| Pages:
1
..
7
8
9
10
11
..
15 |
BajaGeoff
Super Nomad
Posts: 1727
Registered: 1-11-2006
Location: San Diego and Campo Lopez
Member Is Offline
Mood: Heading To Baja!!!
|
|
Wow.....the before and after shots are crazy!
|
|
|
bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
|
|
It is STILL blowing 10-15mph with gusts to 20 here.
Very dark right now. We have not had much rain today but it has been threatening all day.
Yes, a long one!
|
|
|
vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
|
|
| Quote: | Originally posted by shari
yes, it is tomorrow's tide I am most worried about as the storm is still aways away from us. My first storm casualty just now....I went out to secure
the Norfolk pine tree and didnt realize the ground was covered with fire ants...little bastards bit me a dozen times or so...I hate it when they bite
you between your toes!!! |
Some advice" Keep them out of your skivvies." 
|
|
|
shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
|
|
I dont know how they did it but I got bit near my armpit and thigh as well as feet and ankles...sheesh. Here is a before photo for ya...we just got
some sand back at the beach outside our kitchen door...nice lookin clouds and a few big sets coming in now...could rain at any time with the cells all
around.
thanks so much for the reporting...what San Juanico gets we will prolly get!!!
I am sooooooo not liking this satellite image!
[Edited on 9-5-2014 by shari]
|
|
|
vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
|
|
Strength just upgraded to category 2
|
|
|
EnsenadaDr
Banned
Posts: 5027
Registered: 9-12-2011
Location: Baja California
Member Is Offline
Mood: Move on. It is just a chapter in the past, but don't close the book- just turn the page
|
|
wow really?? This is getting interesting...wonder what it will be when it hits the Ensenada area.... | Quote: | Originally posted by vandenberg
Strength just upgraded to category 2 |
|
|
|
BajaLuna
Senior Nomad
Posts: 581
Registered: 12-5-2012
Location: Pacific Northwest/Bahia Asuncion
Member Is Offline
Mood: groovy
|
|
stay safe everyone, thanks for the reports!
|
|
|
bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
|
|
| Quote: | Originally posted by vandenberg
Strength just upgraded to category 2 |
Shari
Get those storm boards up!
The San Jose arroyo is running bank to bank now. If it weren't for the bridge, we would be an island.
|
|
|
BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
|
|
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 112.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WNW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO AND JUST
OFFSHORE OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
SATURDAY...WITH FASTER WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTER THAT TIME.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. A WEATHER STATION OPERATED BY THE MEXICAN NAVY
LOCATED AT PUERTO CORTES RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53
MPH...86 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH...108 KM/H.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
|
|
N2Baja
Nomad
Posts: 147
Registered: 2-12-2004
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
|
|
That is an awesome animation Micah, Thank you for posting it!! Best of luck to all.
| Quote: | Originally posted by micah202
.
...here's an amazing graphic...
.....worth a copy/paste if my attempt to linky doesn't work
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orth...
[img]http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-111.45,26.17,2035[/img]
[/url]http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-111.45,26.17,2035[/url]
[Edited on 9-5-2014 by micah202] |
Forget about the danger and think of the fun.
|
|
|
Sweetwater
Senior Nomad
Posts: 915
Registered: 11-26-2010
Member Is Offline
Mood: chilly today hot tomale
|
|
It just occurred to me that I should thank all you who have kept us informed about this storm.....and.....what a dilemma it presents to us all.....so
much beauty.....so much hazard.....batten down your personal hatches and keep a good photo log of this beautiful hazard......stay safe, one an all.
Everbody\'s preachin\' at me that we all wanna git to heaven, trouble is, nobody wants to die to git there.-BB King
Reality is what does not go away when you stop believing in it. -Philip K Dick
Nothing is worse than active ignorance. Johann Wolfgang von Goethe(1749-1832, German writer, artist and politician)
When choosing between two evils, I always like to try the one I\'ve never tried before. - Mae West
Experience is what keeps a man who makes the same mistake twice from admitting it the third time around.
|
|
|
BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
|
|
.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
|
|
Ateo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5898
Registered: 7-18-2011
Member Is Offline
|
|
Great photo oladulce.
This is an interesting system. I hope we get some rain in SD out of it. Probably not though...........
Always better to over prepare then to under prepare. Stay classy and safe Nomads.
|
|
|
Mulegena
Super Nomad
Posts: 2412
Registered: 11-7-2006
Member Is Offline
|
|
Puerto San Carlos, Magdalena Bay
Radio Kashana from Sta. Rosalia reports that 40% of Puerto San Carlos is flooded as the high tide breached the 10 breakwaters.
Be well, everyone.
Mulege has a refugee center established in Nuevo Mulege, south of town. Storm advisories given, evacuations are not mandatory at this time. Rain has
picked up just a bit.
Stay warm and safe tonight.
"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." ~ Aristotle
|
|
|
micah202
Super Nomad
Posts: 1615
Registered: 1-19-2011
Location: vancouver,BC
Member Is Offline
|
|
.
.....I'm hoping to hear that high tide was allright(?)
|
|
|
shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
|
|
Hola amigos...just back from a wee hurricane party and wave watching from the balcony of the Beach House...spectacular...tons of traffic and the bank
is lined with people and cars. We moved some folks from the campground over to the Inn on higher ground.
The waves breached the beach again to fill up the new lagoon to the highway and is near the horses house again too and the swell is supposed to double
tomorrow which will spell certain flooding. Buoyweather is predicting 19' waves for tomorrow afternoon. The new Pemex and stores are very very busy.
I'm not real happy that Norbert is now a Cat2 but hope the fans are working for him to go west a bit. Here is the not so encouraging latest
discussion.
HURRICANE NORBERT DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 2014
The satellite presentation of Norbert has improved dramatically since the last advisory. A ragged eye is apparent in infrared imagery surrounded by a
ring of cloud tops colder than -70C. Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB at 00Z were T5.5/102 kt, and the initial intensity is set a bit below that
value at 95 kt for this advisory given the very rapid change in the satellite appearance and the earlier recon data. This recent intensification
occurred as Norbert moved over waters warmer than 29C, and some additional strengthening is still possible in the next few hours. However, SSTs
steadily decrease along the track going forward, which should result in gradual weakening beginning by 12 hours. Steadier weakening is expected beyond
24 hours as SSTs fall below 26C and the cyclone moves into a drier and more stable airmass. By 72 hours Norbert is expected to become post-tropical
and then weaken to a remnant low around day 4. The new NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted upward by 10-15 kt through 24 hours to account for the
current intensity trend, and is about 5 kt higher than the previous advisory after that time. This forecast is a little above the intensity consensus
through 36 hours and close to the consensus afterward.
Smoothing through some short-term wobbles, the initial motion estimate is 320/08. The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged, as Norbert will be
steered around the western periphery of a mid- level ridge centered over the southern United States through 48 hours. After that time, the ridge
weakens as a mid-latitude trough moves into the U.S. West Coast. This should result in a weakening of the steering currents, leaving the low-level
center of Norbert to drift slowly northward or move erratically at the end of the forecast period. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the
previous one, but has been adjusted a little to the east to account for the initial position and motion. This track is close to the TVCE multi-model
consensus through 72 hours, and shows little net motion after that time.
Moisture from the remnants of Dolly and the Pacific ITCZ is being advected northward by the outer circulation of Norbert across northern Mexico and
into the southwestern United States. This could result in heavy rains and life-threatening flash flooding in these areas during the next few days.
Please see information from your local weather office for more details.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0300Z 24.2N 112.8W 95 KT 110 MPH 12H 06/1200Z 24.9N 113.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 24H 07/0000Z 25.6N 114.9W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 07/1200Z 26.5N 116.1W 65
KT 75 MPH 48H 08/0000Z 27.3N 117.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 09/0000Z 29.0N 117.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 10/0000Z 29.5N 117.5W 25 KT 30
MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 11/0000Z 29.5N 117.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
|
|
|
BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
|
|
.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
|
|
EnsenadaDr
Banned
Posts: 5027
Registered: 9-12-2011
Location: Baja California
Member Is Offline
Mood: Move on. It is just a chapter in the past, but don't close the book- just turn the page
|
|
It's a comin'!!!
|
|
|
BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4994
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
|
|
.
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting:
https://www.regionalinternet.com |
|
|
EnsenadaDr
Banned
Posts: 5027
Registered: 9-12-2011
Location: Baja California
Member Is Offline
Mood: Move on. It is just a chapter in the past, but don't close the book- just turn the page
|
|
OMG that trajectory looks like it's heading right towards Ensenada!!
| Quote: | Originally posted by BajaNomad
. |
|
|
|
| Pages:
1
..
7
8
9
10
11
..
15 |
![[*]](images/xmbforum/default_icon.gif){kind=icon}
