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Author: Subject: Tropical Storm Lorena; LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER STORM IS FORMING DOWN SOUTH
shari
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 06:39 AM


thank you for the report, looks like alot more rain still to come according to the satellite images...be careful all.....we look forward to more onsite reporting over the next few days.



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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:01 AM


About 6:30 pst

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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:01 AM


Judy it's odd how so many times it misses San Jose and nails Buena Vista/Los barriles.
Wind isn't as strong, plenty of rain.
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:17 AM


Yeah, we got no wind and still sprinkling
Also, still very dark




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:30 AM


Looks like we are going to get hit again here in Todos Santos. Right now
only clouds. But, looks as though we could suffer a direct hit. Damn, I
had the palapa repaired yesterday from Juliette. Everyone stay safe!!
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shari
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:46 AM


I just read a report on the Baja news that said the storm Lorena was moving at 9 km an hour but just cranked up to 22 km per hour so she's coming on faster than expected with gusts up to 85 km and rain...dang.
http://colectivopericu.net/2013/09/06/hoy-a-la-una-de-la-tar...




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 07:50 AM


Thanks Shari for the update
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pauldavidmena
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 08:37 AM


Shari - hopefully Lorena's sooner-than-expected arrival will mean a quick exit. Thank you for the updates, but do stay safe!
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 08:42 AM


I just read that we could get 3-6" of rain with some areas receiving up to 10". This could be a gully washer, guess it's time to take the laundry off the line.:lol:



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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 08:52 AM


Just started coming down here. Occasional gusts of 10 mph.
REALLY dark now....
We are headed into town for supplies....more later.....I hope!




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 09:05 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by monoloco
I just read that we could get 3-6" of rain with some areas receiving up to 10". This could be a gully washer, guess it's time to take the laundry off the line.:lol:


It would be interesting to have some of you with rain gauges to see how accurate this prediction becomes. It's really only about 24-36 hours from happening.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 09:18 AM


How's it looking Judy?

Quote:
Originally posted by bajajudy
Quote:
Originally posted by Mulegena
... and here we go...again!



Edited to ask Doug where he found the great color computer graphic.

[Edited on 9-5-2013 by Mulegena]


It looks like it may be from Intellicast

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.aspx?latitude=24.79&a...
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monoloco
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 09:31 AM


We have a weather station here, you can check current conditions or look at the log on Weather Underground. If you type in Todos Santos, you'll see Pescadero Heights, that's our station.
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?...




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 09:39 AM


Mike,
I seem to remember all my battens floated down to your casa last Oct 16. Go ahead and keep em,, looks like they would just come your way again... Everything we saved we brought back to the June wildfires in Colorado...




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i am so stinking tired of "battening"!!!....how much can a human "batten" without goin friggin nuts???
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 09:53 AM


Whewww lots of wicked weather going on. Stay safe, everyone!

Hope it clears up before we head down this coming week!




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 10:01 AM


Any news of how far north its raining at this time ????
Looks like it may go all the way to Az....
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 11:11 AM
CUT N PASTE DISCUSSION


Last Updated: Friday, September 06, 2013, 9:00:00 AM (Mountain Standard Time (Mexico)) Wind: 40 MPH Location: 22.3N 109.4W Movement: NW Pressure: 1005 MB Coordinates Discussions Marine Advisory Public Advisory Learn more about Tropical Storm Lorena and the 2013 East Pacific hurricane season here. radar data from Cabo San Lucas suggest the center of Lorena is approaching the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. Some banding is evident...although the overall organization is not that impressive in the latest satellite images. Dvorak estimates still suggest an intensity of 35 kt...and that will be the initial wind speed. No significant change in strength is expected before Lorena interacts with land during the next 6-12 h. After that time... entrainment of more stable air and continued land interaction should cause some weakening of the cyclone. Since it is such a weak system to begin with...Lorena should become a remnant low and/or dissipate near Baja California over the weekend. The latest NHC forecast is a blend of the previous forecast and the global model predictions...the latter of which have done a fine job on anticipating the lack of strengthening. Lorena appears to be moving northwestward at a slower pace...315/10. A deep-layer ridge to the northeast should continue to steer the cyclone northwestward at a decreasing forward speed....and as the storm weakens...it should slow and turn northward. The primary disagreement in the model guidance is how far north the cyclone gets before it decouples vertically. Since the cyclone is not expected to be very strong...it should become more steered by the low-level flow...and will probably stay south of the GFDL/HWRF forecasts which show a stronger system. The NHC track forecast is basically an update of the previous one...generally lying near or south of the model consensus. Forecast positions and Max winds init 06/1500z 22.3n 109.4w 35 kt 40 mph 12h 07/0000z 23.1n 110.4w 35 kt 40 mph 24h 07/1200z 23.8n 111.1w 30 kt 35 mph 36h 08/0000z 24.3n 111.4w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/remnt low 48h 08/1200z 25.0n 111.5w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/remnt low 72h 09/1200z...dissipated $$ forecaster Blake/Beven



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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 11:12 AM


Town report:
Rain, flooding, businesses closed.
Not too much wind
Looks like we could be about to get some REAL weather.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 11:24 AM


We're having a break in the rain here, but we picked up .39" in the last couple of hours.



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[*] posted on 9-6-2013 at 11:53 AM
Rancho Leonero web cam link


In case you don't have this one:
http://www.rancholeonero.com/

Thinking of you all and hoping for the best,
W




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