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Author: Subject: Tropical Storm 11 E ~ NOW KARINA
bajabuddha
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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 05:00 AM
Tropical Storm 11 E ~ NOW KARINA


Looks like the tenth named storm of the eastern Pacific is getting ready to go public; should gain strength and power for a named storm, and yet again, set to sail due west from the Generator area. Should send surf and wave north, but Baja is dodging bullets thanks due to El Niņo (?) we hope (?) and another bullet dodged. Safe and sound, so far. Ain't Mutha Nature GRAND!!

Ya never know............. it sure is fun to watch.

[Edited on 8-14-2014 by bajabuddha]




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Russ
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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 06:08 AM






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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 06:17 AM


models show another 2 storms Hawaii is going to have to deal with in a few days.

[Edited on 8-13-2014 by woody with a view]




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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 05:36 PM


.
...yup,,,she's got a name now-- 'Karina'...it's early,,,but there's a possibility of more than surf-waves

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves slowly westward. This
system should move into the Central Pacific basin late Thursday or
Friday and is likely to become a tropical depression later this week
or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by Saturday.
Some gradual development of this system is possible early next week
while the system moves generally northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
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Russ
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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 06:17 PM


It appears to be developing well West of us but may whip out some stuff with showers or rain. Wait and see. You know if the banda anca works I'll report.



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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 07:30 PM


QUESTION...is the gulf warm enough to allow a storm to enter ???

HOPE NOT !!!!

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bajabuddha
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[*] posted on 8-13-2014 at 08:37 PM


11 E is now Tropical Storm Karina, and is expected to gain hurricane status by tomorrow night. Good news is, it's 5-600 miles south of Cabo and headed west, so Hawaii may be threatened eventually, maybe not.

BDR, the gulf has been more than warm enough for 'canes, but the El Niņo effect has not only created a whole lot of named storms this year, but created a global weather pattern that's sent 'em all packing west... so far... knock on wood. It's an amazing anomaly. Probably somewhat responsible for the lack of named storms in the Atlantic theater too. NOAA does show some chubasco action off the warm waters of Cortez.

[Edited on 8-14-2014 by bajabuddha]




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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-14-2014 at 07:32 AM


Sure looks like rain here!
No wind




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[*] posted on 8-14-2014 at 09:19 AM


Its been raining in buena vista since 6:30..very gentle rain
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bajabuddha
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[*] posted on 8-14-2014 at 10:38 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by bajajudy
Sure looks like rain here!
No wind

Judy, i'll re-post this NOAA site from another thread:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-rb.html
I have it on 'favorites', it's fun to watch the weather develop, where it comes from and where it goes. The 'Chubasco/Huracan/Tormenta' definition thread makes more sense to me now, and you can see all three right now in Baja and the mainland. Kewl stuff!
:coolup:




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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-14-2014 at 10:44 AM


I use Wundermap on my ipad and watch approaching weather. The problem with that squall that came through a couple of weeks ago was that we were asleep.
Am watching today and it looks like we missed the rain again
:no:




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bajabuddha
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[*] posted on 8-14-2014 at 11:10 AM


Kewl. I use wunderground.com as my first go-to site here at home too, lots of good links there, including NEXRAD maps. I must've been a frustrated meteorologist in a former life.
;D




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