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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
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..here come the laundry reports!
..if you time things just right judy,,,perhaps Shari will find your stuff on -her- line! 
...good luck,,,and careful preparation everyone
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by micah202]
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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| Quote: | Originally posted by micah202
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..here come the laundry reports!
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by micah202] |
I knew someone would appreciate that!
Shutters half done. Supposed to have +\- 38 mph gusts tonight with rain.
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
| Quote: | Originally posted by micah202
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..here come the laundry reports!
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I knew someone would appreciate that!
Shutters half done. Supposed to have +\- 38 mph gusts tonight with rain. |
....be careful--the forecasts have been amping-up a fair bit
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
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...from.... http://www.wunderground.com/news/tropical-storm-norbert-paci...
Norbert should intensify to a hurricane soon. In fact, the National Hurricane Center says rapid intensification, defined as an increase in maximum
sustained winds of at least 30 knots in 24 hours is a 1-in-3 possibility, according to one hurricane intensity forecast model.
Unlike the most recent trio of Karina, Lowell, and Marie, Norbert will not simply be an "out-to-sea" wave generator.
While Norbert's center is unlike to make landfall, it is expected to creep very slowly to the northwest over the next several days, passing close
enough to parts of Mexico's Baja Peninsula to produce some high surf, rip currents, gusty winds and locally heavy rain.
For this reason, a tropical storm warning is in effect for the southern Baja Peninsula from La Paz to Santa Fe, Mexico, including Cabo San Lucas.
Tropical storm-force winds are possible in the warning area by Thursday afternoon. At this time, the center of Norbert is expected to make its closest
pass to the Baja Peninsula from Thursday afternoon into Friday.
At this time, we can't rule out hurricane-force conditions if the center passes closer to the southern Baja. Hurricane watches (issued by the Mexican
government) may have to be issued.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Oh we are ready.
And I watch all the sites like a hawk.
Will be tuned in for the 3:00 update
The noon update says Norbert is still moving west.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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like a dumbo, in our last couple of storms, i forgot to open the sliding glass doors to our casa and they blew out everytime with the volume of water
inside the casa trying to get out...this time they will be wide open as soon as the house is emptied of everything so the river can come and go as it
pleases....just a little tip for those of us/you living on a flood plain that have never been through a grand wetness!
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
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| Quote: | Originally posted by bajajudy
The noon update says Norbert is still moving west. |
...lets hope it likes going west........maybe everyone turn on your fans,,,
..........I always get confused how the 'westcoast' is the east-pacific 
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by micah202]
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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GFDL which has usually the best and most accurate predictions, shows the storm going directly over the peninsula.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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that wouldnt surprise me at all as the hurricanes that are close to the peninsula often get sucked over to warmer water..look out Lopez Mateos area
and Mulege...tick tick tick
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blackwolfmt
Senior Nomad
Posts: 802
Registered: 1-18-2014
Location: On The Beach With A Blackwolf
Member Is Offline
Mood: dreamin of Riden out a hurricane in Baja
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Good luck folks, well we watching the radar from up here in Mt
http://http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/flash-wv.html
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by blackwolfmt]
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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I like this model for accuracy. within 84 hours it is usually right on. looks like fun this weekend!
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: it is what it is
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And the thunder and lightening begins.
We have some wind but not much. It is dark south and towards the mountains (east). The rain should hit us quite soon.
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by Katiejay99]
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Bill Collector
Nomad
Posts: 374
Registered: 1-13-2004
Location: Buena Vista, BCS
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We are getting white caps out of the east, wind is picking up. All the hotels have pulled their boats out of the water.
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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Calm before the storm in Lopez.
The locals here in Lopez are still watching.
Everyone was ready to go shrimping Sunday.
Shrimp season opens here then.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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TROPICAL STORM NORBERT DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014
200 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014
Satellite images indicate that Norbert is still on an intensification trend. While no eye is apparent in visible imagery, recent microwave imagery
indicates that an eye is trying to form. The cyclone has a long curved band around the southern and western semicircle wrapping into the small central
dense overcast. A blend of the subjective and objective Dvorak estimates gives 60 kt as the initial wind speed.
It is hard to find a reason why Norbert will not significantly intensify during the next day or so since it will remain over very warm waters, the
shear does not appear to be that detrimental, and it already has many features of an inner core. Yet the best model guidance is lower than 6 hours
ago, with no forecast above 80 kt for a peak intensity. With so many favorable environmental factors and the low model bias observed this season (and
this cyclone), the new NHC forecast will stay close to the previous one. Weakening should begin in a few days when Norbert moves over cooler waters
and into the more stable atmosphere of the subtropical eastern Pacific Ocean.
After a brief westward track, Norbert appears to be moving more to the west-northwest, or 300/6. Global models are in good agreement on a weakening
ridge over northwestern Mexico forcing the storm to move northwestward over the next few days. Model guidance is well clustered on a track offshore of
Baja Califoria Sur, except for the GFDL which has a known northward bias in this region. Norbert is still expected to pass close enough to bring
tropical- storm-force winds to portions of the state. The new forecast is a little farther south of the previous one during the first 24 hours, mostly
because of the earlier westward motion. Little change has been made to the rest of the forecast, which is just to the west of the dynamical track
consensus.
Moisture from the combination of Norbert and the remnants of Atlantic Tropical Storm Dolly is expected to spread northwestward across northern Mexico
during the next couple of days, and into the southwestern United States over the weekend. Heavy rain causing life-threatening flash flooding are
possible in those regions. Please see information from your local weather office for more details.
After reading this, I re checked this forecast and whoa...check out the wave energy and height for Friday night...uh oh and it says rain then
too...ruh roh...guess I wont be going to Ensenada this weekend after all...got my mops ready!
http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Asuncion-Bay/forecasts/l...
[Edited on 9-3-2014 by shari]
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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"THE NORBERT ENSEMBLE".... and who knew he could even dance? 
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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Katiejay99
Nomad
Posts: 429
Registered: 9-3-2008
Location: Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: it is what it is
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I guess a Norbert reports Thread wasn't necessary?
Anyhow, it is calm in Todos Santos now. No wind, no rain a few clouds.
Norbert is now a hurricane.
[Edited on 9-4-2014 by Katiejay99]
[Edited on 9-4-2014 by Katiejay99]
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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They say Norbert will be a Cat2 tomorrow at 2pm.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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We have guests here from DF on their Harleys who's destination is Todos Santos tomorrow...so please let me know what develops...gracias compas!
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micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
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....as Norbert develops,,it seems to be getting a stronger top-end strength,,a later turn to the east-possibly as late as N.O.B.,,,and maybe
,hopefully is gaining a little west in it's trajectory..........I think those west pointing fans in Cabo are helping!
...the reality is that the whole of baja needs be on alert
[Edited on 9-4-2014 by micah202]
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