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Author: Subject: Hurricane Dean Predicted Path
Iflyfish
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 03:37 AM
Hurricane Dean Predicted Path


http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=...

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Russ
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 06:17 AM


From the above site. Thanks Pam

screenshot_01.jpg - 45kB




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MrBillM
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 09:08 AM
Quien Sabe ?


Given the lack of accurate 3-5 day forecasts, once it slams through the Yucatan, the likely path will be far more clear. Texans are, of course, hoping that the current track holds true.
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 09:14 AM


Forecast:

screenshot_02.jpg - 45kB




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Russ
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 09:20 AM


The above was not intended to be offensive. Just playing at taking screen shots and seeing if they'll post



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toneart
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 10:06 AM


If that path holds true, could it arrive in Baja as a tropical storm? Any history of a hurricane traversing the mainland and still holding together by the time it reaches Baja? Obviously, our concern in Mulege is potential flooding of the river again.



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Diver
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 10:28 AM


Historic storm tracks show similar storms crossing onto or over the mainland. Clouds, wind and rain from the storm could definitely hit Baja; it's just a matter of how hard. It's the rains that got Mulege and washed out many roads last time.

.
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toneart
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 10:58 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by Diver
Historic storm tracks show similar storms crossing onto or over the mainland. Clouds, wind and rain from the storm could definitely hit Baja; it's just a matter of how hard. It's the rains that got Mulege and washed out many roads last time.

.


It washed out a lot more than roads!




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Bob H
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 11:19 AM


I would say Mexico is in for a triple wammy! Through the Yucatan, then restrengthen, landfall again in the vicinity of Tampico, then on to Baja as a tropical depression.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/08/20/hurricane.dean/...

Let's hope that everyone gets out of it's path. Don't stay around for anything like this, cat 4's and 5's are very bad. I wouldn't even hang around for a cat 3.

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CaboRon
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 02:20 PM


I predict a hard right hook in the Yucaton ... and on to Padre Island.



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Diver
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 02:58 PM


Seems no-one else think so .....

storm_04.gif - 24kB
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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 03:52 PM


Ok
I am going to say this again.
No more dancing, guys.
We could get something from Dean, maybe

Diver where did you get that graph?




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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 04:54 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by bajajudy
Diver where did you get that graph?


http://www.eebmike.com/

This site also has radar of your area.
(usually in operation but it's down now).

.

[Edited on 8-20-2007 by Diver]
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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 05:51 PM


thanks diver but I went to this

http://www.sfwmd.gov/site/index.php?id=1

Kind of an interesting site too.

That must be new to eebmike.




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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 06:21 PM
Deadeye Dean


Upgraded to Cat 5. Now (according to the news) five hours out of Cancun.

Great TV. Blowing like Heck already. The Stupid newscaster standing out in the wind about to be blown over.

It will be interesting.
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 06:36 PM


Simular storm tracks



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Diver
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 09:39 PM


Oh Judy.....

See that line going to Cabo ????

Looks like it's moving more westerly and strengthening.
Seems Baja will get some rain from this thing by Friday.

.

at200704_model.gif - 31kB
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toneart
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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 09:47 PM


In Mulege, water is our enemy. We would get the torrential blast from the east, and then we will have to hold our breaths to see what comes down the arroyos in the mountains into the river. I hope I'm wrong....just on edge from last year.



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[*] posted on 8-20-2007 at 10:15 PM


I think Mulege will be lucky to get a shower out of this one. That's a lot of high altitude land between the Carribean and the Sea of Cortez. This is no John, at least not for Baja.
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Russ
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[*] posted on 8-21-2007 at 05:07 AM


From Weather Underground 6 am here Tues

Dean forecast8:21:07.jpg - 49kB




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