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jakethedog
Junior Nomad
Posts: 25
Registered: 9-11-2014
Location: sargento/bcs
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| Quote: | Originally posted by vandenberg
It may show Odile going on a westerly tack, but GFDL still shows it coming up the sea. And they have for the last several years by far been the most
accurate. |
Agreed! But I must say it seems the Canadian guy is always right eh? Most Canadians seem to know more about "The Baja" than everybody else.
After lurking here for a while it appears nobody responds much to these folks who sit all day and tell everbody else how it is from 3,000 miles away.
Just sayin' 
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
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Mood: Weary
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The way this works, is, you look at a lot of sites until you find one that disagrees with most of the others, and post it...That way evreyone gets to
argue about it....Equal opportunity forcasting...
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mikeymarlin
Junior Nomad
Posts: 94
Registered: 3-17-2014
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| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
The way this works, is, you look at a lot of sites until you find one that disagrees with most of the others, and post it...That way evreyone gets to
argue about it....Equal opportunity forcasting... |
chuckie--you are SOOOOO correct -- arguments are not productive in this case--- only MR. ODILE nows where he is going
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monoloco
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6667
Registered: 7-13-2009
Location: Pescadero BCS
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It's hard to make predictions, especially about the future.
"The future ain't what it used to be"
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Feathers
Nomad
Posts: 447
Registered: 9-14-2009
Location: La Bocana
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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| Quote: | Originally posted by mikeymarlin
| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
The way this works, is, you look at a lot of sites until you find one that disagrees with most of the others, and post it...That way evreyone gets to
argue about it....Equal opportunity forcasting... |
chuckie--you are SOOOOO correct -- arguments are not productive in this case--- only MR. ODILE nows where he is going |
UMMM, I believe that would be MISS ODILE, Mister mikey. 
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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o-duh-lay-he-hoo.....
[Edited on 9-11-2014 by woody with a view]
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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getting better. POLO looks like it will sling ODILE to the west, at least until the next model run in 6 hours.
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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watizname
Senior Nomad
Posts: 773
Registered: 8-7-2009
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MARCO ?!?!?!?!?!
I yam what I yam and that\'s all what I yam.
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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(Chicken dance) Never trust a hurricane or a woman named Odile
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mikeymarlin
Junior Nomad
Posts: 94
Registered: 3-17-2014
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Feathers
| Quote: | Originally posted by mikeymarlin
| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
The way this works, is, you look at a lot of sites until you find one that disagrees with most of the others, and post it...That way evreyone gets to
argue about it....Equal opportunity forcasting... |
chuckie--you are SOOOOO correct -- arguments are not productive in this case--- only MR. ODILE nows where he is going |
UMMM, I believe that would be MISS ODILE, Mister Mike. |
well, thanks for correcting me ---ya know, sometimes I have trouble identifying gender ---
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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Latest forecast shows CAT3 by Sunday
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Wondering what Odile means???? Probably not. But I am going to tell you anyhoo.
It is a French girl's name and was the name of the black swan in Swan Lake.
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
Wondering what Odile means???? Probably not. But I am going to tell you anyhoo.
It is a French girl's name and was the name of the black swan in Swan Lake. |
...and pronounced oh'-deal.....looked it up, I thought it was more like oh-dill-ee
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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I think Buddha dated her sister....
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
I think Buddha dated her sister.... |
only if she's an 80 y.o. heart patient with a bad cough that owns her own chain of liquor stores.... and Chuck's just jealous....
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
Posts: 2323
Registered: 10-17-2013
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000
WTPZ45 KNHC 112036
TCDEP5
TROPICAL STORM ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014
200 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2014
Conventional satellite imagery shows a sheared tropical storm with
the center of circulation just beneath the northeastern edge of the
deep convective cloud canopy. Although the shear appears to have
increased a bit this afternoon, convective spiral banding features
have become better organized, and a blend of the latest Dvorak
satellite intensity estimates reflect this overall improvement.
Subsequently, the initial intensity is raised to 50 kt. The
intensity forecast remains unchanged for this advisory with the
northeasterly shear relaxing in 24-36 hours. Through the remaining
portion of the forecast, the global models and the SHIPS intensity
model indicate an upper-wind environment conducive for strengthening
through day 5. The official intensity forecast shows this
intensification trend with Odile becoming a major hurricane in 3
days.
The initial motion is slightly left of the previous track and is
estimated to be toward the west-southwest or 255/02. This general
motion, although somewhat erratic, should continue during the
next 12-24 hours at which time Odile should begin a northwestward
motion in response to a mid-level ridge building to the northeast
of the cyclone. Odile is forecast to maintain this northwestward
track with a gradual increase in forward speed through the
remainder of the forecast period. The official NHC forecast is
again shifted a bit to the left of the previous forecast track
and splits between the TVCE and GFEX dynamical consensus models.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/2100Z 15.1N 104.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 12/0600Z 15.1N 104.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 12/1800Z 15.3N 105.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 13/0600Z 15.7N 105.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 13/1800Z 16.6N 106.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 14/1800Z 19.4N 110.1W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 15/1800Z 22.2N 113.7W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 16/1800Z 24.0N 117.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
$$
Forecaster Roberts
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CaboDreamer
Junior Nomad
Posts: 28
Registered: 6-28-2008
Location: Los Cabos
Member Is Offline
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Odile and friends spotted at secrect Baja surf spot.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qglzkAsgfR0
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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SHE'S UP !! SHE'S DOWN !! SHE'S... aw heck, just shows to go ya, YOGI WUZ RIGHT.... it ain't over 'till it's over. Downgraded to a possible class 2
tonight, you dwellers of duelle... wishers of washers... wanters of wanton waste... still cool to watch The Mother in action though. Nature's
wonders in motion. All be well, plee-uzz.
bb
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
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.
......can I stop spinininining yet!?   
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Mulegena
Super Nomad
Posts: 2412
Registered: 11-7-2006
Member Is Offline
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Yes, it's September and down here ya' gotta be ready.
We put another coat of impermeabilizante on the roof today as extra precaution.
Yes, please keep on spinning -- extra, extra mojo.
"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." ~ Aristotle
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