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oldlady
Banned
Posts: 1714
Registered: 10-31-2005
Location: BCS
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| Quote: | Originally posted by shari
Not looking good this morning for anyone here on the peninsula. i wonder if it might be interesting to open a Chat starting tomorrow starring those
who are living here who can do live reports...till the power goes out...since most of us will be checking in here alot....maybe we can organize our
Jimena Pool there ...what do you think?
How are things in the cape region this morning?? |
Shari, Think your idea of a chat is a good one. We are on generator since part of Centenario is still without power, I'd hang in with ya unless we
decide to take the dish off the roof....being on the "dirty" side of a Cat 4 or 5 isn't my idea of a good time.
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oldlady
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Posts: 1714
Registered: 10-31-2005
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Unfortunately Jesse is right, based on forecastes winds. My concern would be protecting whatever I have time to, in the next 24, from the palapa and
trees when they go.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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thanks maam...i thought it might be the place for well wishers too...so we could maybe keep the threads clear for important updates etc....so I will
open a Jimena chat room and moniter it when I am at the computer. Please dont underestimate the power of this storm and we should be prepared to help
each other in any way we can....see you in chat amigos.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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i tried to set up a Jimena chat room but it didnt work....so how about we just use the default chat room so it is easier for everyone...i will check
in periodically but just to have the thing up and working for when things get tough...sometimes it's nice just to have someone there to talk
to....hang in there, be safe and get out of harms way.
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lingililingili
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Posts: 449
Registered: 2-24-2008
Location: La Paz, Bahia Asuncion
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Shari: Are twogringos still in Asuncion? Have not heard a peep from them.
•Life is just one damned thing after another
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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| Quote: | Originally posted by JESSE
Palapa is gone, along with the Palm trees. |
Now that's what you call "an upbeat report"
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
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Mood: undecided
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Nature has designed Palm trees round without limbs so they can withstand hurricane force winds. Palapas on the other hand are designed to be
relatively easy to replace.
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Cypress
Nature has designed Palm trees round without limbs so they can withstand hurricane force winds. |
I think they might survive if not for the shallow root system. I believe most just tip over rather than break.
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
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| Quote: | Originally posted by oldlady
Unfortunately Jesse is right, based on forecastes winds. My concern would be protecting whatever I have time to, in the next 24, from the palapa and
trees when they go. |
Palm trees are transplanted, so there isnt enough root system there to hold against Hurricane winds.
I am probably losing one or two 50 yr old trees myself, so i am not happy about it.
[Edited on 8-31-2009 by JESSE]
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Cypress
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Location: on the bayou
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Yea, they don't have much of a root system, ought to be easy to get 'em upright and replanted.
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monoloco
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6667
Registered: 7-13-2009
Location: Pescadero BCS
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| Quote: | Originally posted by HaciendaCerritos
We are located on the Pacific Ocean just below Todos Santos.
Winds are basically non-existent right now. The waves are not large, but they are a little more forceful. 1 surfer in the water. Cloudy.
Now, here's a question: do you think this will survive the storm? It will be tied down shortly. It is the Palapa and bar area at the main pool. Edited
to say: I just took this picture.
[Edited on 8-31-2009 by HaciendaCerritos] |
I would be more worried about your rock retaining walls with
minimal foundations holding back the thousands of tons of fill dirt you brought in. I just hope it doesn't wash down on to the Los Cerritos beach and
foul the point.
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9010
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
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Mood: Inquisitive
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USAF Hurricane Hunter info just in!!!!!
...Hurricane hunters find Jimena stronger...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the southern portion of the
Baja California peninsula from Bahia Magdalena southward on the
West Coast...and from San Evaristo southward on the East Coast...
including Cabo San Lucas. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane
conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Baja California peninsula
north of Bahia Magdalena on the West Coast to Punta Abreojos...and
north of San Evaristo to Mulege on the East Coast. A Hurricane
Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the central Baja California peninsula and in
western Mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Jimena.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your National meteorological service.
At 1100 am PDT...1800 UTC...the center of Hurricane Jimena was
located by an Air Force Reserve huricane hunter aircraft near
latitude 18.1 north...longitude 108.9 west or about 340
miles...545 km...south of Cabo San Lucas Mexico.
Jimena is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and a
turn toward the north-northwest with a gradual increase in forward
speed is expected over the next day or so. On the forecast
track...Jimena will be approaching the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula on Tuesday.
Reports from the hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum
sustained winds are near 150 mph...240 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Jimena is an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are
possible during the next day or two.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80
miles...130 km.
The minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft
is 936 mb...27.63 inches.
Jimena is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10
inches over the southern half of the Baja California peninsula and
portions of western Mexico during the next 2 days...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches.
A storm surge along with large and dangerous battering waves will
produce significant coastal flooding along the Baja California
peninsula.
...Summary of 1100 am PDT information...
location...18.1n 108.9w
maximum sustained winds...150 mph
present movement...northwest or 315 degrees at 8 mph
minimum central pressure...936 mb
the next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 200 PM PDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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Thanks Hook.
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arrowhead
Banned
Posts: 912
Registered: 5-5-2009
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The 11AM hurricane track forecast was just updated. It could not be worse. They show Jimena crossing directly on top of Ciudad Constitucion, the
strongest part of the storm (the northeast quadrant) hitting Mulege and the storm exiting over the Sea of Cortez right over Bay of LA.
No soy por ni contra apatía.
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MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
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Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day
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No Worries
We NEED the rain.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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from Jeff Masters, the principal blogger at wetherunderground:
Posted by: JeffMasters, 9:36 AM MDT on August 31, 2009
Hurricane warnings are in effect for the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula, where powerful Hurricane Jimena is expected to make landfall Tuesday
night or Wednesday morning. The hurricane is in an environment with low wind shear, 5 - 10 knots, and warm Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs), 30°C.
Shear is expected to remain low, and SSTs will decline to 28°C with a corresponding decrease in total oceanic heat content between now and landfall,
and these conditions should mean that Jimena will be a Category 3 or 4 hurricane at landfall. Outer rain-bands of the hurricane will be appearing on
Los Cabos radar soon, though the Mexican Weather Service web site has been hard to reach today. The computer models are split, with one camp calling
for a landfall in southern Baja, and the other camp calling for landfall farther north near central Baja. The official NHC forecast splits the
difference between these two solutions, and landfall could occur anywhere along a long stretch of the Baja coast. At this point, the UKMET model's
solution taking Jimena westward out to sea is being discounted, since it is an outlier.
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Bajahowodd
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9274
Registered: 12-15-2008
Location: Disneyland Adjacent and anywhere in Baja
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"calling for landfall farther north near central Baja."
When is the last time anyone could remember a hurricane coming in from the West and making landfall over central Baja?
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GC
Junior Nomad
Posts: 70
Registered: 5-17-2006
Location: Punta Banda
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Shari,
Are Fred and Angie from Punta Banda still in your area? They had been looking forward to camping there and hopefully have had a little time to check
out the area before heading back north.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Bajahowodd
"calling for landfall farther north near central Baja."
When is the last time anyone could remember a hurricane coming in from the West and making landfall over central Baja? |
Norbert last fall, made landfall just south of San Carlos.
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Diver
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4729
Registered: 11-15-2004
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HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2009
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS HAVE JUST COMPLETED THEIR MISSION IN JIMENA...AND FOUND THAT THE HURRICANE WAS STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY
ESTIMATED. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED UPWARD TO 135 KT...AT THE VERY HIGH END OF
CATEGORY 4 STATUS. ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES SHOULD NOT PREVENT JIMENA FROM MAINTAINING MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
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