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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2014/H...
Marie just hit Cat-5 already today. Still going to chug parallel 500 miles out, but as John's mujer said, "Ee's a BEEG JUAN !!"
 
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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I'm basing my preparations on the understanding that wave height will grow gradually over the next couple of days. We have a wave buoy almost directly
down swell from us and about 90 miles away. If Buoy Weather has live data from it, won't we have a real clear picture of whether the drastic
predictions might be real?
I have to admit, I've been critical of people in the south east who don't get out of the way of hurricanes. Where I sit, on this absolutely gorgeous
day at the beach, it is hard to believe it is possible that there could be salt water running through the Campground Wednesday!
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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I have seen it flood right up to the highway...if we get any rain...it will be a problem. What happens is that the sea comes up to the lowlands and
there is nowhere for the runoff water to go so it just fills up just down from the Pemex. It will be most critical at the high tides Monday night and
tuesday.
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Bajaboy
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4375
Registered: 10-9-2003
Location: Bahia Asuncion, BCS, Mexico
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by shari
I have seen it flood right up to the highway...if we get any rain...it will be a problem. What happens is that the sea comes up to the lowlands and
there is nowhere for the runoff water to go so it just fills up just down from the Pemex. It will be most critical at the high tides Monday night and
tuesday. |
Hope the new Pemex doesn't get flooded out With all the new building in town,
I always wonder what will happen to the natural flow of water with a big rain. Luckily a few houses have been built behind us so I think we are now
protected.
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Ateo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5898
Registered: 7-18-2011
Member Is Offline
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From Surfline:
Tropics - *updated Sunday at 2pm: Hurricane Marie has exceeded expectations and hit Cat 5 status this afternoon with max. sustained winds at 160mph,
tracking West at 12kts.
For South/Central Baja: new SSE swell builds Monday with overhead++ sets possible by sundown, but bulk of swell arrives on Tuesday before easing Wed.
10-12'+ faces for well exposed breaks, sets to 15'+ faces and even larger. More protected points smaller but still overhead to double overhead. Wind
also looks generally unfavorable for many of the better known/higher quality waves as the swell peaks with moderate+ ESE to SE wind. Minor leftovers
from Marie by Friday.
[Edited on 8-25-2014 by Ateo]
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Ateo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5898
Registered: 7-18-2011
Member Is Offline
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oladulce
Super Nomad
Posts: 1625
Registered: 5-30-2005
Location: bcs
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron
Pequena should be epic....and crowded... |
Naw, not really Mexitron. Lots of unstable tropical air around= wind. Spin off squalls and thunderstorms began yesterday over the ocean and
the mesas along with SE wind chop and blown out conditions which will probably only increase until the storm passes. So the most we'll get when the
waves come is a good show with Victory-At -Sea conditions.
Lowell had a ripping current along with it, and considering the size of Mega Marie, the most we can hope for is that the wind-chop-current won't scour
all the sand away which will take years to replace again.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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some light clouds and hot as a witches tit here today but things are looking more hopeful this morning as buoyweather which is usually fairly accurate
in the wave heights predicts 11' swell by late this afternoon and 13' tops for tomorrow so I hope we will dodge the bullet again on Marie. We sure
have been lucky they all head west...whew. So my tent stays up on the cliff then!
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MMc
Super Nomad
Posts: 1679
Registered: 6-29-2011
Member Is Offline
Mood: Current
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Thanks Shari. Surflie is good but nothing beats a personal report.
"Never teach a pig to sing it frustrates you and annoys the pig" - W.C.Fields
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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I would love to hear an onsite report for San Juanico today to give us a better idea of what is coming.
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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.... I thought witches' ta taas were cold.... 
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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BooJumMan
Senior Nomad
Posts: 891
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
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Surfline ruined surfing! 
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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| Quote: | Originally posted by oladulce
| Quote: | Originally posted by Mexitron
Pequena should be epic....and crowded... |
Naw, not really Mexitron. Lots of unstable tropical air around= wind. Spin off squalls and thunderstorms began yesterday over the ocean and
the mesas along with SE wind chop and blown out conditions which will probably only increase until the storm passes. So the most we'll get when the
waves come is a good show with Victory-At -Sea conditions.
Lowell had a ripping current along with it, and considering the size of Mega Marie, the most we can hope for is that the wind-chop-current won't scour
all the sand away which will take years to replace again. |
Actually, we were at Abreojos when Hurricane Linda skirted along the peninsula and you're right---it was a big washing machine---enormous waves but
they were breaking way way out...
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3288
Registered: 1-11-2007
Location: Buena Vista BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Tranquilo
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| Quote: | Originally posted by BooJumMan
Surfline ruined surfing! |
I quit surfing because of them.....and because I sucked at it
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajabuddha
.... I thought witches' ta taas were cold.... |
this is a Baja witch...hahahaha....so Buoyweather just changed the wave height forecast to 19' for tomorrow's morning high tide...oh oh.
right now it is 8-9' so double that will be ominous here where the towns sand bank is unstable and unprotected. There was a row of houses where the
palms are and a road in front of that in the not too distant past.
they are going to have to pull the pangas up onto the street at the public boat launch area too. I wonder if the little pier will withstand the
beating.
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Robertofox
Junior Nomad
Posts: 92
Registered: 10-19-2006
Location: Leucadia & Pta Chivato
Member Is Offline
Mood: One more for the ditch !
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To dtbushpilot.......not only surfline but.......surf schools pumping newbie surfers 10 to 20 at a time!!! Thats what gets my butt....sorry.....carry
on!! I don't know what got into me....ha!
Happy Trails....
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
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...Vagabondo,,Shari..et all..please keep on posting on wind,wave & rain levels as above--your inf will help correlate upcoming conditions for a
boat I'm watching-out for up the way a bit
...please be sure to mention your location and time when mentioning conditions
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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gracias micah...looks very eerily calm. We have a bigger swell here in Asuncion and building from the south. Waves are now passing over the pier here
and hte tide is nearly out. It will be an interesting afternoon/evening with some loss of sleep I imagine. The wind has switched to the south bringing
very hot air...about 10 knots.
A nomad just told me that the low lying areas just at the edge of town past the Pemex already has standing water on it...hmmm.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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we just got back for southern northern and it was perfect for 4 days. wind turned out of the south this morning and that's never good..... Lowell was
great, Marie is gonna be a b!tch!
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jbcoug
Senior Nomad
Posts: 709
Registered: 9-24-2006
Location: Vancouver, WA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Needing Baja!
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Shari, this sounds potentially bad for Paul's place. Can his fifth wheel be pulled out?
\"The average dog is a nicer person than the average person.\" Andy Rooney
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