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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Odile didnt rain on our parade here in Asuncion...but the Vizcaino Valley got hammered. Today we took a trip to Guerrero Negro and there were many CFE
rigs heading to Asuncion, La Bocana, Abreojos so they are braced for action in central Baja.
We heard a rumour that they were thinking of evacuating some areas of Vizcaino as it floods pretty bad with alot of rain.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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Should be interesting headed down Sat O-dark-3O to BdeLA.
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2729
Registered: 5-10-2011
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The key words:
...primary threat associated with Sergio and its remnants continues to be life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain in
the Mexico states of Baja California Sur, Sonora.
("Sur" here really means "Central Baja").
50 knots winds tomorrow at BA, slightly less in BOLA.
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mtgoat666
Select Nomad
Posts: 18377
Registered: 9-16-2006
Location: San Diego
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Mood: Hot n spicy
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In the past, hurricane rains at Lagoons at camp Rene and San ignacio and Manuela have been followed by a winter season with increase in fish and very
large increase in bird populations,... so there is a benefit from all that floodwater flushing the land and nutrients to the lagoons.
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
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Mood: Weary
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I just there was a pony in there somewhere,,,,
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mtgoat666
Select Nomad
Posts: 18377
Registered: 9-16-2006
Location: San Diego
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Mood: Hot n spicy
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Don’t know about ponies, but there are some unicorns 
Woke!
“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America
will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”
Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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Snowflakes..... 🤣
Edit: hold on tight kiddies!
[Edited on 10-11-2018 by woody with a view]
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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well it started raining before dawn this morning here in Bahia Asuncion....gonna be a wet one dang!
Where else is it raining?
I look forward to live updates and reports....por favor!
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DouglasP
Nomad
Posts: 321
Registered: 6-23-2018
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Mood: Goat hunter.
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Got in to Punta Chivato yesterday (hi Russ) afternoon, came down Hwy 1due to reports of 5 being closed North of Gonzaga. Other than the delay south of
ensenada for construction, very smooth trip. Waiting for Sergio, will report anything worth reporting.
I like beer, better than most people.
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BajaBlanca
Select Nomad
Posts: 13196
Registered: 10-28-2008
Location: La Bocana, BCS
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Hi Shari
It has been sprinkling here. For sure, you can't call it rain.
No wind at all.
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Rocinante
Newbie
Posts: 3
Registered: 9-26-2016
Location: 3rd stone
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I don't post much but have been reading this forum for a couple years. Thought I'd give real time info from last night:
Made it to Ensenada last night about 8:30pm.
Catavina was still working on the deep arroyo which still had water in it. Another arroyo in Catavina was also wet and from there north to Rosario
there was several places with standing water on either side of the road.
Then 30 miles from Mandaero(sp?) the road work continues and looks like a it could be a good setup for a landslide with a little rain and wind. Down
to one lane. No problems driving it but catavina to Rosario sure doesn't look like its going to take much rain at all to wash it all out again.
[Edited on 10-11-2018 by Rocinante]
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BajaBlanca
Select Nomad
Posts: 13196
Registered: 10-28-2008
Location: La Bocana, BCS
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Thanks Rocinante, the up to minute information really does help a lot!
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9010
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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Quote: Originally posted by Rocinante  | I don't post much but have been reading this forum for a couple years. Thought I'd give real time info from last night:
Made it to Ensenada last night about 8:30pm.
Catavina was still working on the deep arroyo which still had water in it. Another arroyo in Catavina was also wet and from there north to Rosario
there was several places with standing water on either side of the road.
Then 30 miles from Mandaero(sp?) the road work continues and looks like a it could be a good setup for a landslide with a little rain and wind. Down
to one lane. No problems driving it but catavina to Rosario sure doesn't look like its going to take much rain at all to wash it all out again.
[Edited on 10-11-2018 by Rocinante] |
The chances are incredibly high that Sergio will impact this area significantly, with rain.
The only good news is that the storm is now moving at 17 kts, incredibly fast. Maybe it will pass quickly............or maybe it will stall over the
mtns. of central Baja. Quien sabes?
If you are traveling south on Fri/Sat/Sun, be prepared to wait out arroyos. They will be flowing.
[Edited on 10-11-2018 by Hook]
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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Just fixed my wind thingy on the weather station! 5mph WNW (unusual). Some light clouds 83º - 54%
baro 29.82in
Can't copy IMGs on photobucket so no photos.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64848
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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From www.EBMIKE.COM
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP21/refresh/EP21201...
[Edited on 10-12-2018 by David K]
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
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Mood: Full Time Residents
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the "calm" before the storm...
it sure wont be like THIS tomorrow...
picture taken 10:30am Oct 11th
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2729
Registered: 5-10-2011
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Relax, Bob, this one is not meant for you.
Eeb/NOAA have corrected the path a little to the South - after it hits the coast at Asuncion. The center is now close to Sta Rosalia (was at Pto
S.Francisquito). But the rain is not centered in the eye of hurricane, it's more at the edges/tails of the path. BOLA and Mulege could still get some.
Possibly 3-5 hours of heavy rain, with drizzle before and after. We shall see.
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SFandH
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7084
Registered: 8-5-2011
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ECMWF model rain prediction for 11 AM Friday (tomorrow). Click in the image to see rain amounts at different locations. 25.4 mm = 1 inch
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2018-10-12-18,...
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9010
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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| Quote: Originally posted by Alm | Relax, Bob, this one is not meant for you.
Eeb/NOAA have corrected the path a little to the South - after it hits the coast at Asuncion. The center is now close to Sta Rosalia (was at Pto
S.Francisquito). But the rain is not centered in the eye of hurricane, it's more at the edges/tails of the path. BOLA and Mulege could still get some.
Possibly 3-5 hours of heavy rain, with drizzle before and after. We shall see. |
Has the most recent "fix" upstream on the Rio Mulege ever been tested?
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6027
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
Member Is Offline
Mood: Retireded
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My preferred route south next month includes the stretch of road south of B.O.L.A. If that model holds up, it looks like that road is likely to go
through some changes before I get there!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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