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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
    
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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eguillermo,
Come on doooowwwwnnnn.!!!
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eguillermo
Nomad

Posts: 113
Registered: 10-10-2008
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I hope that is not the sound of vandenberg being blown away in the rising wind . . . 
But seriously, how long will a storm like this keep things out of sorts? La Paz weather forecasts actually show pretty low winds right up to
Wednesday, after which they forecast that it will really open up and blow 30 - 40 m.p.h.
But the forecast only goes to Friday. Would you tend to expect it to fizzle out and return to normal wind patterns by Sunday, Monday? A whole week
after it started blowing up?
I'm still wondering if the hurricane could render a whole week of my two-week vacation unfishable . . . .
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
   
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
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Mood: mellow
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EPAC/IR4/20.jpg
This in case you do not have the data we have.
Or this"
http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific
Maybe this would be more help.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200920_5day....
[Edited on 10-16-2009 by comitan]
[Edited on 10-16-2009 by comitan]
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
    
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
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Quote: | Originally posted by eguillermo
I hope that is not the sound of vandenberg being blown away in the rising wind . . . 
But seriously, how long will a storm like this keep things out of sorts? La Paz weather forecasts actually show pretty low winds right up to
Wednesday, after which they forecast that it will really open up and blow 30 - 40 m.p.h.
But the forecast only goes to Friday. Would you tend to expect it to fizzle out and return to normal wind patterns by Sunday, Monday? A whole week
after it started blowing up?
I'm still wondering if the hurricane could render a whole week of my two-week vacation unfishable . . . . |
Not to be a smartass but, have you ever heard of Hurricane John or Tropical Storm Julio or Hurricane Jimena?
We are talking weeks or months of recovery. If you do choose to be down there during a strong storm be cautious and wise. As with those
aforementioned storms, the storm tracks cannot be considered reliable so don't make plans based on those.
DON\'T SQUINT! Give yer eyes a break!
Try holding down [control] key and toggle the [+ and -] keys
Viva Mulege!
Nomads\' Sunsets
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
   
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
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Mood: Skeptical
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After Jimena...Sept. 2, all hotels but one, Hotel Mulege, were flooded. If you are there and this one, "Rick" comes through there will be no hotel
rooms available. People I have talked to who are there now have all reserved rooms for this blessed event already. If this is like Jimena, which I
sincerely hope it isn't, there will be no food, water, electricity, no atms, bridges knocked out, etc. It is NOT the place to be during a hurricane
or after, for that matter.
Then again, it may track west and spare us all, and we will feel foolishly very dry. If I cancel my trip until Rick passes, and nothing comes of it, I will invoke the wagging index finger and looks of consternation
from the memory of my late mother. I will do this>> and say, "See, I told
you so!" "You worried for nothing!"
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eguillermo
Nomad

Posts: 113
Registered: 10-10-2008
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Not at all sharks, that's the kind of smartass comments that can be helpful. I like to travel self-contained, with a kayak and tent. With my truck
and open-ended time I might feel a little more secure about bad weather, but this time (for the first time) I'm renting a car and will only have two
weeks.
The safer course would probably be a wait-and-see for a week . . . it sucks, but now I'm seriously considering it. The no-motel,
everything-out-of-order scenario sounds quite realistic.
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BooJumMan
Senior Nomad
 
Posts: 919
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: San Diego
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This Rick guy... He sure seems like he means business. Looking very strong right now, maybe he'll just peak early though and get pulled off into the
Pacific.. I HOPE.
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
   
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
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Mood: Skeptical
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I and my traveling companions are certainly taking Rick seriously! We are delaying our trip until it passes and we get confirmation of the conditions
on the ground in Mulege.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
    
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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Quote: | Originally posted by toneart
I and my traveling companions are certainly taking Rick seriously! We are delaying our trip until it passes and we get confirmation of the conditions
on the ground in Mulege. |
Smart move Tony. Let's hope they got the predicted landfall strength right at least.
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
   
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
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Mood: Skeptical
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Quote: | Originally posted by vandenberg
Quote: | Originally posted by toneart
I and my traveling companions are certainly taking Rick seriously! We are delaying our trip until it passes and we get confirmation of the conditions
on the ground in Mulege. |
Smart move Tony. Let's hope they got the predicted landfall strength right at least. |
Huh? "predicted landfall strength" is Cat 2 or 1. That' good? By the time it hits SOC it is still Cat 1...NOT good!
We'll see what happens. We are all weary from these hurricanes and cleanup. If this one is as predicted, coming on top of Jimena, it would probably be
the coup de grace for those of us that still have badly damaged houses, but still standing.
This would put more financial strain on the Municipalities too, not to mention the hardship on the locals. Mulege is broke. Last spring, the Delegado
was shut down because they couldn't pay the electricity bill. At the same time, the office that collects our property taxes couldn't, for the same
reason. They are in the same building. Two months later they finally got the lights back on and then they were able to accept our tax payments.
Now they are trying to do the best they can for us, as tax payers, but there simply is no money.
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
    
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
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OHMYGAWD!
Eyewall forrmation
DON\'T SQUINT! Give yer eyes a break!
Try holding down [control] key and toggle the [+ and -] keys
Viva Mulege!
Nomads\' Sunsets
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DianaT
Select Nomad
     
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
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Right now, it does not look good for south of here----still hoping that the UKMET computer model wins.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
  
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
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Mood: up on step
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yeah, the delgado yesterday, or day before, asked that for anyone who could, please pay your taxes in advance as they are BROKE right
now....so...that's kinda where we are right now...no police services, (no gas), no garbage services, ( the garbage truck is broken), and the town is
barely able to pay it's electric bill...what to do?...crack another pacifico and hope for the best.....
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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Bajahowodd
Elite Nomad
    
Posts: 9274
Registered: 12-15-2008
Location: Disneyland Adjacent and anywhere in Baja
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Certainly the category number is imporant. But please remember that number is based on sustained wind strength. Even a tropical storm may contain
immense amounts of rain. Just ask the folks in Sonora what a deluge can do couretsy of Jimena. Not to mention Mulege.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
  
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
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Mood: up on step
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NO...i think it's important that we DO mention mulege!...this little town is flattened...no resources, no money, very few houses intact...still
scratching to find itself...they are doing the best they can with what they have available
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
     
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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180MPH? WOW!!!! it is such a beautiful thing. too bad it brings so much destruction. hopefully the word is getting out and everyone can take refuge in
time. still have a few days to prepare.
good luck folks!
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toneart
Ultra Nomad
   
Posts: 4901
Registered: 7-23-2006
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Mood: Skeptical
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Quote: | Originally posted by mulegemichael
NO...i think it's important that we DO mention mulege!...this little town is flattened...no resources, no money, very few houses intact...still
scratching to find itself...they are doing the best they can with what they have available |
Michael,
I think what Howard was saying, "not to mention Mulege" was an expression following the damage water can do in Sonora, meaning...Mulege too. He is
saying Mulege also has suffered lots of damage from the water, as you too are pointing out. You also used the word "flattened" which alludes to the
hurricane winds which really compounded Mulege's flood damage with Jimena.
I was headed down this weekend but am holding off until we see that Mulege is spared. Right now it looks like it is tracking further south (Cabo), but
it could still carry a lot of water. Stock up on Pacificos, Michael, and save one for me if we are spared. Any celebration will be muted, of course,
when we think of our neighbors to the south of us.
To those to the south, stay safe and prepare well. We are thinking of you.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
     
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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Toneart
i agree with your assertation about the Mulege comment.... Mulege can use a break.... good luck amigos!
it seems the GFDL is creeping ever so slightly to the south. if it holds true, at least the strongest part of this storm will stay offshore until it
slams the mainland.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
  
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
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Mood: up on step
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el pacificos es frio..muchco!
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
  
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
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Mood: up on step
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oh sorry, "mucho"...y mucho mas!
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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