continues...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Pacific coast of the Baja
California peninsula from Agua Blanca northward to Puerto San
Andresito. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula...on either side
of the Hurricane Warning area...from Punta Abreojos southward to
north of Puerto San Andresito...and from south of Agua Blanca
southward to Cabo San Lucas.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Gulf of California
coast of the Baja California peninsula from San Evaristo southward
to east of Cabo San Lucas.
A tropical storm watch is in effect watch along the Gulf of
California coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of San
Evaristo northward to mulege.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area... generally within 36 hours. A tropical storm watch
means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area... generally within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere near both coasts of the central and northern
Baja California peninsula should closely monitor the progress of
Otis. Watches or warnings could be extended northward on Sunday.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 PM PDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Otis was located near
latitude 22.2 north... longitude 112.0 west or about 140 miles...
225 km... west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and
about 180 miles... 290 km...south of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico.
Otis has moved little during the past few hours but is forecast to
move toward the north-northwest within the next 24 hours. The
center of Otis is currently forecast to remain west of southern
Baja California during the next 24 hours. However... any motion to
the right of the forecast track could bring the center near
southern Baja California on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 24
hours...but Otis could still reach the Baja California peninsula
as a hurricane.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles... 35 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 105 miles...165 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb...29.03 inches.
Otis is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6
inches over the central and southern Baja Peninsula through
Monday...with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches over
the higher terrain of the central Baja Peninsula. Rainfall
associated with Otis could affect the southwestern U.S. Early next
week.
Repeating the 11 PM PDT position...22.2 N...112.0 W.
Movement...nearly stationary. Maximum sustained winds... 80 mph.
Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
2 am PDT.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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Otis tropical storm again!
Looks like he is going away slowly. Amazing that he still hasnt gotten north of me.
Still dark clouds in the west and looking like rain.
Bright blue skies in the east.
Very little wind.
Hasta la vista Otis.
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bajaden
Nomad
Posts: 496
Registered: 4-7-2005
Location: Ensenada
Member Is Offline
Mood: vicarious
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Its cloudy here in Mulege and dead calm at the moment. I did get hit with one drop of rain yesterday. Tried to frame it, but wasn't quick enough. Hope
I'm not eating my words tomorrow. I'm near the river. Place got flooded last time.
Think I'll go fishing........
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losfrailes
Senior Nomad
Posts: 577
Registered: 11-16-2004
Location: Ejido San Lucas near Santa Rosalia
Member Is Offline
Mood: Good!
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As of 8 am, been degraded from Hurricane to Tropical Storm. Winds dropped to 65.
Good news!
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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The latest satellite images looks like its breaking up and is moving eastward toward La Paz, hopefully some rain.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Tucker
Senior Nomad
Posts: 664
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: El Centenario, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Like my old uncle Otis he has everyone confused!
\"I think it would be a good idea.\"
-- Mahatma Gandhi, when asked what he thought of Western civilization
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mulege marv
Senior Nomad
Posts: 652
Registered: 10-8-2004
Location: san carlos / grass valley, calif.
Member Is Offline
Mood: relaxed
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rain
well it just started raining lightly in mulege, no wind though which is good !
Want what you have
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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The devil is beating his wife
That is an old southern saying for when the sun is out and it is raining.
Sat here for 2 days with the most ominous skies and now when the sun is out, finally un poco de rain. Coming out of the south over the water.
Interesting.
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MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
Member Is Offline
Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day
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Bring on the Rain
Now that I know I don't have to pack up the wife and kids (dogs), I am looking forward to some decent rain so it probably won't come this way. My
trees and plants are looking pretty bad.
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Tucker
Senior Nomad
Posts: 664
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: El Centenario, BCS
Member Is Offline
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http://www.foxnews.com/printer_friendly_story/0,3566,170997,...
Otis Causes Mexico Floods
Sunday, October 02, 2005
CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico ? The outer bands of Hurricane Otis (search) lashed the coast of western Mexico Saturday as the storm crawled toward the Baja
California peninsula, forcing hundreds of families to evacuate their homes and flooding roads in this resort city.
Weakening somewhat, the storm was still expected to come ashore Sunday night at hurricane strength. It was churning about 135 miles west of the
southern tip of Baja (search) with sustained winds of 85 mph late Saturday night, drifting north at about 3 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center
said.
Forecasters expect Otis to skirt Cabo San Lucas (search) and move ashore along a sparsely populated stretch of desert far north of here.
The Category 1 hurricane was expected to produce rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over the central and southern peninsula through Monday, with
isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches over the higher terrain of central Baja, the hurricane center said.
Rainfall associated with Otis could affect the southwestern United States early next week, forecasters said.
Narciso Agundez, governor of Baja California Sur state, ordered emergency personnel to the community of Comondu, as well as tourist-friendly Lorteo
and Mulege, closer to where the center of Otis was likely to hit land. He asked soldiers to help evacuate the islands of Magdalena and Margarita, off
the coast of Comondu.
Periods of strong winds and heavy rains were mixed with mostly sunny skies over Cabo San Lucas, giving way to light cloud cover at night.
Mayor Luis Armando Diaz led voluntary evacuations from the city's poor outskirts, where many homes are little more than wood and metal shacks.
About 700 families evacuated to shelters in Cabo San Lucas and more than 200 families evacuated in San Jose del Cabo, a nearby tourist destination to
the northeast. There were also small-scale evacuations in Miraflores and Santiago, slightly further north.
But many of those in shelters were expected to return to their homes soon, as the widespread flooding they were bracing for never came.
Mexico declared a state of emergency to help cope with heavy rains in five communities, including Cabo San Lucas.
A hurricane warning was in effect for much of the peninsula's Pacific Coast, from Agua Blanca north to Puerto San Andresito and officials issued a
tropical storm watch further northward.
Extended forecasts showed the storm weakening as it moved across the sparsely populated Baja California peninsula, then bringing rains to parts of
western Texas and southern Arizona by early next week.
Otis was the 15th Pacific storm of the season. Unlike powerful Atlantic storms such as Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, Pacific hurricanes tend to do less
damage because they make landfall less frequently.
Like their Atlantic counterparts, Pacific storms are given names that correspond to the alphabet.
Also Saturday, the season's 20th tropical depression was drifting toward Mexico in the western Caribbean, prompting the government to issue tropical
storm warnings for the Yucatan Peninsula.
The depression was centered 80 miles east of Tulum and about 95 miles east of Tulum and about 95 miles southeast of Cozumel, according to the U.S.
hurricane center. It was moving west at 6 mph.
The system had sustained winds of 30 mph, but could become a named tropical storm before making its expected landfall on the eastern Yucatan later
Saturday or Sunday, according to the center.
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\"I think it would be a good idea.\"
-- Mahatma Gandhi, when asked what he thought of Western civilization
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Tucker
Senior Nomad
Posts: 664
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: El Centenario, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Otis is weakening rapidly, Longwang peters out near Hong Kong.
\"I think it would be a good idea.\"
-- Mahatma Gandhi, when asked what he thought of Western civilization
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