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Author: Subject: Tropical Storm Warning for BCS for Hurricane Norbert
micah202
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 11:37 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by oladulce
Punta Pequeña/ San Juanico

The wall of the outer edge of Norbert is now visible to the South. Slight wind shift towards the South now. Satellite sites show it about 60 miles off shore but can't tell if that's from the center of the storm. Wind sock still flying and the gauge worked briefly and recorded 28mph average. Surprised it's so close and conditions are still fairly mild. These photos were from 15 min ago and it's now white-out with slight rain.

Looking across the Bahia San Juanico across the peninsula in the direction of Mulege and Loreto (towards the Right in the photo). Alan T. we're just now seeing Norbert effects and I would not plan to drive over here until it passes.


...interesting and well detailed report!...it really confirms accuracy of this site I'm following ... http://passageweather.com/#
....30-40mph winds isn't surprising ....consistant with intensity/distance forecasts.....

it's saying Asunción should expect ~30-35mph this eve---a marked improvement over earlier readings,,,,and there's an amazing left-hook and dissipation overnight.....easing my concern for sunday morning!
....the 'asuncisharinomad's more stable environment' is coming into effect !! :O:wow::D:bounce::yes:

........'oladulce'.......the bottom photo--you're facing east,,(L is north)??--I think I can see your place on google earth....try giving a wave!



O.m.g.....I realize I've -really- been -battering- the correct spelling for Asunción--my apologies....let's hope that's the worst battering you folks get!! :cool:



[Edited on 9-6-2014 by micah202]
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Bruce R Leech
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 11:53 AM


thanks Doug, and all those posting info here



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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:00 PM


I am so glad Mulege is fine and Lopez sounds not horrible although definitely some flooding there by the looks of that article. So we taped the windows and are hoping Norbert continues on his predicted track. The swells are bigger now of course and we had some rain squalls...the best is yet to come for us...gonna try to nap now for possible bucket brigade tonight.



for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:09 PM


Worst of this could be where it slows & sends a coupla 3 days of rain on the area south of Ensenada. Current NOAA tracks show it stalling offshore as a tropical depression and taking 2 days coming ashore there.

Although, to quote Rochelle from Mulege, "you can never trust a hurricane."




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:10 PM


HURRICANE NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 06 2014

...CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE NORBERT CONTINUES TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST. NORBERT
HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A
GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD
BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:12 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by shari
I am so glad Mulege is fine and Lopez sounds not horrible although definitely some flooding there by the looks of that article. So we taped the windows and are hoping Norbert continues on his predicted track. The swells are bigger now of course and we had some rain squalls...the best is yet to come for us...gonna try to nap now for possible bucket brigade tonight.


.....I'm beginning to think you've already got through the worst of things--here's 'hoping' ;D
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:31 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by willyAirstream
Looks like the big ditch project was successful. No flood damage to report. The new little causeway bridge, under the main bridge, is still in place. An old timer told me yesterday that if it rains here for morethan eight hours Mulege will flood. It was a very heavy downpour here last night and yesterday, so it must have been raining in the mtns, so..........


That's great news Richard, glad to hear the Orchard area is intact.


Quote:

Bruce R Leech posted on 9-6-2014 at 09:47 AM

I am hearing story's that very bad things have happened in San Carlos. any one have any info on this?


Power station, docks, downtown.....? We spent a couple days there in late February, the town seemed to be on the upswing with full rooms, remodeling and construction.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 12:49 PM


it seems the storm is just now really starting to crank up. The worry here is that a bout 20 years ago there was a storm just like this one that stalled just offshore then decided to swing inland here and really screwed things up...lets hope not.



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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 01:03 PM


got a report of rain in LA Bay.... gully warshers tonight!



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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 01:31 PM


Windy here again. 20+ SSE - It's sunny now but there are huge clouds off to the West & South. More later. Still hoping all are well on the coast. It is really scary when one of these stalls only to regain strength and move slowly on. Hope it heads NW quickly.



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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 01:46 PM


Thank you for all your reports....
I watch with great interest and wish best outcomes for all.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 01:55 PM


Ok so we are putting up some plywood on some windows...just in casee! Here are a few photos from last night and this morning. It is blowing about 30 plus from the east now and hot.





lets hope these palms are here tomorrow morning! the waves came over the bank again last night and this afternoon the seas are really building...more at 11!





this was a good place NOT to build a house....eaten by a storm a few years back.



these folks will be plenty nervous



the wave watchers last night



the latest out here at the point...a washing machine.


[Edited on 9-6-2014 by shari]

[Edited on 9-6-2014 by shari]




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 02:30 PM


Shari,

Has the beach horse been moved to higher ground?

P>*)))>{




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 04:10 PM


Newest models show more of a north-westerly track for now, which is good for the Guerrero cape area; but it also shows a strong 90 degree right-turn when it hits colder water/ wind-shear, and looks to be targeting the San Quintin / El Rosario area. It'll drop to TS/TD status, but will bring a LOT of rainfall to the central Peninsula in 4 to 5 days. Best wishes to all.



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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 06:03 PM


Well poop. After a muggy day, the rains have started again in Mulegé.
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 06:34 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Brinloor
Well poop. After a muggy day, the rains have started again in Mulegé.
Yep, well stated, Brinloor.

Are you and mom tucked in and safe tonight? If you need anything over here, call any time.

Good luck, Mulege town folk. Be safe tonight.
Be vigilant friends of the wildcoast and mountains. Great care.




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 07:02 PM


Stay safe y'all.

From San Diego
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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 07:21 PM


Rain stopped. Calm, dry... think it's safe to hang up some laundry?

[Edited on 9-7-2014 by Mulegena]




"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi

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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 07:48 PM


Would someone please give us the links to the various web cams in the Mulege area.

thank you




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[*] posted on 9-6-2014 at 07:52 PM


Well Norbert is looking a bit like Norman in 1978. Here is a link to the track Norman took. I remember about 1" of rain in San Diego and flooding in the Sierras.-------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1978_Pacific_hurricane_season#m...

Well, that link wasn`t what I wanted, but scroll down to Norman and click the track image. Comes into SoCal.

[Edited on 9-7-2014 by BornFisher]
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