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Author: Subject: SERGIO
pauldavidmena
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 06:51 AM


Our current weather in Cape Cod is being impacted by the remnants of Hurricane Michael, currently a pink blob hovering in the North Atlantic. It is rumored to be making its way to the UK next!



[Edited on 10-12-2018 by BajaNomad]




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akmaxx
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 07:03 AM


Mulege 8 am. No flooding at all, maaybe a little wind damage somewhere. Water didn't touch malecon. Nothing like in the past.

Back to your coffee.

Peace,
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 07:44 AM


Wind has begun in San Ignacio and the
rain stopped. Have 3.5 inches in my rain gauge.
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 07:59 AM


we plan to cross and drive the length of the peninsula tuesday. hoping for a positive road report before then. best of luck to all.
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 08:22 AM
Adios Sergio




Sergio 2018.png - 61kB




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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 08:50 AM


No reports of damage but will know more later after a siesta.
Noon - after short siesta I got the windows washed and haven't heard of anymore damage reports. The road at the estuary got washed out and there is about 18" of water to cross at almost high tide . Wind still blowing at 15 to 25mph SSW and there is still some large, for here, waves. Some big clouds lingering but mostly sunny now.

[Edited on 10-12-2018 by Russ]




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SFandH
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 09:10 AM


According to this model, it is still raining heavily over the mountains.

https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,27.284,-110.97...




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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 09:14 AM


"Adios Sergio" -

when drawing conclusions from that Eeb/NOAA pictures of hurricane path, one should keep in mind the warning they usually post (don't see it this time): Hurricane cone merely shows the path, life-threatening weather conditions may occur outside the cone.
Otherwise Bob would've had clear blue skies and people in BOLA wouldn't get any rain at all (but they did).

Thanks people for real-time reports. Looks like this one had fallen short of Odile.
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 09:51 AM
Adios, Sergio


No comparison here to Odile which was a full force Hurricane....Sergio was downgraded to a Tropical Storm 3 days ago......
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SFandH
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 10:31 AM


Just got a facebook message from a buddy in Mulege. From what he said Sergio is a Mulege nothingburger.




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Bob and Susan
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 11:30 AM


on the bay in mulegeā€¦

we had 3 inches of rain water

50mph highest wind

it's over for now...wind is about 15mph

window covers are off on our unit

time to dry up





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mtnpop
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 11:34 AM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Just got a facebook message from a buddy in Mulege. From what he said Sergio is a Mulege nothingburger.


Same news here, just received an email with a couple of pics of the estuary and Carlos' racing bar, the estuary was up into the parking lot across the super slab in front but not up to the concrete. also word from contact in the Orchard that all was well for the valley pretty much. Me thinks the crazy part will be negotiating the drive down in a week or so...




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bonanzaman
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 12:43 PM




Same news here, just received an email with a couple of pics of the estuary and Carlos' racing bar, the estuary was up into the parking lot across the super slab in front but not up to the concrete. also word from contact in the Orchard that all was well for the valley pretty much. Me thinks the crazy part will be negotiating the drive down in a week or so...
[/rquote

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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 01:04 PM


I am guessing that Shari, and Blanca have lost internet service. It was not too reliable when I was there in March, with no weather events!



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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 01:12 PM


"Was downgraded"? Let's not get carried away, figuratively and (God forbid) literally.

It was downgraded to tropical storm 3 days ago, yes, and the translation is "HEAVY RAIN" :). Some people got soaked, as I understand.
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 02:31 PM
One Thing is Certain


When you live in one of nature's Danger Zones.

There will be another and THAT one may be IT !

But, so what !

If you lose it all and die, it will have been worth it. Nothing good lasts forever. Besides, if you're dead, nothing matters, anyway.

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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 02:34 PM


Looks like it was a double-double, meat and cheese in San Carlos, Sonora. Power has been out for 3-5 hours. Last reports were of rain falling at around 3/4 in/HOUR and gusts to 55 mph.
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bajabuddha
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 03:42 PM


Here's hoping Shari and Blanca survived Serge's surge. Fingers crossed; they took a direct hit.



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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 03:44 PM


The hurricane prediction models did a pretty good job with Sergio. I've been watching for at least the past 10 days and the predicted path was right on the money. The decrease from a hurricane to a tropical storm was also accurate, and it appears the wind speeds and rainfall amounts were also good from about 4 days out.

The only inaccuracy was initially the storm was predicted to make landfall on Saturday morning, not this morning. But that prediction got better the closer it got.

This is the website I used. It has it all. Lots of options on the right side menu, a time slider at the bottom, and more options on the lower right I haven't explored yet. Plus you can zoom in and out.

https://www.windy.com/?25.086,-109.995,5


[Edited on 10-12-2018 by SFandH]




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JZ
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[*] posted on 10-12-2018 at 06:44 PM


Video from San Carlos on the mainland.

https://youtu.be/73OCNTKEBLg




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