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Author: Subject: Hurricaine Paul rain, wind & road reports
capitolkat
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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:04 PM


High winds in La Paz, gusts maybe to 40-- some fool is putting out of the marina la Paz heading out to the SOC- the port is closed, insane



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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:06 PM


from the Baja Insider:

http://www.bajainsider.com/weather/hurricanes/2012/hurricane...




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:19 PM


Hard Rain now 2:15. curious that the surface wind is still out of the NNE. I have my East facing windows wide open still.
It appears the mountains are holding it on the Pacific side for now as it appears the center has flattened out some.



[Edited on 10-16-2012 by Russ]




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:24 PM


From Jeff Masters Wunder Blog:
Hurricane Paul put on an impressive burst of rapid intensification on Monday, topping out as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds at 2 pm PDT on Monday. Paul has weakened some this morning, due to high wind shear of 30 knots, but remains a potent Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds as it heads towards landfall this afternoon on the Baja Mexico coast. The 3006-passenger cruise ship Carnival Splendor made a daring run southeastwards along the Baja coast in front of Hurricane Paul, and encountered some very heavy weather this morning. At 2 am PDT, the vessel reported sustained winds of 54 mph and hail in a heavy squall located about 160 miles northeast of Paul's eye. Four hours later, at 6 am PDT, the ship was still measuring 54 mph winds, at point about 140 miles east of the eye and 40 miles northwest of the Cabo San Lucas on the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. The winds were measured on top of the ship, at an altitude more than 100 feet above the standard 10 meter (32.8') altitude used to report winds. If you know of a passenger who was on the ship, tell them to upload a wunderphoto and a report of what is was like! The view from the deck webcam shows that not too many passengers were out taking wunderphotos this morning, though.

Since the region of coast where Paul will hit is very sparsely populated, heavy rains will be the main threat from the storm. Cabo San Lucas has picked up 2.23" of rain from Paul as of 7 am PDT this morning, and San Jose Del Cabo picked up 2.00". Neither city is expected to get tropical storm-force winds from Paul, according to the latest wind probability forecast from NHC. Paul's formation brings this year's tally in the Eastern Pacific to 16 named storms, 10 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. An average Eastern Pacific season has 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:30 PM


Hola to all......hunker down and stay dry....'canes are not your friend.

Looking forward to another trip to La Paz for Carnival in 2013, forward any info you run across, hoping to have a slower group with less "agenda".....




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 01:32 PM


Paul has the earmarks of dispensing lots of moisture in the mountains directly west of the Mulege area.

If I was along that Rio, I would have evacuated by now; lock, stock and barrel.




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 02:00 PM


its right over us now...lots of water
buckets

the river people in mulege are getting lots of water

its moving east FAST

if it continues it'll be gone by 8pm tonite

paul1.jpg - 34kB




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 02:34 PM


holy sh*t its raining here on the bay

i wonder how the town and river are doing
no posts from the river people




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 02:34 PM


The latest NWS discussion reports that Paul has slowed "significantly" and will continue to slow further.

It does seem hard to fathom that Paul will make the predicted hard left to the west, but either way NWS says it will be on the peninsula for at least 24 to 36 hours and that doesn't bode well for Mulege or other vulnerable locations.




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 02:39 PM


3:30
Wind and rain have diminished. Our surface wind moved almost due North now. Here a guy that stuck it out during the worst of it.... so far.




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 02:50 PM


russ its POUNDING us here on the bay...not too much wind but some

maybe you're in the "eye"




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:08 PM


ok now the wind is BLOWING...geezzz

water and wind...HURRICANE!!!




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:16 PM


I did not think we had much wind as we were sitting on the front porch and enjoying a c-cktail while watching the waves hit the beach at Chivato. I think I did not realize how much the wind was blowing until I went off of the porch where the Hurricane Cloth is . I was afraid that since we mounted this stuff, that we might never get to try it out but I now know that it works very, very well.



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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:19 PM


From the NOAA Goes satellite at 3PM, PDT: this storm did not turn, sorta like a couple other storms prior that didn't get the message either.

Looks like remmanent center goes over Bahia Conception. Hope it keeps moving fast for all concerned. Very concerned for flash flooding along the river now.

I talked with contractor Alfredo in Mulege at 1PM, PDT. He was not too concerned at the time. Will try to reach him later.
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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:25 PM


right now gusts to 40mph and lots of rain

water all around...thank god we "built up"

i think it'll be over by 9pm...the "hot air" from the debates should clear it out:lol:

no messages from town...must be baaaddd




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:47 PM


my prediction...in 2 hours its over...

the north gets a pass...this time

still lots of water and rain at 4:40pm

paul2.jpg - 23kB




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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 03:56 PM


we will see. power is apparently out on the coast between Abreojos and Asuncion but an hour or so ago it was pouring in Abreojos. Minor flooding Locals felt there was no doubt that the road would wash out if it continued.
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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 04:11 PM


Thanks for all the reports! Hoping to hear from anyone downtown Mulege. I just hope Paul is as not as bad as John.
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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 04:29 PM


Well, once again I am asking for information about Mulege. I cannot believe another hurricane just went right over. Is Mulege Mike still online?
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[*] posted on 10-16-2012 at 04:36 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by bajadogs
Thanks for all the reports! Hoping to hear from anyone downtown Mulege. I just hope Paul is as not as bad as John.


Paul is worse. John, at least, was an apostle.
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