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Author: Subject: Gary Patton - Updated Jan. 5, 2015
lizard lips
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 07:18 AM


Great idea Latina.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 07:29 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by Skipjack Joe

Anyway, Corky may indeed be right but this is another possibility.



Of course he's right. He's always right :biggrin:, but where is he? I didn't even see him post here. :?:




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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 07:36 AM


I find it hard to believe that Gary could camp on the beach and surf from Sept to March and not be remembered. The amount of food and water and ice he would need to receive from the locals (since there are not enough miles on the truck to indicate he drove anywhere to get supplies) would make him memorable. Then his truck turns up stuck in the sand. To me it seems more plausible that the truck has been hidden for a few months and then ditched.



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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 07:54 AM


I'm in agreement with Larry.

If you look at the location of the vehicle -

There is no explanation for why Gary would drive to this spot. It's 10 km off the main dirt road. Followed by another 2km off a 'goat' road. And another 400m up an arroyo that can't be seen.

It is, however, exactly the sort of place where you would drive a vehicle if you intended to hide it. Remote and hidden from view.

This theory supports the rancher's story that the vehicle was not at this spot 3 months after the vehicle Gary left the states. 3 months which the mileage says he could not have been driving around.

This theory, however, does not support the digging that was done to free the car.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 07:57 AM


The 10 km. section is also a graded road, that goes to Punta Canoas, which is a sizable fish camp like San Jose.



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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:08 AM
Maps


Were any Baja maps found in the car, Everyone I know that drives/rides Baja carrys a map with them, and if I was to set out on foot after getting stuck I'd certainly take the map with me. or if he had just a Baja almanac, and that was still in the vehicle I'd look for any pages torn out.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:15 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by EnsenadaDr
How far is the distance from the Las Jardines where Gary was staying to the spot where his car was found? The key to his disappearance is on that route or road, somewhere, somehow. Also is the route direct except for that 12 km turnoff?


As the KM markers reset to "0" in San Quintin it will be approximately 168 KM (104 miles) to the turn-off to "Faro San Jose" (the 168 KM marker is esentially at the turn-off). Not sure where Jardines fits into the KM markers but should only be +/- a few. Add this to whatever the total off road distance was, (48KM [30 miles] I seem to recall), as long as he did not take any "wrong turns" and have to double back. There are several forks out there and unless you know the road you can take the wrong one that may only go to a rancho, or not go where you want. That track to Canoas where the directions from the rancher lead to is certainly not the more traveled, main road, so maybe he did know the roads out there and wanted to go to Canoas and not the area around San Jose?


So the short answer is ~216 KM (134 miles) from Jardines to where the vehicle was found.

[Edited on 4-8-2014 by Taco de Baja]




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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:19 AM


Jardines is pretty close to Km. 1.



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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:37 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by David K

The 10 km. section is also a graded road, that goes to Punta Canoas, which is a sizable fish camp like San Jose.



That does not look like a graded road to me. It does, however, look to be more traveled than I initially thought.

Another thought:

Given the proximity of all of these roads it's very unlikely that Gary was lost. It's unlikely that he was hiking all over the desert looking for help. It's more likely that he followed those roads searching or waiting for a passing vehicle. That's assuming there was no foul play.

Therefore the logical place to look for his remains would be along those roads.

If he did not perish in this area, however, there is a small, really small, chance that he may still be alive. I suppose as a family member I would think that way until the body is actually discovered.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:47 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by Skipjack Joe
I'm in agreement with Larry.

If you look at the location of the vehicle -

There is no explanation for why Gary would drive to this spot. It's 10 km off the main dirt road. Followed by another 2km off a 'goat' road. And another 400m up an arroyo that can't be seen.

It is, however, exactly the sort of place where you would drive a vehicle if you intended to hide it. Remote and hidden from view.

This theory supports the rancher's story that the vehicle was not at this spot 3 months after the vehicle Gary left the states. 3 months which the mileage says he could not have been driving around.

This theory, however, does not support the digging that was done to free the car.


Unless someone else who knows the area drove the car there to hide it and then they got stuck, gave up and planned to come back at a later date to get all the stuff, or strip it or whatever guys in Mexico do when they steal a foreign car.... In that scenario there would have had to be another accomplice in a vehicle or how would the person ditching it get out of there? It doesn't explain why a criminal would leave an easy portable item like an expensive camera behind, the extra keys, the plates on the truck and a couple of celebratory beers in the cooler...
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 08:49 AM


"One would almost have to be standing in the spot of the incident to make an assumption of which way he walked. One would also need to know the direction the car was headed when stuck to assume where he had been, or from which direction he was traveling from."
I think this reasoning is a good starting point. From personal experience, I can suggest that maybe he took off, cross-country, toward a remembered rancho or campo, (not down the road - after all, he was already away from the main road), as a "shortcut", only to find difficult terrain and have to double back, making the hike longer. I personally have had to curtail digging out of the sand in the heat to sit under the meager shade of a bush, sipping water, until I could continue digging out. And Gary had blood pressure problems. And remember the guy who "went missing" in the arroyo around Catavina and was eventually found under a tree? The photo of the "accident memorial" on the camera is curious to me. Does it look like it has been in place for a while? Positioned next to the highway or in open space? This was the last photo?
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 09:00 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by latina
Quote:
Originally posted by Skipjack Joe
I'm in agreement with Larry.

If you look at the location of the vehicle -

There is no explanation for why Gary would drive to this spot. It's 10 km off the main dirt road. Followed by another 2km off a 'goat' road. And another 400m up an arroyo that can't be seen.

It is, however, exactly the sort of place where you would drive a vehicle if you intended to hide it. Remote and hidden from view.

This theory supports the rancher's story that the vehicle was not at this spot 3 months after the vehicle Gary left the states. 3 months which the mileage says he could not have been driving around.

This theory, however, does not support the digging that was done to free the car.


Unless someone else who knows the area drove the car there to hide it and then they got stuck, gave up and planned to come back at a later date to get all the stuff, or strip it or whatever guys in Mexico do when they steal a foreign car.... In that scenario there would have had to be another accomplice in a vehicle or how would the person ditching it get out of there? It doesn't explain why a criminal would leave an easy portable item like an expensive camera behind, the extra keys, the plates on the truck and a couple of celebratory beers in the cooler...


I agree with you Latina. After DavidK pointed out that the 12km road actually leads to Pt Canoa it's likely that he wasn't just pulling off the road to San Jose but actually headed to Canoa. A 2km drive to get off this road to spend the night makes perfect sense. And in such a case he could have, indeed, just got his car stuck in the sediment as the evidence suggests.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 09:05 AM


I don't know if it was the last photo in that Garys son viewed it while at the Catavina PD. Until we get the camera back then we will know exactly what photos were taken and when.

If someone staged the scene where the vehicle was found with the cameras still inside I would tend to believe that Gary was the last person to be there. Maybe that is exactly what the person/persons wanted people to believe or if the cameras were taken how would that person explain this to his friends or family. I'm just throwing that out there obviously.

The mileage driven is set in stone. The ranchers thoughts are not but you just have to believe him about not seeing the SUV in December. Very odd.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 09:23 AM


To me the mileage information suggests that Gary drove to this spot virtually directly from home. Assuming he drove to Catavina for gas before doubling back I came out with 146 unaccounted miles.

But he had the vehicle for 6 days in the States before he started his journey. Just the back and forth in shopping could have accounted for those miles in 6 days.

This suggests that it really was an accidental death.

You have to wonder why he didn't take his beers and juice and melted water and walk the 2km and wait for cars to come by. Perhaps the traffic was so light that he decided this was futile and headed to the larger road to San Jose, another 10km. If the traffic is light on these roads he was clearly in a desparate situation.

PS. I've always wondered if lopping off a barrel cactus does provide some water.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 09:24 AM


Taco,

Wasn't it assumed that Gary was headed to Bahia Los Angeles from Las Jardines? Where in your opinion do you think he was headed before the turn off he took?
Quote:
Originally posted by Taco de Baja
Quote:
Originally posted by EnsenadaDr
How far is the distance from the Las Jardines where Gary was staying to the spot where his car was found? The key to his disappearance is on that route or road, somewhere, somehow. Also is the route direct except for that 12 km turnoff?


As the KM markers reset to "0" in San Quintin it will be approximately 168 KM (104 miles) to the turn-off to "Faro San Jose" (the 168 KM marker is esentially at the turn-off). Not sure where Jardines fits into the KM markers but should only be +/- a few. Add this to whatever the total off road distance was, (48KM [30 miles] I seem to recall), as long as he did not take any "wrong turns" and have to double back. There are several forks out there and unless you know the road you can take the wrong one that may only go to a rancho, or not go where you want. That track to Canoas where the directions from the rancher lead to is certainly not the more traveled, main road, so maybe he did know the roads out there and wanted to go to Canoas and not the area around San Jose?


So the short answer is ~216 KM (134 miles) from Jardines to where the vehicle was found.

[Edited on 4-8-2014 by Taco de Baja]
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 09:38 AM


it would be interesting to know just how buried the 4runner was? like I said, I would have jammed that soft top under the back wheel in a heartbeat before I took off walking! Lips, how soon do think before you can see the photo's?
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 10:02 AM


Not until the first of May will the car and belongings be recovered. I told the family not to travel anywhere in Mexico during the Easter Holidays and apparently they cannot get away until the end of the month anyway.

You all have to remember that Gary did not have any set plans on where he was going. Many thought he may go to BOLA to photograph the Whale Sharks and it appears he didn't make it any further south than Catavina.
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 10:17 AM


From Google maps, it appears that it is approximately 115 miles from San Quintin to Catavina or maybe a 2 to 3 hours drive. If Gary started out from Hotel Los Jardines in San Quintin early in the morning, why would he only drive a few hours and then pull over the side of the road. It appears to me he was headed towards Bahia de Los Angeles and could have made it in 4 to 5 hours (225 miles). Something fishy happened in those 2 hours on the road towards Bahia Los Angeles between San Quintin to Catavina on his way to BOLA. Maybe he stopped to use a restroom along the way and got ambushed? Either way it makes no sense for a man to only drive 3 hours and pull over to camp out. Reading the earlier posts, it was thought he was going to BOLA to photograph the whales and this could have been done easily in a half day drive, spend the day in BOLA and head back to SQ in 3 days as Shari had mentioned he was planning to do in one of her posts on the thread earlier but it was entirely possible to do this in 3 days judging by the distances. As far as traveling to a fish camp, better fishing could be had all around in SQ IMO.

[Edited on 4-8-2014 by EnsenadaDr]
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 10:20 AM


That is so sad. Nine months missing, 4 months since truck found and he's still missing and no actual search has taken place yet.
I hope that the beach area of Punta Canoa is popular with campers during Semana Santa and that the traffic will provide much needed presence and possibly uncover something useful. After all this time, worries about the "site" being disturbed seem kind of irrelevant...
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[*] posted on 4-8-2014 at 10:26 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by EnsenadaDr
Taco,

Wasn't it assumed that Gary was headed to Bahia Los Angeles from Las Jardines? Where in your opinion do you think he was headed before the turn off he took


I don't know where it was "assumed" he was headed, maybe that's buried in the 1,000+ replies to this thread with lots of differing opinions. I believe he was just exploring with no real set goal or local in mind. But, he clearly was not on the road to BOLA. In my opinion he was headed to the coastal areas north or south of Faro San Jose. There are several points here where he could have the surf break to himself, providing the swell was there.

However, I am troubled by the apparent lack of food and water in the vehicle. I always carry at least 1 gallon per person per day of water, plus beer and sodas. There should have been at least a jerry can of water or a case of bottles. Maybe the water was there and just has not been listed. Also, if you are going to spend the time to go that far off-road there should be a week of canned/dry goods. Were there any 5-gallon gas cans? Always a good idea to have extra fuel when way off the main roads; 4x4ing burns through a lot of gas.




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