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Author: Subject: Tropical Storm Polo
BajaNomad
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 06:36 AM
Tropical Storm Polo


TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014

...TROPICAL STORM POLO FORMS SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.9N 98.4W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF POLO IS FORECAST TO MOVE CLOSER
TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

[Edited on 9-18-2014 by BajaNomad]

[Edited on 9-19-2014 by BajaNomad]

polo-tue-634a.jpg - 50kB




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ehall
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 07:22 AM


Just saw this on the news this morning. Let's hope it heads west.
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 07:22 AM


as others will probably say

Holy crap on a cracker.....

must just be our year ....




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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 07:27 AM


This is like being in the ring with a welterweight. The punches come hard and fast.



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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 07:31 AM


http://sailflow.com/en-us/Search/ViewResults.aspx#29.728,-11...

POLO ...sunday aft.....FORECAST !!!!!

lets hope its correct !




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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 08:37 AM


Surface winds animated graphic showing both storms and a hurricane in the Atlantic.

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-87.58,21.71,1500
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 09:25 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by SFandH
Surface winds animated graphic showing both storms and a hurricane in the Atlantic.

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-87.58,21.71,1500


This is a fantastic link. You can move it all around~~ Thanks.




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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 12:44 PM


For those planning on heading down to work on their damages from Odile, PLEASE pay attention to Tropical Storm Polo; it is due to become at least a CAT 1 in the next 2 days (by Wednesday 9/19) and is setting course towards Baja. Yogi's still right; "it ain't over 'till it's over''... more to come, don't get caught with your proverbial pants down in another one. Use judgment and be patient.



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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 01:27 PM


Sure hope I can get back home between storms. I cant get any info on the roads



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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 01:35 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by shari
Sure hope I can get back home between storms. I cant get any info on the roads


It would seem that the bus station should have road information at least for the main roads.
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 01:52 PM


Wow another one on its way!

Just to give you a visual on the power of the wind on the surf this fellow did an excellent job of capturing it on video. The size of the waves before the hurricane arrives.
http://www.enjoygram.com/m/810456511855792994_5416091
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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 02:30 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by shari
Sure hope I can get back home between storms. I cant get any info on the roads


We're not sure about our travel plans as well. I'm seriously thinking Vizcaino might not have gasoline.




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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 04:07 PM








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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 04:13 PM


I heard third hand that Hwy 1 is closed at Viscaino. But as always things can change rapidly. Crews usually seem to get the road passable within a few days. Lots of new bridges have been built on 1 over the past few years. I hope they all survive. Time will tell and only direct reports can be trusted right now.



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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 04:29 PM


If no gas in Vizcaino, there are three stations in GN, plus the one in Jesus Maria. If going south, the next station is San Ignacio.
(But I don't think I have to tell you this, you are as local as I am)


Quote:
Originally posted by Bajaboy
Quote:
Originally posted by shari
Sure hope I can get back home between storms. I cant get any info on the roads


We're not sure about our travel plans as well. I'm seriously thinking Vizcaino might not have gasoline.




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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 05:44 PM


Keep in mind that Pemex stations in Baja Sur get their supply from La Paz.. So GN and Vizcaino may be very limited, even if they had power to pump..



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[*] posted on 9-16-2014 at 05:59 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by LaTijereta
Keep in mind that Pemex stations in Baja Sur get their supply from La Paz.. So GN and Vizcaino may be very limited, even if they had power to pump..


Exactly. Last reliable would be El Rosario assuming people weren't stocking up and reselling further south. I hope there is some sort of rationing. Would love to hear from Antonio.




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[*] posted on 9-17-2014 at 12:18 PM


Don't forget how the projected track for Odile changed big time - from heading NNW (away from land), to N, then NE right downtown.
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[*] posted on 9-17-2014 at 12:25 PM


i am trying to find out if Asuncion has gas...there is power or was last night but the phones are down again...dang it.

never trust a hurricane model! We know that! They slow down, speed up and go where they please,

[Edited on 9-17-2014 by shari]




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[*] posted on 9-17-2014 at 12:42 PM


Keep in mind that mechanics of a hurricane dictate a cooling of the ocean temp once a 'big one' has passed over; HOPEFULLY that will have cause/effect on slowing/lessening Polo, just hoping. And Shari, you should have at least a good 4-day window to get back home. Take care, gal. Yo mama din't raise no fool (Chuckie told me). Via con Dios.



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