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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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Blanca is a BIG storm, sizewize...
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Mexico has included Abreojos and Mulege in their latest watch areas. This was included in the latest forecast advisory from the NHC.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO LORETO ALONG THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS AND
FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.
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mtnpop
Senior Nomad
Posts: 597
Registered: 9-8-2009
Location: Colorado/mulege
Member Is Offline
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This will be an interesting first test for the new concrete expressway on the north side of the estuary to Loma Azul...
Glad I held off painting the casita after Odile... would have hated doing it twice the same year... or maybe more.. it's not Aug or Sep. yet so it
could be an interesting summer...
Of course Colorado, Texas, and Okla are not a heck of a lot better so far..
Big storm rolling over the Sangres as I write this....
roll up your knickers...
mother nature needs some sweet talk or somethin....
Common sense is a flower that doesn\'t grow in everyone\'s garden.....
A wise man once spoke nothing.....
Never kick a cow chip on a hot day!!
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Quote: Originally posted by mtnpop  | This will be an interesting first test for the new concrete expressway on the north side of the estuary to Loma Azul...
Glad I held off painting the casita after Odile... would have hated doing it twice the same year... or maybe more.. it's not Aug or Sep. yet so it
could be an interesting summer...
Of course Colorado, Texas, and Okla are not a heck of a lot better so far..
Big storm rolling over the Sangres as I write this....
roll up your knickers...
mother nature needs some sweet talk or somethin....
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Yeah, I would be evacuating, if I lived along the Rio Mulege, I think.
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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For those on the west side of the cape in Todos and Mag Bay, be aware the eastern eye-wall has the most force of winds, and flying debris is as
dangerous as flooding; if you don't have enough boards for windows, at least tape them well with masking tape (wider the better) or duct tape; it
reduces shard-shrapnel. Stay away from especially windward windows. Other house's roofing can travel great distances in a good gust...
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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Sunday is tomorrow....How much will she fade? We got hammered here on the great plains last nite...I slept right through it....Under a severe storm
watch now....Prayers and good luck to my friends in Baja...
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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GFDL usually most accurate,which in this case means hang onto your hats Loreto and Mulege.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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Cat 3; sustained winds are now 120mph.
HURRICANE BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
600 PM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015
...BLANCA'S EYE PASSING JUST TO THE EAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND...
SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 110.1W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Loreto to Puerto San Andresito, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Puerto San Andresito to Punta Abreojos
* North of Loreto to Mulege
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 110.1 West. Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), but a turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast by tonight. On the forecast track, the
center of Blanca is expected to be near the southwestern coast of
Baja California Sur in the warning area late Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Blanca is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening should begin tonight or
Sunday, and Blanca should be a tropical storm when it moves near
the west coast of the southern Baja California peninsula.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km). A wind gust to 61 mph (98 km/h) was reported on
Socorro Island about an hour ago.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area on Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane
watch area on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within
the tropical storm watch area starting Sunday night.
RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 10 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern
portion of the state of Baja California, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 15 inches over Baja California Sur. These rains
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
SURF: Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. For additional information, please consult products
from your local weather office.
HURRICANE BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
300 PM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015
Late this morning, satellite imagery began to show some decrease in
the deep convection surrounding the eye, and the latest Dvorak
estimates suggest that the winds are probably down to 105 kt.
Limited data from the reconnaissance plane, which had to return to
base, also indicate that the initial intensity is 105 kt. A portion
of the circulation is already reaching cooler waters, and the NHC
forecast calls for weakening. This process should occur even faster
as the cyclone approaches the west coast of the southern Baja
California peninsula. The effect of the high terrain and increasing
shear will cause the cyclone to become a remnant low in about 3 days
or earlier. This is consistent with the intensity guidance which
weakens the cyclone fast.
Blanca is moving on a steady northwestward track or 320 degrees at 9
kt. The steering currents controlling the motion of Blanca remain
unchanged. The hurricane is expected to turn toward the
north-northwest tonight around the periphery of a mid-level high
centered over northern Mexico and southwestern Texas. The southerly
flow ahead of an approaching trough will also contribute to the
northward motion of Blanca. There is high confidence in the track
forecast since the dynamical guidance has been consistently in very
good agreement. The NHC forecast is basically in the middle of the
tight guidance envelope.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/2100Z 18.3N 109.9W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 07/0600Z 19.5N 110.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 07/1800Z 21.5N 111.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 08/0600Z 23.8N 111.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 08/1800Z 26.0N 112.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 09/1800Z 29.5N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13045
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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6-10" of rain...ruh roh! Only a 10' swell forecast for here...not too bad.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: it is what it is
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On the weather map it looks like the first bands have passed over us but I never even knew they were there. Calm here in Todos Santos right now.
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Whale-ista
Super Nomad
Posts: 2009
Registered: 2-18-2013
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
Mood: Sunny with chance of whales
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Great googly moogly - that's a big 'un...hold tight nomads in the path.
\"Probably the airplanes will bring week-enders from Los Angeles before long, and the beautiful poor bedraggled old town will bloom with a
Floridian ugliness.\" (John Steinbeck, 1940, discussing the future of La Paz, BCS, Mexico)
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Dead calm and comfortable here at La Aguja at 9:40 - but no stars to be seen outside.
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: it is what it is
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It's very warm outside at 5:30am. The wind has picked up but nothing too bad - just windy and a little gusty now and then. No rain yet in Todos
Santos.
[Edited on 6-7-2015 by Katiejay99]
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Any webcams in Todos Santos, facing seaward?
What about in Puerto San Carlos?
[Edited on 6-7-2015 by Hook]
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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No web cams in Puerto San Carlos or Lopez Mateos or San Juanico.
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Then, you'll have to be our WX correspondent, Edwina R. Murrow, Mula.
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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Am leaving San Nicolas this morning. Going to Lopez Mateos to ride out
Blanca.
Will give reports if my Hughesnet hold up.
Will be back in San Nicolas the end of the week after Blanca leaves!
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cj5orion
Nomad
Posts: 336
Registered: 2-6-2010
Location: Pacific Beach/Gonzaga Bay
Member Is Offline
Mood: time for a cervaza !!!
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webcams ?
https://www.windyty.com/spot/ad/MMSL/22.95/-109.94?2015-06-0...
Home Remodels/Builds..Recession!
Gone BAJA BUILDIN/FISHIN !
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Well, as Cabo webcams go, I like this one. VERY realtime!!!
http://www.cabovillasbeachresort.com/live-webcam.htm
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