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Author: Subject: If you're crossing the border next week - BIG RAIN
wilderone
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 08:30 AM
If you're crossing the border next week - BIG RAIN


This may be the kind of rain that will cause rocks and landslides into Mex. 1, and slow you down for sure. Plan accordingly. I would expect this rain as far south as Ensenada at least (IMHO). Forecasting 3 storms over 5 days, beginning Monday.

From the SD Union Trib: "A succession of storms is expected to bring heavy rain beginning Monday, and there may be only a few short breaks through Friday, according to the National Weather Service. Computer forecast models are calling for 5 to 8 inches of precipitation at the coast by the end of the week and more than 20 inches in the mountains - a year’s worth of rain for some locations."
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nbacc
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:01 AM


WE are getting ready for it here in Northern Cal...they tell us lots of rain and wind...wish I was in San Feliipe!!!!!!
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:03 AM


looking at some models the jet stream is going to dip down and these storms should soak as far as GN and even further..... bring a shovel!



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DENNIS
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:07 AM


Let it rain but, keep the heavy wind. Don't have any use for it.
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wilderone
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:09 AM


Don't camp in an arroyo!!! Should be a green, flowery spring this year.
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k-rico
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:09 AM


Our HOA (in TJ) sent out an email warning, which originated with the city, about the upcoming rains. Because of all the old homesteader shacks on the TJ hillsides, drenching rains are a big problem here.
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DENNIS
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:14 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by k-rico
Our HOA (in TJ) sent out an email warning, which originated with the city, about the upcoming rains. Because of all the old homesteader shacks on the TJ hillsides, drenching rains are a big problem here.


In that respect, there's disaster almost every year. It doesn't take much water to wash a Kotex box off a hillside. There will be lots of damage this year, judgeing by the forecast.
Maybe the world is coming to an end. :O
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:15 AM


according to Danny Glover it is because of Copenhagen!



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k-rico
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:20 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by DENNIS
Quote:
Originally posted by k-rico
Our HOA (in TJ) sent out an email warning, which originated with the city, about the upcoming rains. Because of all the old homesteader shacks on the TJ hillsides, drenching rains are a big problem here.


In that respect, there's disaster almost every year. It doesn't take much water to wash a Kotex box off a hillside. There will be lots of damage this year, judgeing by the forecast.
Maybe the world is coming to an end. :O


Or a new beginning. The area that is now Plaza Rio used to be filled with shacks, until the upstream dam was topped and a huge gully washer came through. I've only heard bits and pieces of this story, sounds like an interesting one.

Likewise Playas de Tijuana has been devastated by beach erosion, mostly during El Nino years. They are redeveloping it. A HUGE seawall is being built now.

I know a few property / business owners on the beachfront near the bullring. They are stoked. Lots of new construction and the remaining vacant lots all have high price tags on them. I saw one beach front lot advertised for $600 / meter. Way out-of-line I think but that's the asking price.


[Edited on 1-16-2010 by k-rico]
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Bajaboy
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:23 AM


As for the San Diego area, I'll believe it when I see it. We'll get some rain I'm sure but not the 4-6 inches they predict. Each storm they make predictions only to fall way short. If we get more than an inch or so all the tv stations will have "breaking news" stories with "team coverage from throughout the county".....that's about all I'm predicting......



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wilderone
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:42 AM


"If we get more than an inch or so all the tv stations will have "breaking news" stories with "team coverage from throughout the county'...."

Ha! And they have "film" of rain running down the street gutters to prove that it's raining as they've predicted!!
But if we get even half of what they predict, it will be a lot for San Diego to handle over the course of a week. Ground gets saturated after the first storm. The drainange channel in the TJ River Valley has been cleaned out and a berm created to direct the flow. Let's see how it takes these storms.
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desertcpl
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:52 AM
posted in Kats corner this morning


http://www.sanfelipe.com.mx/news/hunker_down.html
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DENNIS
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 09:52 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by k-rico
Or a new beginning. The area that is now Plaza Rio used to be filled with shacks, until the upstream dam was topped and a huge gully washer came through. I've only heard bits and pieces of this story, sounds like an interesting one.



Hand of God, or man. Think of all the Eminent Domain paperwork that was avoided. :lol:
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k-rico
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 10:05 AM


Hand of God, or man??

Some claim the Rio Tijuana gully washer that cleared out the garbage was the latter, as you suggest. Redevelopment, Tijuana style.


[Edited on 1-16-2010 by k-rico]
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David K
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 11:21 AM


This sucks for me... no work!

The funny part is after all this rain, which will bring us over the norm, 'they' will still say we have a water shortage!

So, convert to drip irrigation and MP Rotators to reduce water use... and still have a beautiful landscape! Call me!!:rolleyes::light::P




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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 11:49 AM


Looks like the real deal to me. All components coming together for the perfect storm. Tons of water and wind. And it could go on for weeks!
So batten down those hatches!
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Bajahowodd
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 12:33 PM


We can all reconvene in about a week and chat about what was or was not. It just seems to me that for as many years as I can recall, the worst predictions, the farthest ahead, usually turn out to be much less. And often, the worst storms were not predicted to be such. Even with satellites and the newest technology, it seems to me that predicting weather along the West Coast has been and continues to be a crap shoot. Huge expanse of open ocean can be unpredictable. Not so sure they are much better at it now than when all they had to rely on were ships at sea. Like, if it's pouring in Chicago, and you're living in Cleveland, you can pretty much expect just when it will rain in Cleveland. If you live in LA, San Diego or Ensenada, you don't have the same luxury.
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 01:03 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by DENNIS
Let it rain but, keep the heavy wind. Don't have any use for it.


Doesn't look good Dennis. The forecast is calling for 60mph winds on Thursday.....ALONG THE COAST!!!

[Edited on 1-16-2010 by jodiego]
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DENNIS
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 01:33 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by jodiego

Doesn't look good Dennis. The forecast is calling for 60mph winds on Thursday.....ALONG THE COAST!!!



WOW...60 MPH? That doesn't sound good at all. Is that for San Diego or here? We seem to be about a day behind San Diego.

Thanks
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 1-16-2010 at 02:33 PM


a DAY? more like decades....

:lol::light::P;D




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