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JZ
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Based on the GDFL model, it looks like we better start watching this one pretty close. It shows it crossing over emerging as a tropical storm,
re-forming into a cat 1, going straight up the SOC, and hitting a cat 3 around Santa Rosalia!
Edit: I'm not sure why the graphic isn't displaying, anyone want to offer some assistance.
<img src="http://icons.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/dean04l.2007082112_anim.gif?cache=191">
[Edited on 8-21-2007 by JZ]
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DianaT
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Testing---don't know if it will work---may be too big.
It worked! JZ, I saved the photo (gif image) to my computer, then sent it to photobucket, resized it and then posted it here.
Sure hope this model is not correct.
Diane
[Edited on 8-22-2007 by jdtrotter]
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bajajudy
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Yikes...
You hope it isnt correct!
I pray it isnt.
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bajajudy
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Check out the website of GFDL
The people who did the above model
http://www.gfdl.gov/
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edinnopolo
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Find it hard to believe that this storm can survive the high mountainous region of central and western Mexico. If it was closer to the Isthmus maybe,
but this is a lot of terrain to traverse. Hope my doubts are correct.
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bajajudy
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I am inclined to agree with you Ed.
You did stop dancing, didnt you?
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edinnopolo
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Yes Judy, we did. Humidity made my arthritis act up
Some Geronimo must be dancing a serious jig in the midwest though.
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comitan
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I'm sorry but thats only one model, the others show completely different paths.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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bajajudy
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Oh I am not sorry.
BUT it is a very interesting model, I think. They have some very interesting fluid models on their website...precipitation, water vapor, and
temperature for the world. It was interesting to see, I thought.
The historical models dont show any hurricanes making it over the mountains. I believe it would be a first.
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DianaT
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
Oh I am not sorry.
BUT it is a very interesting model, I think. They have some very interesting fluid models on their website...precipitation, water vapor, and
temperature for the world. It was interesting to see, I thought.
The historical models dont show any hurricanes making it over the mountains. I believe it would be a first. |
The first thing we thought about was the mountains---since it has not happened before for all the reasons we know, I wonder why they created this
model? What do they think is different this time? Would be interesting to know
Any ideas?
Diane
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JZ
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| Quote: | Originally posted by comitan
I'm sorry but thats only one model, the others show completely different paths. |
Uhh, okk.... The other models have been posted on the first page. Everyone can see them. In fact the GDFL has already changed. No one claimed
differently. At the time of posting, one other model was going straight up the SOC as well and one was running parallel along the coast line.
Btw, it is one of several respected models (1 of 5 used by NHFC), and it only takes one to be right and you not to be prepared...
You should be sorry for that sorry post...
[Edited on 8-22-2007 by JZ]
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bajadogs
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Always be prepared. I just don't see a hurricane rolling across mainland Mexico from the Carribean to Baja. A little rain would be nice, right? That's
all Baja may get out of this.
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Bajaboy
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajadogs
Always be prepared. I just don't see a hurricane rolling across mainland Mexico from the Carribean to Baja. A little rain would be nice, right? That's
all Baja may get out of this. |
I'll second that...Baja definitely could use some rain.
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Cap
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Watch the historical paths, storms from this area almost never make it as far west as Baja. I think you might find the penninsula a tad greener if
storms like this made it over the Sierra Madres.
Storms and large scale construction projects, are the two most overated stories in Mexican news.
Fly low, land on roads.
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bajajudy
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
Oh I am not sorry.
BUT it is a very interesting model, I think. They have some very interesting fluid models on their website...precipitation, water vapor, and
temperature for the world. It was interesting to see, I thought.
The historical models dont show any hurricanes making it over the mountains. I believe it would be a first. |
Cap, So we agree!
[Edited on 8-22-2007 by bajajudy]
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Cap
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| Quote: |
Cap, So we agree!
[Edited on 8-22-2007 by bajajudy] |
Its not the first time, I have just been quiet about it before. I enjoy your posts.
Fly low, land on roads.
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toneart
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajadogs
Always be prepared. I just don't see a hurricane rolling across mainland Mexico from the Carribean to Baja. A little rain would be nice, right? That's
all Baja may get out of this. |
A little rain is nice. A lot of rain is disastrous for Mulege, along the river. Here's hoping for green desert and rivers contained within their
banks.
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Osprey
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How many make it over the mountains? Depends on where you look.
http://maps.csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes/viewer.html
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Cypress
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There's just no way to predict for certain the path these storms will take. They
usually are drawn towards areas of low pressure. Have seen 'em make u-turns in
the Gulf of Mexico.
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bajajudy
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You know I think that I have too much information. I must have 25 sites to check for hurricane info. I just saw that model with the storm making it
over the mountains this morning.
I guess we will just have to wait and see...vamos a ver pronto.
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