bajaguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9247
Registered: 9-16-2003
Location: Carson City, NV/Ensenada - Baja Country Club
Member Is Offline
Mood: must be 5 O'clock somewhere in Baja
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SOLAR FLARE
Actually, this is for real.............
UNCLASSIFIED
INFORMATION REQUESTED:
As the result of a Solar Flare and Coronal Mass Ejection(CME) two plasma clouds are heading toward the Earth.
These plasma clouds have the potential to cause some level of geomagnetic storming during the next 12 to 60 hours. The
National Coordinating Center(NCC) is requesting information on any issues/unmet needs to impacts to the induced
currents of electrical networks, communications infrastructure, or service due to the reported solar flare during the next 12-72 hours.
INCIDENT:
Earth-orbiting satellites have detected the strongest solar flare in more than four years. At 0156 UT on Feb. 15th, giant
sunspot 1158 unleashed an X2-class eruption. X-flares are the strongest type of x-ray flares, and this is the first such
eruption of new Solar Cycle 24.
The explosion that produced the flare also sent a solar tsunami rippling through the sun's atmosphere and, more importantly, hurled a coronal mass
ejection toward Earth.
This raises the possibility of geomagnetic storms in the days ahead.
KNOWN CAUSE:
Solar Flare and Coronal Mass Ejection(CME)
DURATION:
12-72 hours
CURRENT ACTIONS:
The NCC Watch will continue to monitor the situation for impact to communications infrastructure and service. The NCC
Watch will follow up on Friday, 18 February 2011 by 2000 EST, with an NCC Watch Advisory summarizing all reported
feedbacks.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13049
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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hmmmm.....wha??? could that be part of the strange santa anna wind conditions here the last 2 days?? wonder what we're in for...tick tick tick
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mcfez
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8678
Registered: 12-2-2009
Location: aka BN yankeeirishman
Member Is Offline
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Good by. Wish I could had meant you all.
Old people are like the old cars, made of some tough stuff. May show a little rust, but good as gold on the inside.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 65282
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Online
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Hope those aboard the space station are safe! If the nights are clear, we may see the 'Northern Lights' down south...
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BajaRat
Super Nomad
Posts: 1304
Registered: 3-2-2010
Location: SW Four Corners / Bahia Asuncion BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Ready for some salt water with my Tecate
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Looks like a good time to dig out your foil hats.
If you would like more info go to spaceweather.com
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gnukid
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4411
Registered: 7-2-2006
Member Is Offline
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If you are interested in solar flares, solar cycles and earth orbit cycles, how these are predictable, how they affect climate and weather, I found
this site to be quite interesting about the Sun and Milankovitch Cycles.
http://www.windows2universe.org/earth/climate/cli_sun.html
In addition to a multitude of factors that affect the climate:
"About every 11 years the number of sunspots reaches a high and then decreases again."
and
"There are three ways that Earth's orbit changes over time.
Eccentricity: The shape of Earth's orbit around the Sun becomes slightly more and then less oval every 100,000 years.
Precession: Earth wobbles on it axis as it spins, completing a full wobble every 23,000 years.
Tilt: The angle of the Earth's axis relative to the plane of its orbit changes about three degrees every 41,000 years."
[Edited on 2-17-2011 by gnukid]
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wessongroup
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21152
Registered: 8-9-2009
Location: Mission Viejo
Member Is Offline
Mood: Suicide Hot line ... please hold
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Here's a shot of what it looks like... Skelator can't be far behind..
[Edited on 2-16-2011 by wessongroup]
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Howard
Super Nomad
Posts: 2353
Registered: 11-13-2007
Location: Loreto/Manhattan Beach/Kona
Member Is Offline
Mood: I'd rather regret the things I've done than regret the things I haven't done.
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Now for the important question.
Will my taping of Judge Judy be affected? (or is effected?)
Further, farther, I never could figure that stuff out. I even saw that movie with Sean Connery as a Pulitzer prize winner when they explained it and
I still am confused. Oh well, as long as I can watch my Judge Judy when I get home.
We don't stop playing because we grow old;
we grow old because we stop playing
George Bernard Shaw
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mcfez
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8678
Registered: 12-2-2009
Location: aka BN yankeeirishman
Member Is Offline
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Russ...Russ...Ru----ssssss Help us
| Quote: | Originally posted by BajaRat
Looks like a good time to dig out your foil hats.
If you would like more info go to spaceweather.com |
You claimed to have extras.....who shall you save? 
Old people are like the old cars, made of some tough stuff. May show a little rust, but good as gold on the inside.
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MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
Member Is Offline
Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day
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Affect and Effect
Affect=Cause. Effect=Result.
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Paulina
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3812
Registered: 8-31-2002
Location: BCN
Member Is Offline
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So will Friday be a good day to work on my tan?
P>*)))>{
\"Well behaved women rarely make history.\" Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
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Von
Senior Nomad
Posts: 961
Registered: 10-1-2006
Location: Poway-Rosarito
Member Is Offline
Mood: getting ready!
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Well I did want to retire in baja~ DAM!
READY SET.....................
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redhilltown
Super Nomad
Posts: 1130
Registered: 1-24-2009
Location: Long Beach, CA
Member Is Offline
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I-by sheer luck-happened to be in Saline Valley, CA about ten years ago when the radiation (or...you know) of one of these flares hit the earth's
atmosphere at night. It was the most stunning, surreal, and memorable experience of my camping career. The sky was literally on fire in the middle of
the night and a light show that went on for hours...I forget the scientific name for the event but this news makes me want to pack up the truck and
head to the darkest spot I can find. Will be interesting to see if reports come in from Nomads.
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mcfez
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8678
Registered: 12-2-2009
Location: aka BN yankeeirishman
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by redhilltown
I-by sheer luck-happened to be in Saline Valley, CA about ten years ago when the radiation (or...you know) of one of these flares hit the earth's
atmosphere at night. It was the most stunning, surreal, and memorable experience of my camping career. The sky was literally on fire in the middle of
the night and a light show that went on for hours...I forget the scientific name for the event but this news makes me want to pack up the truck and
head to the darkest spot I can find. Will be interesting to see if reports come in from Nomads. |
This effect shows at night?
Then I need to get up to Bridgeport Ca to see the show.
Old people are like the old cars, made of some tough stuff. May show a little rust, but good as gold on the inside.
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wilderone
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3879
Registered: 2-9-2004
Member Is Offline
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May be seen in northern latitudes:
"The largest solar flare to erupt on the sun since December 2006 has sent plasma streaming toward Earth, a usually benign but sometimes troublesome
phenomenon that's being monitored by a sophisticated satellite instrument developed by UC San Diego.
Such flares can disrupt telecommunications on Earth, in addition to setting off the wondrous aurora borealis.
"The plasma from the flare contains ionized particles that could cause an aurora borealis in the northern latitudes," said Bernard Jackson, a research
scientist at UCSD's Center for Astrophysics and Space Science. "The plasma should hit Earth's magnetosphere on Thursday."
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redhilltown
Super Nomad
Posts: 1130
Registered: 1-24-2009
Location: Long Beach, CA
Member Is Offline
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This is the same event I was referring to:
http://www.prairiejournal.com/northern_lights/033001.htm
Though further north, his photos give a great idea of what may happen again. In this event the lights could be seen as far south as Joshua Tree, CA.
No matter what if you are in a dark area and north-ish I would keep an eye out after the sun goes down!
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bajaguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9247
Registered: 9-16-2003
Location: Carson City, NV/Ensenada - Baja Country Club
Member Is Offline
Mood: must be 5 O'clock somewhere in Baja
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Update on Solar Flare
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Department of Energy (DOE) have identified a series of coronal mass ejections
(CMEs) which are en route to Earth from a sunspot which will buffet the Earth's magnetic field during the next 12 to 60 hours.
These CMEs are a result of the strongest solar flare in more than four years, which peaked on Feb. 15 and registered as an X-flare. X-flares are
the strongest type of solar flare.
NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of geomagnetic activity today.
Geomagnetic storms usually last 24 to 48 hours, but some may last for many days.
They also have the capability of disrupting communications systems, navigation systems and electric grids.
TV and commercial radio stations are usually not affected by this type of solar activity; however, ground-to-air, ship-to-shore, shortwave
broadcasts, and amateur radio are vulnerable to disruption during geomagnetic storms.
Navigation systems like GPS can also be adversely affected.
Some of the worst geomagnetic storms have the potential to knock out power grids by inducing currents that melt transformers.
Your mileage may vary............
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13049
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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hmmm my magic jack just went down...7:00 mountain time...anybody else's magic jack on the blink??
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