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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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the bus station said the highway was clear from Ensenada to GN last night around 9 which was erroneous as it appears...maybe they just want to sell
tickets. I planned to take this afternoon's bus but not at all confident the highway is open yet...still cant get through to federal police either.
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Udo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6343
Registered: 4-26-2008
Location: Black Hills, SD/Ensenada/San Felipe
Member Is Offline
Mood: TEQUILA!
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The bus will more than likely make through the two washes just south of Cataviña. Supposedly there is some heavy water still running there, Shari
Udo
Youth is wasted on the young!
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER 7
200 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014
...POLO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 103.7W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.7 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...BUT A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...POLO WILL MOVE
PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO
THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. POLO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
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mexicali-kid
Junior Nomad
Posts: 44
Registered: 4-28-2014
Member Is Offline
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Polo
POLO IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES PARALLEL TO THE SW COAST OF
MEXICO BECOMING A HURRICANE TONIGHT (2014SEP17) OR THURSDAY. THERE IS AGAIN A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY
NORBERT AND ODILE.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDEP.shtml
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
Posts: 2318
Registered: 10-17-2013
Member Is Offline
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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I just spoke to Antonio at Baja Cactus and there is lots of fuel and the road crews are working hard to get the road open by tomorrow.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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TROPICAL STORM POLO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
500 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014
...POLO LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 104.1W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...POLO WILL MOVE
PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO
THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. POLO IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Whale-ista
Super Nomad
Posts: 2009
Registered: 2-18-2013
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
Mood: Sunny with chance of whales
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Polo is now a hurricane
NOAA advisory
\"Probably the airplanes will bring week-enders from Los Angeles before long, and the beautiful poor bedraggled old town will bloom with a
Floridian ugliness.\" (John Steinbeck, 1940, discussing the future of La Paz, BCS, Mexico)
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rufflife
Junior Nomad
Posts: 82
Registered: 1-3-2013
Member Is Offline
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I know it is a bit early, but if you look at eebmike.com, it looks like it is swinging even further west of Baja...
http://eebmike.com/
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Motoman
Newbie
Posts: 7
Registered: 9-4-2006
Location: Oregon
Member Is Offline
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Hurricane Central's lastest report says Polo won't make it to Baja.
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bigmike58
Nomad
Posts: 286
Registered: 1-20-2012
Location: Homeland CA/Mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: Fish on!
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Motoman
Hurricane Central's lastest report says Polo won't make it to Baja. |
I hope you're right! I heading down tomorrow with supplies.
Shouldn\'t one have to pass a urine test to get a welfare check or Sec.8 housing?
........... I had to pass one to earn it for them!
\"I\'ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go?\"
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BajaBoomerBabe
Junior Nomad
Posts: 47
Registered: 5-31-2008
Location: Kelowna, B.C & San Jose del Cabo, BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Getting excited about driving down Baja!
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yes, yes, yes. Those poor people do not need another hurricane or rain.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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HURRICANE POLO ADVISORY NUMBER 8
800 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014
...POLO BECOMES A HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 104.6W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST. POLO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...POLO WILL MOVE
PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO
THE COAST.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
[Edited on 9-18-2014 by BajaNomad]
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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HURRICANE POLO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014
...POLO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF THE MEXICAN COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 104.8W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST. POLO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...POLO WILL MOVE
PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO
THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
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Zola
Nomad
Posts: 122
Registered: 9-7-2014
Location: San Juanico, Point Loma
Member Is Offline
Mood: Enthusiastic
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Shari,
The Mexican government advises that it is NOT POSSIBLE to drive to southern Baja. Highway 1 is clear from Ensenada only to Catavina, where there is an
impassable arroyo, followed by another just down the road to the south. Hightway 1 is therefore CLOSED at Catavina and at further points south. The
article also indicates that there are completely unpassable stretches just after El Rosario.
There are numerous inundations, and officials say that travelers should not attempt at present to drive from Northern to Southern Baja.
http://www.frontera.info/EdicionEnLinea/Notas/Noticias/17092...
It seems to me that if you head down now, you risk making yourself part of the problem, and they have enough problems on their hands. I would wait at
least until they have cleared the arroyos that block passage along Highway 1. I also have heard that it is impassable at Vizcaino.
The good news is that Hurrican Polo will likely not approach Baja, and there is calm weather to follow at least for awhile. So stay put, organize your
return, and don't put yourself in harm's way and add to the burdens that they have down there. I understand if you have loved ones, but even then use
common sense. I too have property in southern Baja, which is safe and sound I am relieved to say, but now is not the time to race to Southern Baja.
Let it recover, then go down to help out as you can.
“Sometimes the questions are complicated and the answers are simple.” Dr. Seuss
“Never wrestle with pigs. You both get dirty and the pig likes it.” George Bernard Shaw
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larryC
Super Nomad
Posts: 1493
Registered: 8-11-2008
Location: BoLA
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Zola
Shari,
The Mexican government advises that it is NOT POSSIBLE to drive to southern Baja. Highway 1 is clear from Ensenada only to Catavina, where there is an
impassable arroyo, followed by another just down the road to the south. Hightway 1 is therefore CLOSED at Catavina and at further points south. The
article also indicates that there are completely unpassable stretches just after El Rosario.
There are numerous inundations, and officials say that travelers should not attempt at present to drive from Northern to Southern Baja.
http://www.frontera.info/EdicionEnLinea/Notas/Noticias/17092...
It seems to me that if you head down now, you risk making yourself part of the problem, and they have enough problems on their hands. I would wait at
least until they have cleared the arroyos that block passage along Highway 1. I also have heard that it is impassable at Vizcaino.
The good news is that Hurrican Polo will likely not approach Baja, and there is calm weather to follow at least for awhile. So stay put, organize your
return, and don't put yourself in harm's way and add to the burdens that they have down there. I understand if you have loved ones, but even then use
common sense. I too have property in southern Baja, which is safe and sound I am relieved to say, but now is not the time to race to Southern Baja.
Let it recover, then go down to help out as you can. |
A friend of mine was stopped at the northern arroyo just as you enter Catavina at 6am yesterday the 17th, by high water, by 9am the water had dropped
enough and cars were allowed through. He was then able to make it all the way into bola.
Larry
Off grid, 12-190 watt evergreen solar panels on solar trackers, 2-3648 stacked Outback inverters, 610ah LiFePo4 48v battery bank, FM 60 and MX60
Outback charge controllers, X-240 Outback transformer for 240v from inverters, 6500 watt Kubota diesel generator.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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thanks Larry....and thank you Zola for your concern...but this aint my first rodeo. Believe me, I am fairly cautious but also know how fast arroyos
drain and road crews get cracking to open up passage...albeit a rough one. The plan is to get home by tomorrow night...but we all know how planning in
baja goes...hahaha.
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BajaDanD
Senior Nomad
Posts: 745
Registered: 8-30-2003
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Zola
Shari,
The Mexican government advises that it is NOT POSSIBLE to drive to southern Baja. Highway 1 is clear from Ensenada only to Catavina, where there is an
impassable arroyo, followed by another just down the road to the south. Hightway 1 is therefore CLOSED at Catavina and at further points south. The
article also indicates that there are completely unpassable stretches just after El Rosario.
There are numerous inundations, and officials say that travelers should not attempt at present to drive from Northern to Southern Baja.
http://www.frontera.info/EdicionEnLinea/Notas/Noticias/17092...
It seems to me that if you head down now, you risk making yourself part of the problem, and they have enough problems on their hands. I would wait at
least until they have cleared the arroyos that block passage along Highway 1. I also have heard that it is impassable at Vizcaino.
The good news is that Hurrican Polo will likely not approach Baja, and there is calm weather to follow at least for awhile. So stay put, organize your
return, and don't put yourself in harm's way and add to the burdens that they have down there. I understand if you have loved ones, but even then use
common sense. I too have property in southern Baja, which is safe and sound I am relieved to say, but now is not the time to race to Southern Baja.
Let it recover, then go down to help out as you can. |
You make that sound like Shari is just a visitor wanting to check on the situation down there. She does however live there full time and was only up
in Ensenada to visit her daughter and Grandson and is now wanting to get home. If you know Shari, you would know she is not capable of being part of
the problem.
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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If anyone can do it, you can, love and luck to ya! Seeya in the fall, 1st one is on me...
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BajaDanD
Senior Nomad
Posts: 745
Registered: 8-30-2003
Member Is Offline
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We will be down the end of October see you then. Be safe
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