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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
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I am actually watching this, i am not an expert but it seems Cabo is not the target anymore.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200611_sat.h...
Animate the image and watch where that eye is going.
[Edited on 9-1-2006 by JESSE]
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mike odell
Nomad
Posts: 267
Registered: 12-17-2002
Location: La Ribera BCS
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Thanks Al
As long as the phone lines are up, I will try to pass along whats happening here in La Ribera as it changes. We are buttoned down tight just sitting
around waiting, most all here in the pueblo are boarded up, havent seen a car go by in 20 minutes! Beach in front of us is empty, fair sized waves!
For folks that dont know the area, we are about 80 miles from San Lucas on the East Cape.
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Taco de Baja
Super Nomad
Posts: 1913
Registered: 4-14-2004
Location: Behind the Orange Curtain, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Dreamin' of Baja
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And looks at all this warm water to pull it in like a fish on a line.
Terafin Sea Surf Temps
[Edited on 9-1-2006 by Taco de Baja]
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
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Saw a line of CFE trucks heading to cabo this morning, maybe they should be turning back.
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Al G
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2647
Registered: 12-19-2004
Location: Todos Santos/Full time for now...
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Mood: Wondering what is next???
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Jesse is right. CNN new update 2min ago. John has wobbled again and is now headed for DSJC .
Albert G
Remember, if you haven\'t got a smile on your face and laughter in your heart, then you are just a sour old fart!....
The most precious thing we have is life, yet it has absolutely no trade-in value.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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I think they named this Hurricane wrong it shoulda been Juanita, the latest model shows 2 of the tracks going north into the SOC.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Al G
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2647
Registered: 12-19-2004
Location: Todos Santos/Full time for now...
Member Is Offline
Mood: Wondering what is next???
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Comitan, your right the tracks have changed This one has 3 up the center of Baja, one up the SOC, and ONLY 1 out to the Pacific..
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200611_model...
Albert G
Remember, if you haven\'t got a smile on your face and laughter in your heart, then you are just a sour old fart!....
The most precious thing we have is life, yet it has absolutely no trade-in value.
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Cincodemayo
Senior Nomad
Posts: 725
Registered: 3-7-2005
Location: Pacific NW
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If you watch the animated storm tracker notice the most western bands thrown off and just explode into giant cloud masses...sure looks to me a direct
hit on San Jose del Cabo...but it's slowed and who knows for sure
Don\'t get mad...
Get EVEN.
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Tomas Tierra
Super Nomad
Posts: 1281
Registered: 3-23-2005
Location: oxnard, ca
Member Is Offline
Mood: Tengo Flojera
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Fox news just reported that it may go straight up the Baja peninsula, with rain in L.A. in 3-4 days....I guess its "solo Dios sabes" but that would
seem to bethe least desireable track for all of the Baja...
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Naomi
Newbie
Posts: 21
Registered: 9-23-2003
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Member Is Offline
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 01 2006
...EYE OF JOHN A FEW HOURS FROM LANDFALL...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN EVERISTO
TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST. THESE WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST LATER TONIGHT.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE AND RADAR FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NEAR LATITUDE 22.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...EAST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF HURRICANE JOHN WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA IN A FEW HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JOHN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.
JOHN IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA. THE WEST COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO COULD RECEIVE AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 18
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...22.8 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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forecasted 3-day line as of 2pm:
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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through 12:30pm (Pacific Time)
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Cincodemayo
Senior Nomad
Posts: 725
Registered: 3-7-2005
Location: Pacific NW
Member Is Offline
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Dang...if it follows that path the lower third of Baja will get trashed. I just hope the locals outside of news alerts will get notification all the
way to Mag Bay. Surface water temps in the bay are in the 80's and could gain strength after getting over water again. Time will tell but good
thoughts be with all the folks in John's path....locals and tourists alike.
Don\'t get mad...
Get EVEN.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64855
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Great link Soulpatch...
Hang on La Paz Nomads!
Shari (Bahia Asuncion): You're going to get wet!
[Edited on 9-1-2006 by David K]
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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A man walks under a tri-hull sailboat leaning halfway off its trailer in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Friday, Sept. 1, 2006, as Hurricane John approaches
the area. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
[Edited on 9-1-2006 by BajaNews]
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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A man walks on a Los Cabos beach in Mexico's state of Baja California as Hurricane John approaches the area September 1, 2006. (Daniel
Aguilar/Reuters)
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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Roberto Alvarez, of Cabo San Lucas, surfs in front of the city's famous rock arch in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Friday, Sept. 1, 2006, as Hurricane John
nears. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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Tourists wait for a flight out of Los Cabos airport in Mexico as Hurricane John approaches the area, August 31, 2006. (Daniel Aguilar/Reuters)
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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US tourists wait in a shelter for Hurricane John to hit the shores in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Residents and thousands of tourists in Mexico's Baja
California braced for the fury of Hurricane John, which barreled toward the exclusive resort of Cabo San Lucas at the southern tip of the
peninsula.(AFP/Luis Acosta)
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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A fisherman prays while holding a candle at the beach while waiting for Hurricane John to hit the coastline in Baja California, Mexico. With a
stronger and meaner Hurricane John threatening to make landfall, three towns in Mexico's Baja California peninsula have been placed under a state of
emergency, and 15,000 people have been evacuated to safety. (AFP/Luis Acosta)
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