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oladulce
Super Nomad
Posts: 1625
Registered: 5-30-2005
Location: bcs
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| Quote: | Originally posted by stanburn
A dinky hurricane that passed about150 miles south of Manzanillo. We received about .6 inches of rain and no wind. No worry for Baja. If it
recurves it will be over colder water and will die pretty quickly. |
Thanks for the on-scene report Stanburn. I'm always curious how the mainland is being impacted.
One forecast resource says this storm's proximity to the mainland coast kept it compact but as it moves farther offshore it will have the opportunity
to expand with a larger wind field.
One of the long range computer models has Hilary making a beeline over the top of our casa, which is surprising because our water is only 76-78° and
I'd have thought it would break up before it got anywhere near here.
Our masons suggested to BigWooo 4 days ago, based on what Mexican news/radio was reporting for Baja Sur, he should expedite the next load of sand,
gravel and cement deliveries "in case the roads wash out and trucks can't get in here for a while". I don't know exactly what Mexican news was
reporting but this was a few days before the NWS hurricane center showed a track heading for Baja. The albaņiles aren't alarmists and maybe they were
just being extra cautious so we wouldn't run out of materials. It'll be "interesting" to see how accurate the Mexican agency was with such a long
range forecast.
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
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Mood: undecided
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Osprey
"When the Gods wish to punish us, they answer our prayers"
Oscar Wilde |
Interesting! Thanks.
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
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Mood: it is what it is
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Well, watching EEB Mike, Hillary has taken a nose dive south and a little west. She's wavering.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13049
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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that is good planning on your albaniles part and they are right about the possibility of roads being washed out...they are often concerned with
running out of supplies and thus work! But I'm not sure I would want a big load of sand in my yard if big rains come...might lose alot of it.
here is an interesting model to consider too which certainly shows Hillary blowing into our barrio.
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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the latest model shows the storm running offshore, up the entire costa sur.
get out the rhino chasers.....
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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It's appearing like we'll get showers. Especially the West coast. But that's next Thursdays forecast and anyone's guess at this point.
TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH 48
HOURS DUE TO THE INITIAL POSITION. AT DAYS 4 AND 5 THE NHC FORECAST
HAS BEEN NUDGED EASTWARD
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13049
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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looks like you guys at the tip are off the hook!!! whew eh.
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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Something is very strange. I look at Stormpulse and there are clouds here and there, but none associated with Hillary.
Is this one of those rare cloudless hurricanes?
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MikeYounghusband
Nomad
Posts: 213
Registered: 8-27-2008
Location: Loreto, Baja Cal. Sur
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Mood: Always ready for more
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Great, I'm leaving with all of personal possessions in two trucks and a trailer on Wed. AM for Loreto. Should I wait for this to pass or do you think
I will be alright. FIGURES!!
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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| Quote: | Originally posted by MikeYounghusband
Great, I'm leaving with all of personal possessions in two trucks and a trailer on Wed. AM for Loreto. Should I wait for this to pass or do you think
I will be alright. FIGURES!! |
I wouldn't attempt a decision til Wednesday morning.
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
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Mood: undecided
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MikeYounghusband, If you're not in a arroyo or living in a real flimsy structure, ride it out.
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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| Quote: | Originally posted by DENNIS
Something is very strange. I look at Stormpulse and there are clouds here and there, but none associated with Hillary.
Is this one of those rare cloudless hurricanes? |
Scroll down it's there.... Honest
I'm hoping we get some rain outta this but after she makes the turn to the right who knows?
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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she's purdy!
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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from Jeff Masters"
Eastern Pacific's Hurricane Hilary slowly weakening
In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Hilary has slowly weakened to a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds. A trough of low pressure is expected to
turn Hilary to sharply to the north on Wednesday, but most of the models do not bring Hilary ashore over Mexico's Baja Peninsula during the next five
days. Since Hilary will be crossing cool water and encountering increased wind shear on its journey north, the storm is likely to be no stronger than
a tropical depression if it does manage to reach the coast.
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RnR
Senior Nomad
Posts: 839
Registered: 5-1-2010
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| Quote: | Originally posted by DENNIS
Something is very strange. I look at Stormpulse and there are clouds here and there, but none associated with Hillary.
Is this one of those rare cloudless hurricanes? |
The cloud overlay on Stormpulse hasn't updated in four or five days. Noticed this, too. Go to the National Hurricane Center and click in the open
ocean area for current cloud cover.
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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Thanks. I looked again this AM and still no clouds. I'll go to NHC.
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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I agree, Looks as though we may not even get a shower.
Stormpulse ... I played with a bit and got the clouds for a short time in motion but when I went to take a pic it went away
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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durrelllrobert
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7393
Registered: 11-22-2007
Location: Punta Banda BC
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Mood: thriving in Baja
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| Quote: | Originally posted by woody with a view
here she comes: |
Here's what you looked like when her and Billy were dating:
and here are smome more recent pics:
Bob Durrell
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rob
Senior Nomad
Posts: 509
Registered: 10-19-2004
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
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Surf on Friday Morning . .
Rancho la Aguja sits between Punta Marquez and Punta Conejo - both well-known surf spots, and we keep an eye on the surf because it is part of daily
life here - swimming and fishing (I am officially past surfing).
http://www.surf-forecast.com is usually pretty reliable (except for the temps - they show La Paz) and I have never seen a higher wave energy
forecast than shown for Friday - 9267!
A calm day here (2-3ft Pacific breakers) would read less than 100 . . . .
[Edited on 9-26-2011 by rob]
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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yeah, but those south winds STILL SUCK! at least it should be pumping this weekend....
[Edited on 9-26-2011 by woody with a view]
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